Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:32AM EST on Feb 22, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$68,274,396 bet so far

Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎54.0-56.0%$47,675,792
Betfair 🇬🇧43.1-43.5%$14,024,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$4,037,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.1-44.3%$2,536,258

51.7%

-0.0%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎31.0-33.0%$47,675,792
Betfair 🇬🇧27.8-28.2%$14,024,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$4,037,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧28.2-29.4%$2,536,258

31.6%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-6.0%$47,675,792
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.4%$14,024,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-7.1%$2,536,258

5.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-3.0%$47,675,792
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-4.8%$14,024,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.6-4.8%$2,536,258

2.7%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-2.0%$47,675,792
Betfair 🇬🇧3.6-3.7%$14,024,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$4,037,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.6-4.0%$2,536,258

1.9%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-2.0%$47,675,792
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.4%$14,024,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$2,536,258

1.6%

0.5%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-1.0%$47,675,792
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.6%$14,024,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$2,536,258

1.3%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.0%$47,675,792
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$14,024,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$2,536,258

0.2%

+0.0%

3.6%