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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$14,976,912 bet so far

Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎27.3-29.6%$13,705,283
Betfair 🇬🇧21.3-21.7%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-21.7%$388,956
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$23,565

27.9%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.7%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.7%$388,956
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$23,565

16.3%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$388,956
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$23,565

10.6%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$388,956
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$23,565

10.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-4.3%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-4.3%$388,956

4.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.6-4.0%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.7-3.9%$388,956

3.8%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-4.2%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.9%$388,956

3.6%

-0.3%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$388,956

1.8%

+0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$388,956

1.7%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$388,956

1.5%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$388,956

1.4%

0.1%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$388,956

1.3%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$388,956

0.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$388,956

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$388,956

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$388,956

0.7%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$388,956

0.6%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$388,956

0.5%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$388,956

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$388,956

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$859,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$388,956

0.2%

+0.0%

10.8%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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