Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:21PM EDT on Apr 26, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$142,592,686 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$116,421,277
Betfair 🇬🇧42.7-43.1%$18,735,735
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.7-52.7%$4,547,042
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.3-44.6%$2,888,641

46.0%

0.3%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎42.0-43.0%$116,421,277
Betfair 🇬🇧43.9-44.2%$18,735,735
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.0-43.9%$4,547,042
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.5-44.3%$2,888,641

43.3%

-0.3%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.5%$116,421,277
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.4%$18,735,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$2,888,641

3.6%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-4.0%$116,421,277
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$18,735,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-3.1%$2,888,641

3.0%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$116,421,277
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$18,735,735
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.9-3.9%$4,547,042
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$2,888,641

1.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$116,421,277
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.4%$18,735,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$2,888,641

1.0%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$116,421,277
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$18,735,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$2,888,641

0.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$116,421,277
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$18,735,735
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,547,042
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$2,888,641

0.7%

+0.0%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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