Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:31PM EDT on Aug 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,331,490,157 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.2-18.3%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧20.0-20.4%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-20.4%$8,084

19.3%

0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.5-16.6%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$8,084

16.5%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.7-14.8%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-16.7%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-17.9%$8,084

14.5%

-0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.6-7.7%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.9%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-6.3%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-6.3%$8,084

7.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.4-5.5%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-7.1%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.1%$8,084

5.9%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.2%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-4.2%$8,084

3.9%

+0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.6%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-4.3%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-4.0%$8,084

3.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.3%$75,969,056
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-9.1%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.5%$8,084

2.3%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.5%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$8,084

2.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-3.1%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-3.3%$8,084

1.9%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$75,969,056
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,046,455
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-2.0%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$8,084

1.8%

-0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$75,969,056

0.8%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$75,969,056

0.6%

0.1%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$75,969,056
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$85,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$8,084

0.4%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$75,969,056

0.4%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,252,380,931
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$75,969,056

0.3%

+0.0%

17.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd