Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:00AM EDT on Oct 01, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$751,474,272 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎50.4-50.5%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$41,518,321
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.0-42.0%$1,453,980
Betfair 🇬🇧46.7-47.2%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.7-47.2%$4,444

46.1%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.4-15.5%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$41,518,321
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,453,980
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-25.0%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-25.0%$4,444

18.7%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.4%$41,518,321
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,453,980
Betfair 🇬🇧3.8-5.0%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.9-4.5%$4,444

4.0%

0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.6%$41,518,321
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,453,980

2.6%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.1%$41,518,321
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$4,444

2.5%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-1.9%$41,518,321
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,453,980
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-3.8%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$4,444

1.4%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$41,518,321
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,453,980
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$4,444

0.9%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$41,518,321
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,453,980
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,444

0.9%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.9%$41,518,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$4,444

0.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$41,518,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$4,444

0.6%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$41,518,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,444

0.5%

-0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$41,518,321

0.4%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$41,518,321

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$41,518,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$90,181

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$41,518,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-50.0%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$4,444

0.3%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$41,518,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$90,181
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$4,444

0.2%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$41,518,321

0.1%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$41,518,321

0.1%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$708,407,433
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$41,518,321

0.0%

+0.0%

19.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd