Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:57AM EDT on Jun 07, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$681,432,170 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎30.0-30.1%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$28,327,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$1,262,354
Betfair 🇬🇧31.7-32.3%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧31.8-32.8%$2,559

32.3%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎26.9-27.0%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$28,327,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-29.0%$1,262,354
Betfair 🇬🇧30.8-32.3%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧30.8-32.8%$2,559

29.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.4-5.6%$28,327,748
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-5.0%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.8%$2,559

4.1%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.0%$28,327,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,262,354
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-4.3%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-4.2%$2,559

3.9%

-0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$28,327,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,354

3.0%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$28,327,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,262,354
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$2,559

1.2%

-0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$28,327,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,262,354
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$2,559

1.1%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$28,327,748
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$2,559

1.0%

0.1%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$28,327,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,262,354
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,559

0.9%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$28,327,748

0.7%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$28,327,748

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$28,327,748
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$64,228

0.6%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$28,327,748
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,559

0.5%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$28,327,748

0.5%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$28,327,748

0.5%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$28,327,748

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$28,327,748
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$2,559

0.4%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$28,327,748
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,559

0.4%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$651,777,125
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$28,327,748
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$64,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$2,559

0.4%

+0.0%

18.2%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd