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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$644,088,725 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧13.5-15.2%$1,249,299
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,167,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-16.1%$218,619

17.1%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.4-14.5%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-16.1%$1,249,299
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,167,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.9%$218,619

16.0%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.2-16.6%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-13.5%$1,249,299
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,167,661

15.8%

0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.7%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.4-6.8%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.1%$1,249,299
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,167,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$218,619

6.6%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.5%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.3-5.5%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,249,299
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,167,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$218,619

4.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.7%$218,619

3.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,249,299
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,167,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$218,619

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,249,299
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,167,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$218,619

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.1%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$218,619

2.2%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.4%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.4%$218,619

1.7%

-0.5%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.5%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%$218,619

1.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.1%$1,249,299
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,167,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.1%$218,619

1.4%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$218,619

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$218,619

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$218,619

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$218,619

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$618,476,366
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$22,976,780
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,249,299
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$218,619

0.1%

-0.0%

20.1%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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