Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:18AM EDT on Oct 29, 2025

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$102,126,090 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎27.0-29.0%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧27.0-28.6%$675,074
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-31.0%$363,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧29.0-29.4%$115,276

29.3%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-22.0%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-16.9%$675,074
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$363,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$115,276

20.3%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-9.0%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.7%$675,074
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$363,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-6.1%$115,276

6.6%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.5%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$675,074
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$363,346

4.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.9%$675,074
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$363,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$115,276

3.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$675,074
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$363,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$115,276

2.5%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$675,074
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$363,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-1.8%$115,276

2.4%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$675,074
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$363,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$115,276

2.1%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$115,276

2.1%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-1.0%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$115,276

1.6%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$115,276

1.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.8%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$115,276

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$115,276

0.7%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$115,276

0.6%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$115,276

0.6%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$115,276

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$99,142,181
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,830,213
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$115,276

0.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$115,276

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$115,276

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-8.7%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$115,276

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$115,276

0.3%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$115,276

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$115,276

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$675,074
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$115,276

0.2%

+0.0%

18.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd