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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, and PredictIt | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$641,505 bet so far

Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.2%
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-21.7%

19.5%

1.4%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-17.2%

16.2%

0.1%
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎9.5-10.1%
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-11.1%

10.3%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.6-8.3%

7.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-5.6%

4.3%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-3.3%

3.1%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-2.9%

1.6%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.8%

1.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.4%

1.4%

0.2%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.4%

1.4%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-3.1%

1.4%

-0.4%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-2.3%

1.1%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-2.1%

1.0%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-2.0%

0.9%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-2.0%

0.8%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.8%

0.7%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.5%

0.5%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.4%

0.4%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.3%

0.4%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.3%

0.3%

+0.0%

26.1%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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