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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,395,270,672 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.0-15.1%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$9,011

17.0%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.9-18.0%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-17.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.9%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-20.4%$9,011

16.7%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.8-17.9%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-14.3%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-14.3%$9,011

14.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-7.1%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.6-8.1%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.9%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$9,011

7.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-6.1%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.7%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-9.1%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$9,011

5.8%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.1%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-6.1%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$9,011

5.7%

+0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.2%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.3-5.5%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-5.0%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-5.0%$9,011

4.6%

-0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.1%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$9,011

2.1%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.4%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$9,011

1.8%

-0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-1.6%$100,825,698

1.4%

0.7%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.7%$100,825,698
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.8%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.5%$9,011

1.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.8%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$100,825,698
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,314,022
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-3.1%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-2.4%$9,011

1.1%

-0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$100,825,698

0.5%

-0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$100,825,698
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$108,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$9,011

0.3%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$100,825,698

0.3%

-0.1%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,291,013,928
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$100,825,698

0.1%

+0.0%

19.8%


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