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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$15,357,947 bet so far

Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎29.1-30.3%$13,799,637
Betfair 🇬🇧21.7-22.2%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.7-22.2%$515,060
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$37,515

28.9%

-0.5%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-15.2%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$515,060
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$37,515

14.8%

-0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$515,060
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$37,515

11.1%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$515,060
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$37,515

8.3%

-0.4%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-4.0%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-4.0%$515,060

3.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-4.0%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-3.9%$515,060

3.7%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.8%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-3.9%$515,060

3.6%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$515,060

2.6%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$515,060

2.2%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.5%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$515,060

1.9%

0.2%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$515,060

1.5%

0.1%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$515,060

1.1%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.1%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.0%$515,060

1.0%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.1%$515,060

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$515,060

0.8%

-0.3%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$515,060

0.6%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$515,060

0.6%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$515,060

0.4%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$515,060

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$515,060

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,005,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$515,060

0.1%

+0.0%

11.6%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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