Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:56PM EDT on Jul 29, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$710,665,526 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$244,026

18.9%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.3-12.4%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$244,026

13.2%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.6-11.7%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-11.9%$244,026

12.4%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.4%$244,026

10.6%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.2%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.7-8.8%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-11.4%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-13.5%$244,026

10.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.8%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$244,026

3.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$244,026

3.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$244,026

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.3%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$244,026

2.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$244,026

2.0%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.8%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$1,368,808
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$244,026

1.5%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$244,026

1.5%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$244,026

1.2%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$673,703,758
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$244,026

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$244,026

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$244,026

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$244,026

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$244,026

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$673,703,758
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,107,489
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,026

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,026

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$244,026

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,026

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,026

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,026

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,368,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$244,026

0.1%

+0.0%

12.7%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd