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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$598,248,483 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎39.4-39.6%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$21,990,502
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$1,062,339
Betfair 🇬🇧39.4-43.5%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.7-43.1%$2,246

39.7%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.4-20.5%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$21,990,502
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,062,339
Betfair 🇬🇧20.4-23.8%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.4-23.8%$2,246

22.6%

-1.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-4.4%$21,990,502
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,062,339
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-9.5%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.5%$2,246

4.1%

-0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.3%$21,990,502
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,062,339

3.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.6%$21,990,502
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-22.7%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$2,246

2.9%

0.2%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-2.0%$21,990,502
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,062,339
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$2,246

1.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$21,990,502
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,062,339
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$2,246

1.1%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$21,990,502
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$1,062,339
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,246

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,990,502
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-97.1%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$2,246

0.9%

-0.1%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$21,990,502

0.6%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$21,990,502

0.6%

0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$21,990,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$54,777

0.6%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-1.0%$21,990,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,246

0.5%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,990,502

0.5%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$21,990,502

0.4%

0.1%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,990,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-9.1%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,246

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,990,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$2,246

0.4%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$21,990,502

0.4%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$575,184,009
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,990,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$54,777
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$2,246

0.3%

+0.0%

18.5%


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