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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$172,663,740 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎30.0-31.0%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸28.0-30.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧28.2-28.6%$838,709
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-29.0%$622,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧28.2-28.6%$145,840

28.8%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.0-17.0%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$838,709
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$622,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.5%$145,840

19.2%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-8.0%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-6.9%$838,709
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-9.0%$622,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.3%$145,840

7.1%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$838,709
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$622,228

4.6%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.6%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$838,709
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$622,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$145,840

3.2%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$838,709
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$622,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$145,840

2.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$838,709
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$622,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$145,840

2.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$838,709
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$622,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$145,840

1.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$145,840

1.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-3.1%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-2.0%$145,840

1.7%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$145,840

1.6%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$145,840

1.5%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$145,840

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$145,840

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$145,840

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$145,840

0.6%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$145,840

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$167,175,809
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,881,994
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$145,840

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$145,840

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$145,840

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$145,840

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$145,840

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$145,840

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$838,709
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$145,840

0.1%

+0.0%

17.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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