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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$603,992,191 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$1,514,384

32.0%

-0.7%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,514,384

9.5%

0.5%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$1,514,384

8.0%

0.9%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$1,514,384

7.0%

0.6%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,514,384

5.5%

0.9%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,514,384

5.0%

0.2%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,514,384

4.5%

0.7%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,514,384

4.0%

0.8%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$21,465,536
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,514,384

3.5%

0.6%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$21,465,536

1.5%

0.4%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$21,465,536

0.0%

-0.4%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$21,465,536

0.0%

-0.5%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$21,465,536

0.0%

-0.4%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$21,465,536

0.0%

-0.5%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$21,465,536

0.0%

-0.5%

19.4%


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