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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$14,668,916 bet so far

Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎28.3-28.5%$13,890,852
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$160,743
PredictIt 🇺🇸26.0-27.0%$6,797

27.8%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧19.6-20.4%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-20.8%$160,743
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$6,797

20.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.9-15.2%$160,743
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$6,797

14.4%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-7.4%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.4%$160,743
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$6,797

7.2%

0.1%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-5.3%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.3-4.8%$160,743

4.8%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-4.8%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.5-5.0%$160,743

4.7%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$160,743

2.4%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$160,743

1.7%

-0.0%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$160,743

1.7%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$160,743

1.5%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$160,743

1.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$160,743

0.9%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$160,743

0.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$160,743

0.7%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$160,743

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$160,743

0.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$160,743

0.6%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$160,743

0.5%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$160,743

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$160,743

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$610,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$160,743

0.2%

-0.0%

6.6%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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