Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:02PM EST on Jan 18, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$202,724,007 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$8,685,002
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$733,715

50.5%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.7-15.9%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$8,685,002
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$733,715

16.3%

-1.9%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.8%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$8,685,002
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$733,715

4.2%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.9%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$8,685,002
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$733,715

3.9%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,685,002
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$733,715

2.5%

-0.1%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,685,002
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$733,715

2.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,685,002

2.1%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,685,002
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$733,715

1.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,685,002

1.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,685,002

1.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,685,002

1.1%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,685,002

1.1%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,685,002

1.1%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,685,002

1.0%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,685,002

1.0%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,685,002

0.5%

0.2%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,685,002

0.3%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,685,002

0.3%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$193,305,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,685,002

0.2%

+0.0%

6.8%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd