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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$726,927,248 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎47.2-47.4%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$35,901,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$1,394,873
Betfair 🇬🇧42.0-43.9%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧42.0-43.9%$4,014

44.2%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.9-21.0%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$35,901,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-26.0%$1,394,873
Betfair 🇬🇧20.4-22.7%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.4-22.7%$4,014

21.3%

-1.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.1-5.2%$35,901,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,394,873
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-4.5%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-4.2%$4,014

4.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-2.0%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$35,901,891
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.7%$4,014

3.0%

0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.6%$35,901,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,394,873

2.7%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$35,901,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,394,873
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$4,014

1.0%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$35,901,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,394,873
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$4,014

0.9%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$35,901,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,394,873
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,014

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$35,901,891
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$4,014

0.8%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$35,901,891
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$86,598

0.5%

-0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$35,901,891

0.4%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$35,901,891

0.4%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$35,901,891
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,014

0.4%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$35,901,891

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$35,901,891
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-5.0%$4,014

0.4%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$35,901,891
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-10.0%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$4,014

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$35,901,891
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-50.0%$86,598
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$4,014

0.3%

-0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$35,901,891

0.3%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$689,540,063
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$35,901,891

0.1%

+0.0%

17.9%


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