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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$632,103,219 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-15.2%$1,237,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-28.0%$1,155,830
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.1%$217,207

18.1%

0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,237,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,155,830
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.5%$217,207

16.8%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,237,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,155,830

14.9%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$1,237,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,155,830
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$217,207

6.5%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-6.0%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-6.2%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,237,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,155,830
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$217,207

4.4%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$217,207

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,237,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,155,830
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$217,207

3.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.1%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,237,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,155,830
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$217,207

3.0%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$217,207

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.9%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$217,207

2.2%

-0.4%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.2%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$217,207

1.4%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.4%$1,237,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$1,155,830
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$217,207

1.1%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$217,207

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$217,207

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$217,207

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$217,207

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$607,075,251
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$22,420,866
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,207

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$217,207

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,207

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,207

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,207

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,207

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,207

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,237,154
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$217,207

0.1%

-0.0%

19.0%


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