Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:00PM EDT on Oct 01, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$8,964,029 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧34.7-35.0%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧34.0-35.7%$1,783,465
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$153,563

34.9%

-0.3%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧30.3-30.8%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧33.6-34.5%$1,783,465
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.0-42.0%$153,563

31.4%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-7.1%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.0%$1,783,465

7.1%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.1%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-5.0%$1,783,465

4.9%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-4.8%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.8%$1,783,465

4.6%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.4%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.7%$1,783,465
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$153,563

3.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.3%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.7%$1,783,465

3.2%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,783,465
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$153,563

2.3%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$1,783,465

2.0%

-0.2%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$7,018,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$1,783,465

1.5%

+0.0%

4.7%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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