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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$756,211,353 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$264,156

20.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$264,156

12.0%

0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.2-11.4%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$264,156

11.3%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-7.7%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.1-8.6%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$264,156

8.7%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-8.5%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$264,156

8.7%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.7%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,156

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$264,156

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-3.3%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$264,156

2.9%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,156

2.2%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$264,156

1.7%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,526,371
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,354,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$264,156

0.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,156

0.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,156

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$710,233,916
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$264,156

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$264,156

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$264,156

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$264,156

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,156

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,156

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,156

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$710,233,916
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$42,832,653
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$264,156

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,156

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,156

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,156

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,526,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$264,156

0.1%

+0.0%

20.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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