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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$153,888,471 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎29.0-30.0%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧26.0-27.0%$793,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$566,195
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.3-27.4%$135,135

27.9%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-18.0%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$793,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$566,195
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-19.2%$135,135

19.3%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-8.0%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.9%$793,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$566,195
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.5%$135,135

6.3%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-3.9%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$793,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$566,195

3.9%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-3.9%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$793,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$566,195
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$135,135

2.9%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-3.3%$793,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$566,195
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$135,135

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$793,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$566,195
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$135,135

2.8%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$793,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$566,195
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$135,135

2.3%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-4.5%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-5.1%$135,135

1.8%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$135,135

1.8%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$135,135

1.7%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$135,135

1.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.1%$135,135

1.2%

-0.3%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.1%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$135,135

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$135,135

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$135,135

0.7%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$149,279,459
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,115,837
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$135,135

0.4%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$135,135

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$135,135

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$135,135

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$135,135

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$135,135

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$135,135

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$793,659
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$135,135

0.2%

-0.0%

19.1%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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