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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$398,625 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧22.2-23.3%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.7-22.2%$41,793

22.4%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.6-6.1%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.6-6.3%$41,793

5.9%

-0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.3%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-5.4%$41,793

5.2%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.4%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-4.8%$41,793

4.7%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-4.8%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.5-4.8%$41,793

4.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.2%$41,793

3.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$41,793

2.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$41,793

2.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.9%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$41,793

2.3%

-0.4%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$41,793

2.2%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$41,793

1.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$41,793

1.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$41,793

1.0%

0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-2.9%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$41,793

0.9%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$41,793

0.7%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$41,793

0.7%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.8%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$41,793

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$41,793

0.5%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$41,793

0.4%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$41,793

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$41,793

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$41,793

0.4%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$356,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$41,793

0.3%

+0.0%

34.7%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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