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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$711,298,325 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎41.5-41.6%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$32,239,678
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$1,322,968
Betfair 🇬🇧39.1-39.4%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.1-39.4%$3,814

39.4%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎27.9-28.0%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-31.0%$32,239,678
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$1,322,968
Betfair 🇬🇧25.3-27.8%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-27.8%$3,814

28.2%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.4%$32,239,678
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$1,322,968
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$3,814

4.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.9%$32,239,678
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.7%$3,814

2.8%

-0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$32,239,678
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,322,968

2.5%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.2%$32,239,678
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,322,968
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$3,814

1.0%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$32,239,678
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,322,968
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$3,814

0.9%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$32,239,678
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,322,968
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,814

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$32,239,678
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$3,814

0.8%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$32,239,678

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.1%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$32,239,678
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$75,844

0.5%

-0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$32,239,678

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$32,239,678
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$3,814

0.4%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$32,239,678

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$32,239,678
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$3,814

0.4%

-0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$32,239,678
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,814

0.4%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$32,239,678
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$75,844
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,814

0.4%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$32,239,678

0.3%

-0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$677,656,108
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$32,239,678

0.2%

+0.0%

15.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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