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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$758,745,374 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎43.7-43.8%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$43,078,211
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-42.0%$1,484,373
Betfair 🇬🇧41.7-46.7%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧41.7-42.4%$4,952

42.6%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-14.7%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$43,078,211
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$1,484,373
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-20.0%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$4,952

17.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-4.9%$43,078,211
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,484,373
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-5.0%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.3-4.5%$4,952

3.4%

-0.9%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,078,211
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$4,952

2.4%

0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.4%$43,078,211
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$1,484,373

2.4%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$43,078,211
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-3.0%$1,484,373
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-3.8%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-3.9%$4,952

2.4%

0.3%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-1.6%$43,078,211
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,484,373
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-6.3%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,952

1.0%

-0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$43,078,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$4,952

0.8%

-0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.3%$43,078,211
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,484,373
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$4,952

0.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$43,078,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$4,952

0.6%

-0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,078,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,952

0.4%

-0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$43,078,211

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$43,078,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-50.0%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$4,952

0.3%

-0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$43,078,211

0.3%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.2%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.5%$43,078,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-8.3%$93,983
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$4,952

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,078,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$93,983

0.2%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$43,078,211

0.1%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$43,078,211

0.1%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$714,083,855
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$43,078,211

0.0%

+0.0%

24.0%


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