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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, and PredictIt | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$517,833 bet so far

Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧20.4-20.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-21.3%

20.6%

-0.0%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.1%
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.7%

15.9%

0.1%
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎9.4-9.8%
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%

9.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-6.1%
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.8-6.1%

5.7%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.3-5.6%

5.0%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.4%
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-4.2%

3.4%

-0.1%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-3.7%

2.2%

-0.1%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-3.1%

1.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-1.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-2.4%

1.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-3.1%

1.1%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-2.8%

0.9%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-2.3%

0.8%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-2.3%

0.8%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-1.7%

0.0%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.7%

0.0%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.3%

0.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-2.0%

0.0%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-2.2%

0.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.8%

0.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.7%

0.0%

+0.0%

31.3%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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