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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$80,477,985 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎58.0-60.0%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$4,404,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.0-55.0%$333,367

55.5%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.7%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$4,404,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$333,367

8.0%

-0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.5%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$4,404,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$333,367

5.8%

-0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$4,404,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$333,367

3.5%

0.2%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.8%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$4,404,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$333,367

2.2%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$4,404,027

1.9%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$333,367

1.8%

-0.2%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$333,367

1.6%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.1%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.1%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.0%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.0%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.0%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.0%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,404,027

1.0%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$4,404,027

0.6%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$75,746,801
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$4,404,027

0.3%

+0.0%

9.0%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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