Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:00AM EDT on Aug 18, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,712,243 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.5-52.5%$7,291,505
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$3,885,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.9-55.9%$394,593
Betfair 🇬🇧49.1-49.6%$140,225

51.5%

0.9%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.5-48.5%$7,291,505
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$3,885,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.1-45.1%$394,593
Betfair 🇬🇧50.3-51.1%$140,225

48.5%

-0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:32AM EDT on Aug 18, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$727,166,746 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.0-22.6%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$253,434

20.4%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.1-12.2%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$253,434

12.3%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.3-11.5%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-12.2%$253,434

10.7%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.1-8.2%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.6%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$253,434

9.9%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-10.0%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-10.0%$253,434

9.7%

0.8%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$253,434

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$253,434

3.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$253,434

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.9%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$253,434

2.4%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-2.0%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$253,434

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$253,434

1.1%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$253,434

1.0%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.3%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$1,467,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,270,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$253,434

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$687,111,463
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$253,434

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$253,434

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$253,434

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$253,434

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$687,111,463
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,064,883
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,467,121
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%

16.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd