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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$248,220,477 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸26.0-27.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧21.7-22.7%$954,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸26.0-28.0%$733,204
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.7-22.7%$169,055

24.5%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧20.4-20.8%$954,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$733,204
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.4-20.8%$169,055

21.3%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$954,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$733,204

8.5%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-5.6%$954,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$733,204
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.5%$169,055

5.8%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$954,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$733,204
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$169,055

3.7%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$954,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$733,204
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$169,055

2.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$954,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$733,204
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$169,055

2.8%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$954,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$733,204
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$169,055

2.2%

0.3%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$169,055

1.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$169,055

1.7%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$169,055

1.5%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.4%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$169,055

1.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$169,055

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$169,055

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$169,055

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$169,055

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$169,055

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$169,055

0.3%

0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,952,889
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$169,055

0.2%

-0.2%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$169,055

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$169,055

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$169,055

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$169,055

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$954,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$169,055

0.1%

-0.0%

17.7%


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