Odds update every minute | Last updated: 8:29AM EDT on Apr 27, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,153,705,875 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎26.4-26.5%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸26.0-27.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧30.8-34.2%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧31.3-33.8%$4,988

28.5%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-8.6%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.2%$4,988

10.4%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.3-6.5%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.9%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-5.9%$4,988

6.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.2-4.4%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.5-5.6%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-11.6%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-10.0%$4,988

6.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.9%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.3-5.5%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-7.1%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-7.1%$4,988

6.0%

+0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.0%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-6.5%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-5.9%$4,988

4.3%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.5%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.5%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-4.5%$4,988

1.9%

+0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.8%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-3.6%$4,988

1.9%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.1%$43,576,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,577,894
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.4%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-3.5%$4,988

1.2%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.6%$43,576,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.2%$4,988

0.9%

-0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$43,576,637

0.9%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$43,576,637

0.8%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$43,576,637

0.6%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$43,576,637

0.6%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$1,107,504,227
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$43,576,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$54,889
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$4,988

0.4%

+0.0%

28.6%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd