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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$7,993,723 bet so far

Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧20.4-21.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.4-21.7%

21.0%

0.5%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧12.8-13.2%
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.8-14.3%

13.3%

0.1%
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎12.2-12.7%
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.1%
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%

11.5%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-8.3%

7.8%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧3.6-4.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-4.5%

4.1%

0.2%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.5%

3.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-2.0%

1.4%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.7%

1.4%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%

1.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.8%

1.1%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%

1.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%

1.0%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%

0.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.3%

0.5%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%

0.5%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%

0.5%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%

0.3%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%

0.2%

-0.0%

27.7%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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