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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$717,676,052 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎44.7-45.0%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$33,718,091
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$1,339,273
Betfair 🇬🇧40.0-41.0%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧40.0-41.0%$3,845

40.8%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎27.7-27.8%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$33,718,091
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.0-29.0%$1,339,273
Betfair 🇬🇧25.3-27.8%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-27.8%$3,845

27.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.3-5.5%$33,718,091
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,339,273
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-4.5%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$3,845

4.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-3.8%$33,718,091
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.9%$3,845

2.8%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.7%$33,718,091
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,339,273

2.8%

-0.1%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.2%$33,718,091
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,339,273
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$3,845

1.0%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$33,718,091
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,339,273
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$3,845

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$33,718,091
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$3,845

0.8%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$33,718,091
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,339,273
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,845

0.8%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$33,718,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$77,819

0.5%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$33,718,091

0.5%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$33,718,091

0.4%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$33,718,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,845

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.5%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$33,718,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$3,845

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$33,718,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$3,845

0.4%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,718,091

0.4%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$33,718,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-10.0%$77,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,845

0.3%

-0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,718,091

0.3%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$682,537,025
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$33,718,091

0.2%

+0.0%

14.4%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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