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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

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Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$704,293,683 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$238,879

19.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$238,879

14.2%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$238,879

13.5%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-8.1%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.7%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$238,879

9.0%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-8.3%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-10.0%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$238,879

8.4%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.3%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.7%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$238,879

3.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$238,879

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$238,879

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$238,879

2.8%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$238,879

2.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$238,879

1.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,336,396
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,230,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$238,879

1.5%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$238,879

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$668,345,920
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$238,879

0.9%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$238,879

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$238,879

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$238,879

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$238,879

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$668,345,920
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$33,142,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$238,879

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$238,879

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$238,879

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$238,879

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$238,879

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$238,879

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,336,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$238,879

0.1%

+0.0%

13.1%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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