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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$203,464,681 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎26.0-27.0%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧25.0-25.6%$895,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.0-29.0%$680,271
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.0-25.6%$157,768

26.6%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-19.0%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$895,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$680,271
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$157,768

19.4%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.7%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-7.7%$895,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$680,271

9.0%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.5%$895,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$680,271
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-8.3%$157,768

6.6%

-0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.6%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$895,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$680,271
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$157,768

3.3%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$895,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$680,271
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$157,768

2.7%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$895,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$680,271
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$157,768

2.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$157,768

1.9%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$895,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$680,271
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$157,768

1.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.2%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$157,768

1.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$157,768

1.6%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$157,768

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$157,768

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$157,768

0.7%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$157,768

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$157,768

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$196,613,151
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,119,698
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$157,768

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$157,768

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$157,768

0.3%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$157,768

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$157,768

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$157,768

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$157,768

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$895,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$157,768

0.1%

-0.0%

17.1%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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