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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$723,420,130 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎43.2-43.3%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$34,761,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$1,364,895
Betfair 🇬🇧40.0-43.1%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧40.6-43.1%$3,863

42.3%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.0-23.1%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$34,761,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$1,364,895
Betfair 🇬🇧23.8-24.4%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧23.8-24.4%$3,863

24.2%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.3%$34,761,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,364,895
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-4.5%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$3,863

4.0%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.0%$34,761,591
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.6%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.6%$3,863

2.9%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.5%$34,761,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,364,895

2.6%

-0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.2%$34,761,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,364,895
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$3,863

1.0%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,761,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,364,895
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$3,863

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$34,761,591
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$3,863

0.8%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$34,761,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,364,895
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,863

0.8%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$34,761,591
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$81,444

0.5%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,761,591

0.5%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.7%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$34,761,591

0.5%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$34,761,591
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$3,863

0.4%

-0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$34,761,591
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,863

0.4%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,761,591

0.4%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$34,761,591
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-10.0%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,863

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$34,761,591
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$81,444
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$3,863

0.3%

-0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,761,591

0.3%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$687,208,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$34,761,591

0.1%

+0.0%

16.7%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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