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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$766,372,128 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$271,252

19.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.8%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.5%$271,252

11.8%

-0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-9.5%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$271,252

10.1%

0.7%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-10.1%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-8.4%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$271,252

9.8%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.3%$271,252

8.8%

0.6%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$271,252

3.7%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$271,252

3.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.8%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$271,252

3.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.4%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$271,252

2.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$271,252

1.6%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$271,252

1.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$271,252

0.9%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,568,751
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,415,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$271,252

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-2.0%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$271,252

0.8%

0.3%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$717,456,409
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$271,252

0.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$271,252

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$271,252

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$271,252

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$271,252

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$271,252

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$271,252

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$271,252

0.1%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$717,456,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$45,660,718
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$271,252

0.1%

-0.1%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$271,252

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,568,751
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$271,252

0.1%

+0.0%

20.2%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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