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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$127,132,721 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎28.0-29.0%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-31.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧25.6-26.0%$706,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-27.0%$120,533

27.7%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-19.0%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$706,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-17.2%$120,533

18.5%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-9.0%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-6.7%$706,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.4%$120,533

6.9%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-4.1%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$706,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$443,634

4.0%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$706,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$120,533

2.6%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$706,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$120,533

2.4%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$706,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$120,533

2.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$706,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$120,533

1.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$120,533

1.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$120,533

1.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.1%$120,533

1.5%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$120,533

1.2%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.5%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$120,533

0.9%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$120,533

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$120,533

0.7%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-8.7%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$120,533

0.6%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$120,533

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.1%$123,385,543
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$120,533

0.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$120,533

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$120,533

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$120,533

0.3%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$120,533

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$120,533

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$706,750
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$120,533

0.2%

+0.0%

22.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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