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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$588,972,147 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎38.9-39.0%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$21,575,235
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.0-40.0%$1,051,049
Betfair 🇬🇧39.4-43.5%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.7-43.5%$2,199

39.3%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.6-21.7%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸26.0-27.0%$21,575,235
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,051,049
Betfair 🇬🇧23.8-25.0%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧23.8-25.0%$2,199

24.0%

0.6%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$21,575,235
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,051,049
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-9.5%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.5%$2,199

4.0%

0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.5%$21,575,235
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,051,049

2.9%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.2-3.3%$21,575,235
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-5.9%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$2,199

2.7%

0.4%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-2.0%$21,575,235
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,051,049
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$2,199

1.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$21,575,235
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,051,049
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$2,199

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$21,575,235
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-97.1%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$2,199

1.0%

0.3%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$21,575,235
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,051,049
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,199

0.9%

-0.1%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$21,575,235

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,575,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$54,402

0.5%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,575,235

0.5%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$21,575,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,199

0.5%

-0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,575,235

0.5%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,575,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-9.1%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$2,199

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,575,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$2,199

0.4%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$21,575,235

0.4%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$21,575,235

0.4%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$566,309,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,575,235
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$54,402
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$2,199

0.3%

+0.0%

18.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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