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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency
2024
Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$16,989,658 bet so far

Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎39.9-40.5%$14,745,567
Betfair 🇬🇧20.0-20.4%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-20.4%$796,648
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$63,182

37.6%

-0.5%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧22.7-23.3%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧22.7-23.3%$796,648
PredictIt 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$63,182

23.3%

1.2%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-14.3%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$796,648
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$63,182

14.4%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧5.6-5.9%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$796,648
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$63,182

5.8%

-0.1%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.1%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.1%$796,648

5.1%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$796,648

2.7%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$796,648

2.6%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.8%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$796,648

2.1%

-0.3%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$796,648

1.6%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$796,648

1.3%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$796,648

0.8%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$796,648

0.8%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$796,648

0.7%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$796,648

0.4%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$796,648

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$796,648

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$796,648

0.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$796,648

0.3%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$796,648

0.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$796,648

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,384,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$796,648

0.2%

+0.0%



Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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