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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$412,108,542 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎38.6-38.8%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$15,737,795
PredictIt 🇺🇸36.0-37.0%$879,865

37.6%

-1.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎28.2-28.3%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$15,737,795
PredictIt 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$879,865

29.1%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$15,737,795
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$879,865

4.2%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,737,795
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$879,865

3.6%

-0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$15,737,795
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$879,865

2.5%

-0.3%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,737,795

2.2%

-0.3%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$15,737,795
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$879,865

1.7%

-0.1%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$15,737,795
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$879,865

1.7%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$15,737,795

1.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$15,737,795

1.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$15,737,795

1.1%

-0.1%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,737,795

0.6%

0.1%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,737,795

0.6%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,737,795

0.5%

-0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,737,795

0.5%

-0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,737,795

0.5%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,737,795

0.4%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,737,795

0.4%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$395,555,137
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,737,795

0.3%

-0.1%

9.7%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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