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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$217,331,740 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸26.0-28.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧24.4-25.3%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧24.4-25.3%$159,926

26.1%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$159,926

20.1%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.7%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$712,861

8.1%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.9%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.4%$159,926

6.6%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$159,926

3.0%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$159,926

2.8%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$159,926

2.7%

0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$159,926

2.1%

0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$159,926

1.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$159,926

1.7%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$159,926

1.5%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.4%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$159,926

1.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$159,926

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$159,926

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$159,926

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$159,926

0.6%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$159,926

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$159,926

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$159,926

0.2%

-0.2%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$159,926

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$159,926

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$159,926

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$159,926

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$159,926

0.1%

-0.0%

18.1%


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