Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:00AM EDT on May 20, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$157,684,575 bet so far

Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$128,659,464
Betfair 🇬🇧51.8-52.1%$21,221,641
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.8-49.8%$4,740,680
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.0-52.1%$3,061,189

50.9%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎40.6-41.6%$128,659,464
Betfair 🇬🇧37.6-37.9%$21,221,641
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.8-46.8%$4,740,680
Smarkets 🇬🇧37.6-38.5%$3,061,189

40.8%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$128,659,464
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$21,221,641
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$3,061,189

2.3%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-3.0%$128,659,464
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$21,221,641
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$3,061,189

2.1%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.3%$128,659,464
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$21,221,641
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$4,740,680
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$3,061,189

1.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$128,659,464
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$21,221,641
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$3,061,189

1.0%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$128,659,464
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$21,221,641
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$3,061,189

0.6%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.8%$128,659,464
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$21,221,641
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,740,680
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,061,189

0.6%

-0.0%