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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

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Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$729,569,247 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.2-20.3%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$253,434

19.9%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.0-12.1%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$253,434

12.3%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.8%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-12.2%$253,434

10.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.8%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.5%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$253,434

10.0%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$253,434

9.7%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$253,434

3.3%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.6%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$253,434

3.2%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$253,434

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.7%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$253,434

2.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-2.1%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.5%$253,434

2.0%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$253,434

1.3%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$253,434

1.0%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.5%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.1%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$1,472,291
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,270,859
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$253,434

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$689,368,938
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$253,434

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$253,434

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$253,434

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$253,434

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$689,368,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,203,725
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,472,291
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%

17.4%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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