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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$10,896,648 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$3,037,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$156,037

53.2%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.9%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$3,037,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$156,037

8.3%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.5%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,037,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$156,037

4.5%

-0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-4.0%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,037,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$156,037

4.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,037,275

3.1%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.3%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,037,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$156,037

3.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.3%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,037,275

1.8%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$156,037

1.5%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.4%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$156,037

1.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

1.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

1.2%

-0.1%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

1.1%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.8%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

1.1%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

1.0%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.6%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

1.0%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

1.0%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

1.0%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.5%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,037,275

0.9%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$7,703,336
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,037,275

0.2%

+0.0%

9.0%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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