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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,373,711,644 bet so far
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.2-19.3%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-23.8%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-21.7%$8,945

18.4%

0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.4-16.5%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-17.9%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$8,945

17.2%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.6-12.7%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-14.3%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-14.7%$8,945

13.2%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.1-8.3%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.7-7.8%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-7.1%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$8,945

7.5%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.5%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.3-5.4%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-11.6%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$8,945

6.0%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.7%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.7%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-16.7%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.6-4.0%$8,945

4.1%

0.1%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-20.0%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-9.5%$8,945

4.0%

-0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$8,945

1.7%

+0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.3%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.4%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.2%$8,945

1.5%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.8%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$92,513,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,224,673
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-3.1%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-3.3%$8,945

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.9%$92,513,225
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.1%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$8,945

0.8%

-0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$92,513,225

0.6%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.1%$92,513,225

0.5%

-0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$92,513,225
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$102,588
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$8,945

0.3%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$92,513,225

0.3%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,277,864,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$92,513,225

0.1%

+0.0%

22.9%


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