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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$704,360,328 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎41.5-41.6%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.0-42.0%$31,027,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$1,309,711
Betfair 🇬🇧38.5-39.4%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧38.5-38.8%$3,190

39.6%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎26.9-27.0%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸28.0-29.0%$31,027,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$1,309,711
Betfair 🇬🇧25.6-27.0%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-26.3%$3,190

27.5%

0.4%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.4%$31,027,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$1,309,711
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-4.5%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$3,190

3.6%

-0.4%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.4%$31,027,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,309,711

3.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.6%$31,027,670
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$3,190

2.8%

-0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-1.0%$31,027,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,309,711
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$3,190

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$31,027,670
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$3,190

0.9%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$31,027,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,309,711
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,190

0.9%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$31,027,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,309,711
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$3,190

0.9%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$31,027,670
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$74,448

0.6%

-0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$31,027,670

0.5%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$31,027,670

0.5%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$31,027,670

0.5%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$31,027,670
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,190

0.5%

-0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$31,027,670

0.4%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$31,027,670

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$31,027,670
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$3,190

0.4%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$31,027,670
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,190

0.4%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$671,945,504
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$31,027,670
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$74,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,190

0.4%

+0.0%

14.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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