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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$43,931,739 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎27.0-28.0%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧27.4-28.6%$651,250
PredictIt 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$292,152
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.7-29.4%$99,747

29.5%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.0-23.0%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-21.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$651,250
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$292,152
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-19.6%$99,747

21.4%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.6%$651,250
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$292,152
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-5.9%$99,747

6.3%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-4.0%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$651,250
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$292,152

3.3%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$651,250
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$292,152
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$99,747

3.1%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$651,250
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$292,152
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$99,747

2.5%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.9%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$651,250
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$292,152
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$99,747

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$99,747

2.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.3%$651,250
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$292,152
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$99,747

1.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.3%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$99,747

1.7%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-2.0%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%$99,747

1.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$99,747

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$99,747

0.9%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$99,747

0.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$99,747

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$99,747

0.6%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$99,747

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$41,380,707
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,507,883
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$99,747

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$99,747

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$99,747

0.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-8.7%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$99,747

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$99,747

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$99,747

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$651,250
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$99,747

0.2%

-0.0%

18.4%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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