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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$641,454,852 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎36.6-36.7%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%$25,320,605
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$1,185,539
Betfair 🇬🇧38.5-41.3%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.1-41.3%$2,528

37.9%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎25.3-25.4%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$25,320,605
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$1,185,539
Betfair 🇬🇧21.3-22.7%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-22.7%$2,528

25.3%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-3.9%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.8%$25,320,605
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,185,539
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-10.0%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.9-4.2%$2,528

4.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.6%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-4.9%$25,320,605
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-21.3%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-6.3%$2,528

3.6%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.6%$25,320,605
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,185,539

3.3%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-1.6%$25,320,605
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,185,539
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$2,528

1.3%

0.2%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$25,320,605
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,185,539
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,528

1.1%

0.2%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$25,320,605
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,185,539
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$2,528

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$25,320,605
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-97.1%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$2,528

0.9%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$25,320,605
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$58,117

0.6%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$25,320,605

0.5%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$25,320,605

0.5%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$25,320,605
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,528

0.5%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$25,320,605

0.4%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$25,320,605

0.4%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$25,320,605

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$25,320,605
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$2,528

0.4%

-0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$25,320,605
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,528

0.4%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$614,888,979
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$25,320,605
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$58,117
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$2,528

0.3%

+0.0%

16.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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