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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2028 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2028 elections

$2,409,798 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎60.0-61.0%$1,739,507
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.0-62.0%$460,290
Betfair 🇬🇧58.1-59.2%$172,148
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.3-60.3%$35,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧58.1-60.6%$2,210

60.0%

0.3%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎38.0-39.0%$1,739,507
Kalshi 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$460,290
Betfair 🇬🇧38.5-39.7%$172,148
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.2-41.1%$35,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧38.2-40.3%$2,210

39.1%

-0.2%

0.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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