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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$14,743,332 bet so far

Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎27.5-28.8%$13,789,568
Betfair 🇬🇧21.3-22.2%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-21.7%$227,427
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$13,323

27.7%

-0.4%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-20.0%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-20.0%$227,427
PredictIt 🇺🇸26.0-27.0%$13,323

19.4%

0.4%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-13.2%$227,427
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$13,323

12.8%

0.4%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-7.1%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.9%$227,427
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$13,323

6.9%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.8-4.5%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$227,427

4.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.4%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.5%$227,427

3.0%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$227,427

2.6%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$227,427

1.7%

0.1%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.8%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$227,427

1.3%

-0.4%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$227,427

1.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$227,427

1.1%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$227,427

1.0%

0.1%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$227,427

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$227,427

0.8%

-0.4%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$227,427

0.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$227,427

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$227,427

0.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$227,427

0.4%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$227,427

0.3%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$227,427

0.3%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$713,015
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$227,427

0.2%

-0.0%

12.3%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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