Election Betting Odds by Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Election Betting Odds

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2028 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2028 elections
$2,110,366 bet so far

DEM details

Markets Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet

Polymarket 🌎 58.0-59.0% $1,576,900

Kalshi 🇺🇸 57.0-58.0% $336,675

Betfair 🇬🇧 57.1-57.8% $162,664

PredictIt 🇺🇸 59.0-60.0% $31,982

Smarkets 🇬🇧 56.2-58.8% $2,206

58.1%
0.4%

REP details

Markets Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet

Polymarket 🌎 41.0-42.0% $1,576,900

Kalshi 🇺🇸 40.0-41.9% $336,675

Betfair 🇬🇧 39.7-40.3% $162,664

PredictIt 🇺🇸 39.0-41.0% $31,982

Smarkets 🇬🇧 38.8-41.3% $2,206

40.5%
-0.6%

1.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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