Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:39PM EST on Feb 19, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$323,123,187 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎45.3-45.4%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-46.0%$11,271,535
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$794,862

46.6%

0.9%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.3-14.7%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$11,271,535
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$794,862

17.2%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,271,535
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$794,862

4.2%

0.2%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.4%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,271,535
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$794,862

3.8%

-0.4%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,271,535

2.8%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,271,535
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$794,862

2.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,271,535
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$794,862

2.6%

-0.1%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,271,535
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$794,862

2.1%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,271,535

1.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,271,535

1.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,271,535

1.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,271,535

1.4%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,271,535

1.3%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,271,535

1.3%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,271,535

1.3%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,271,535

0.7%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,271,535

0.6%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,271,535

0.5%

-0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$311,067,188
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,271,535

0.5%

-0.0%

6.2%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd