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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$754,123,443 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎48.5-48.6%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$42,364,842
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.0-42.0%$1,463,233
Betfair 🇬🇧45.9-47.2%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.7-47.2%$4,636

45.3%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.1-15.2%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$42,364,842
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,463,233
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-20.8%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-20.8%$4,636

17.7%

-0.5%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-4.0%$42,364,842
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,463,233
Betfair 🇬🇧3.8-5.0%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$4,636

4.0%

-0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$42,364,842
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,463,233

2.7%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.8%$42,364,842
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$4,636

2.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.2%$42,364,842
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,463,233
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-3.8%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-3.3%$4,636

1.8%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.7%$42,364,842
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,463,233
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,636

1.0%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$42,364,842
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,463,233
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$4,636

0.9%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.9%$42,364,842
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$4,636

0.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$42,364,842
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$4,636

0.6%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$42,364,842
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$4,636

0.5%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$42,364,842

0.4%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$42,364,842

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$42,364,842
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-50.0%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$4,636

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$42,364,842
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$91,168

0.3%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$42,364,842
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$91,168
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$4,636

0.2%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$42,364,842

0.1%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$42,364,842

0.1%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$710,200,826
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$42,364,842

0.0%

+0.0%

20.6%


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