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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$375,139,048 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎41.5-41.7%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.0-42.0%$12,723,152
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$844,308

42.2%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.6-17.7%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$12,723,152
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$844,308

20.0%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.3%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$12,723,152
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$844,308

4.4%

-0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.2%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$12,723,152
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$844,308

3.7%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$12,723,152

2.7%

-0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,723,152
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$844,308

2.5%

-0.3%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,723,152
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$844,308

2.2%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,723,152
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$844,308

2.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,723,152

1.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,723,152

1.4%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,723,152

1.3%

-0.3%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,723,152

1.3%

0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,723,152

1.3%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,723,152

1.2%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,723,152

1.2%

-0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,723,152

0.7%

-0.1%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,723,152

0.6%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,723,152

0.5%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$361,581,631
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,723,152

0.4%

+0.0%

8.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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