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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$126,771,645 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎52.0-54.0%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$6,281,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$588,664

51.0%

-0.5%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-8.5%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$6,281,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$588,664

9.5%

1.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.8%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$6,281,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$588,664

4.6%

-0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$6,281,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$588,664

4.0%

-0.1%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$6,281,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$588,664

2.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$6,281,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$588,664

2.2%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$6,281,577

2.1%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$588,664

1.8%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577

1.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577

1.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577

1.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577

1.1%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577

1.0%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577

1.0%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577

1.0%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$6,281,577

1.0%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$6,281,577

0.5%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$6,281,577

0.3%

0.1%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$119,901,404
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$6,281,577

0.3%

-0.7%

12.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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