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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$676,126,344 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎30.7-30.8%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$27,504,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸36.0-37.0%$1,249,674
Betfair 🇬🇧31.3-35.0%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧31.3-34.0%$2,559

33.1%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎26.6-26.7%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$27,504,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$1,249,674
Betfair 🇬🇧26.3-28.2%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧27.0-28.2%$2,559

27.7%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.5%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-4.9%$27,504,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,249,674
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-4.3%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.9-4.2%$2,559

4.2%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.0%$27,504,723
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-5.0%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-5.0%$2,559

3.8%

-0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.4%$27,504,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,249,674

3.3%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$27,504,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,249,674
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$2,559

1.2%

-0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$27,504,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,249,674
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$2,559

1.1%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$27,504,723
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$2,559

1.0%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$27,504,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,249,674
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,559

0.9%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$27,504,723

0.6%

-0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.5%$27,504,723

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.5%$27,504,723
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$61,512

0.6%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$27,504,723
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,559

0.5%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$27,504,723

0.5%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$27,504,723

0.4%

0.1%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$27,504,723

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$27,504,723
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$2,559

0.4%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$27,504,723
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,559

0.4%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$647,313,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$27,504,723
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$61,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$2,559

0.4%

+0.0%

18.8%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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