Odds update every minute | Last updated: 10:47AM EST on Nov 20, 2025

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$130,487,809 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎29.0-30.0%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-31.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧25.0-26.7%$715,945
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$464,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧23.8-27.8%$120,557

27.8%

0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-19.0%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$715,945
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$464,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-17.2%$120,557

19.4%

0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-9.0%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-7.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$715,945
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-9.0%$464,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.4%$120,557

7.1%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$715,945
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$464,694

4.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$715,945
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$464,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$120,557

2.4%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$715,945
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$464,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$120,557

2.4%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.7%$715,945
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$464,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$120,557

2.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-1.0%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$715,945
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$464,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$120,557

1.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$120,557

1.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.2%$120,557

1.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$120,557

1.5%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$120,557

1.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.5%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$120,557

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$120,557

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$120,557

0.7%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-8.7%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-10.0%$120,557

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$126,668,384
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,521,260
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$120,557

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$120,557

0.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$120,557

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$120,557

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$120,557

0.3%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$120,557

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$120,557

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$715,945
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$120,557

0.2%

+0.0%

21.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd