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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2028 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2028 elections

$2,256,475 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎60.0-61.0%$1,673,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$379,386
Betfair 🇬🇧58.1-59.2%$168,414
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.4-60.4%$32,988
Smarkets 🇬🇧57.1-60.2%$2,210

59.6%

-0.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎38.0-39.0%$1,673,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$379,386
Betfair 🇬🇧38.8-39.4%$168,414
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.6-40.6%$32,988
Smarkets 🇬🇧38.2-40.3%$2,210

39.1%

+0.0%

1.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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