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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$693,729,810 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎37.3-37.4%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.0-42.0%$29,548,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$1,287,147
Betfair 🇬🇧31.3-35.0%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧31.3-35.0%$2,855

36.5%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.1-22.2%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$29,548,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.0-29.0%$1,287,147
Betfair 🇬🇧25.3-29.4%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧27.0-29.4%$2,855

27.1%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$29,548,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,287,147
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-4.5%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.3%$2,855

3.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.2%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$29,548,290
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-5.0%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-4.8%$2,855

3.4%

-0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$29,548,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,287,147

2.9%

-0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.9%$29,548,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,287,147
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$2,855

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$29,548,290
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$2,855

1.0%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$29,548,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,287,147
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,855

0.9%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$29,548,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,287,147
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$2,855

0.8%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$29,548,290

0.7%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$29,548,290
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$70,302

0.6%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$29,548,290

0.5%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$29,548,290

0.5%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$29,548,290
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,855

0.5%

-0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$29,548,290

0.4%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$29,548,290

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$29,548,290
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$2,855

0.4%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$29,548,290
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-8.7%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,855

0.4%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$662,822,682
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$29,548,290
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$70,302
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$2,855

0.4%

+0.0%

17.6%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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