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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$793,152,201 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.8-18.9%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$314,795

19.8%

0.4%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.5-17.6%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.6%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.2%$314,795

14.0%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-10.0%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.9%$314,795

10.2%

-0.8%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.3%$314,795

9.3%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.6-7.7%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-8.3%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$314,795

8.5%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-6.3%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.4-6.5%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.9%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$314,795

5.9%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$314,795

3.0%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.7%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$314,795

2.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$314,795

2.9%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$314,795

1.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$1,653,686
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,532,721
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.7%$314,795

0.7%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$314,795

0.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$314,795

0.6%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$314,795

0.6%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$736,807,899
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$314,795

0.5%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$314,795

0.4%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$314,795

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$314,795

0.2%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$314,795

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$314,795

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$736,807,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$52,851,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$314,795

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$314,795

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$314,795

0.1%

-0.1%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$314,795

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,653,686
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$314,795

0.1%

-0.3%

16.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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