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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$744,917,442 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎51.2-51.3%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$39,164,832
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$1,436,158
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-48.1%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.5-47.6%$4,350

47.1%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.1-17.2%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$39,164,832
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,436,158
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-20.8%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-20.8%$4,350

18.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$39,164,832
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$1,436,158
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-5.0%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-4.3%$4,350

2.9%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.3%$39,164,832
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,436,158

2.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.4%$39,164,832
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.5%$4,350

2.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.9-2.0%$39,164,832
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,436,158
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.8%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$4,350

1.2%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.9%$39,164,832
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,436,158
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,350

0.9%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$39,164,832
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,436,158
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$4,350

0.9%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$39,164,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$4,350

0.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$39,164,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$4,350

0.6%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$39,164,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.2%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,350

0.6%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$39,164,832

0.4%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$39,164,832

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$39,164,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$89,782

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$39,164,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-50.0%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$4,350

0.3%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$39,164,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-10.0%$89,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$4,350

0.2%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$39,164,832

0.1%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$39,164,832

0.1%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$704,222,380
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$39,164,832

0.0%

+0.0%

18.9%


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