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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$382,788,805 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.1-21.2%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧20.4-21.3%$1,040,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$839,597
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.4-21.7%$183,964

22.0%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.8-16.9%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$1,040,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$839,597
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$183,964

18.9%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.9%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-10.0%$1,040,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$839,597

10.6%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.3%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-6.1%$1,040,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$839,597
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.9%$183,964

6.5%

0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,040,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$839,597
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$183,964

3.4%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,040,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$839,597
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$183,964

3.1%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,040,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$839,597
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$183,964

2.7%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,040,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$839,597
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$183,964

2.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$183,964

1.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$183,964

1.7%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$183,964

1.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.8%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.8%$183,964

1.2%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$183,964

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$183,964

0.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$183,964

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$183,964

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$370,894,196
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,837,782
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$183,964

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$183,964

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$183,964

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$183,964

0.2%

0.1%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$183,964

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$183,964

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$183,964

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,040,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$183,964

0.1%

+0.0%

20.4%


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