Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:18AM EDT on May 12, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

House Control 2026House Control 2026

$18,649,868 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸74.3-75.2%$11,768,832
Polymarket 🌎77.2-78.2%$5,899,624
PredictIt 🇺🇸67.0-70.0%$681,211
Betfair 🇬🇧72.5-76.9%$286,850
Smarkets 🇬🇧74.3-80.2%$13,382

74.6%

-1.3%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸24.8-25.7%$11,768,832
Polymarket 🌎21.8-22.8%$5,899,624
PredictIt 🇺🇸30.5-32.5%$681,211
Betfair 🇬🇧23.3-25.0%$286,850
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.3-25.2%$13,382

25.2%

1.3%

0.2%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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