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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$175,177,854 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$8,144,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$699,991

50.8%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.2-12.4%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$8,144,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$699,991

14.1%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.5%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$8,144,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$699,991

3.8%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.1%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$8,144,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$699,991

3.7%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,144,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$699,991

2.5%

-0.1%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,144,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$699,991

2.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,144,481

2.1%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,144,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$699,991

1.7%

0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,144,481

1.5%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,144,481

1.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,144,481

1.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,144,481

1.2%

0.1%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,144,481

1.1%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,144,481

1.0%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,144,481

1.0%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,144,481

0.3%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,144,481

0.3%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,144,481

0.2%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$166,366,298
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,144,481

0.2%

+0.0%

9.6%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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