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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$742,596,265 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎50.2-50.3%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$38,887,175
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$1,435,235
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-47.2%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.5-47.2%$4,297

46.8%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.5-18.7%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$38,887,175
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,435,235
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-20.8%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-20.8%$4,297

19.4%

2.2%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$38,887,175
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,435,235

2.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.4%$38,887,175
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.7%$4,297

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$38,887,175
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,435,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-5.0%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-4.3%$4,297

2.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.8%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.2%$38,887,175
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,435,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.8%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$4,297

1.2%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.4%$38,887,175
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,435,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$4,297

1.0%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.9%$38,887,175
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,435,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,297

0.9%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$38,887,175
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$4,297

0.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.6%$38,887,175
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$4,297

0.7%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$38,887,175
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.2%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,297

0.6%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$38,887,175

0.4%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$38,887,175

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$38,887,175
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$89,406

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$38,887,175
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-50.0%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$4,297

0.3%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$38,887,175
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-10.0%$89,406
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$4,297

0.2%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$38,887,175

0.2%

-0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$38,887,175

0.1%

-0.1%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$702,180,172
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$38,887,175

0.0%

+0.0%

18.5%


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