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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$390,621,167 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎36.0-37.0%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%$1,130,882

35.5%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.0-11.0%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,130,882

10.8%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,130,882

6.3%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.0-9.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,130,882

5.9%

1.4%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,130,882

5.2%

-0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$1,130,882

4.5%

0.1%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,130,882

4.2%

0.4%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,130,882

3.4%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,805,327
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,130,882

3.4%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$15,805,327

1.0%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,805,327

0.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,805,327

0.5%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,805,327

0.4%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,805,327

0.3%

-0.1%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$373,684,958
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,805,327

0.2%

+0.0%

17.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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