Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:18AM EST on Dec 10, 2025

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Will Supreme Court
allow Trump tariffs?Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$4,380,309 bet so far
No details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸75.0-76.0%$2,873,458
Polymarket 🌎74.0-76.0%$1,506,851

75.3%

+0.0%
Yes details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$2,873,458
Polymarket 🌎24.0-26.0%$1,506,851

24.8%

+0.0%
Presidency 2028 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2028 elections

$302,330 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$165,774
Betfair 🇬🇧54.3-55.2%$134,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.8-56.2%$1,919

54.4%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$165,774
Betfair 🇬🇧43.5-44.2%$134,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧42.4-45.5%$1,919

44.8%

-0.1%

0.8%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$148,749,106 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎29.0-30.0%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧26.3-27.0%$774,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.0-29.0%$547,084
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.3-27.8%$132,475

28.1%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-18.0%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$774,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$547,084
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-19.6%$132,475

19.1%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-8.0%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.7%$774,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$547,084
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$132,475

6.4%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-3.9%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$774,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$547,084

4.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.6%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$774,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$547,084
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$132,475

2.9%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$774,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$547,084
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$132,475

2.7%

0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$774,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$547,084
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$132,475

2.5%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$774,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$547,084
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$132,475

2.2%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-4.8%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$132,475

2.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$132,475

1.7%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.5%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$132,475

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.7%$132,475

1.3%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$132,475

1.2%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$132,475

0.8%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.7%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$132,475

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$132,475

0.7%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$132,475

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$144,298,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,997,496
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$132,475

0.4%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$132,475

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$132,475

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$132,475

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$132,475

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$132,475

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$774,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$132,475

0.2%

+0.0%

19.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd