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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$109,421,018 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$5,691,101
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$538,591

52.2%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.6-7.8%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$5,691,101
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$538,591

7.9%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.6%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$5,691,101
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$538,591

5.2%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,691,101
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$538,591

3.5%

-0.3%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,691,101
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$538,591

2.3%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,691,101
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$538,591

2.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.8%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,691,101

2.1%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.3%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$538,591

1.7%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.1%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.1%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.1%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.0%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.6%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.0%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.0%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.0%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,691,101

1.0%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,691,101

0.6%

-0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$103,191,326
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,691,101

0.2%

+0.0%

12.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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