Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:28PM EDT on Oct 03, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$18,533,175 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸64.0-65.0%$12,173,551
Polymarket 🌎64.0-65.0%$5,626,713
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.7-63.7%$503,751
Betfair 🇬🇧64.3-64.7%$229,891

64.1%

0.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$12,173,551
Polymarket 🌎35.0-36.0%$5,626,713
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.8-38.8%$503,751
Betfair 🇬🇧35.4-35.6%$229,891

35.9%

-0.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:08PM EDT on Oct 03, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$758,675,978 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.6-20.7%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$264,477

20.0%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.4-9.7%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.8%$264,477

11.8%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.8-10.9%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.6%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$264,477

10.8%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.7-9.3%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.1%$264,477

8.9%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.2-8.4%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$264,477

8.7%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.2%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,477

3.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$264,477

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$264,477

3.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.9%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,477

2.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.2%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$264,477

1.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.8%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$264,477

1.0%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.4%$1,527,858
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,355,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.4%$264,477

0.8%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,477

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$712,327,216
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$264,477

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$264,477

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$264,477

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,477

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,477

0.3%

0.1%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,477

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,477

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$712,327,216
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,201,041
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,477

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,477

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,477

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,477

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,527,858
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$264,477

0.1%

+0.0%

20.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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