Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:52PM EDT on Oct 15, 2025

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$50,444,969 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎53.0-54.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$3,798,399
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.0-55.0%$253,352

53.7%

-0.8%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.2%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$3,798,399
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$253,352

6.7%

-0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.2%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,798,399
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$253,352

5.4%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,798,399
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$253,352

4.2%

-0.1%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,798,399
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$253,352

2.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,798,399

2.0%

-0.2%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$253,352

1.7%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$253,352

1.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.3%

-0.1%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.2%

-0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.2%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.2%

-0.1%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.2%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.2%

-0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,798,399

1.2%

-0.1%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,798,399

0.6%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$46,393,218
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,798,399

0.5%

+0.0%

9.7%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd