Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:25PM EDT on Jul 26, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$482,779,191 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎57.7-58.7%$396,829,299
Betfair 🇬🇧58.8-59.2%$50,110,995
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.2-52.1%$30,549,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧57.8-59.2%$5,301,235

56.8%

-2.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎39.8-39.9%$396,829,299
Betfair 🇬🇧38.2-38.8%$50,110,995
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.4-47.3%$30,549,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧37.3-38.8%$5,301,235

40.8%

3.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.9%$396,829,299
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$50,110,995
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$5,301,235

0.6%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.7%$396,829,299
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$50,110,995
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$5,301,235

0.6%

-0.9%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$396,829,299
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$50,110,995
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-1.9%$30,549,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$5,301,235

0.4%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$396,829,299
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.3%$50,110,995
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$5,301,235

0.2%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$396,829,299
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$50,110,995
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$30,549,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$5,301,235

0.1%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$50,110,995
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$5,301,235

0.1%

+0.0%

0.4%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd