Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:00AM EDT on Oct 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,409,882,317 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-15.5%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$9,491

16.9%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-19.2%$9,491

15.9%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.5-16.6%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.2%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-15.2%$9,491

15.3%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-5.9%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.6-5.7%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.4%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-7.4%$9,491

6.4%

-0.4%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-5.2%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.0%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-9.1%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$9,491

5.8%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.7%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-6.3%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$9,491

5.4%

-0.2%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.7%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.4%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$9,491

4.2%

-0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.2%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$9,491

2.1%

-0.1%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$107,896,750

2.1%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.4%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$9,491

1.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.8%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.7-1.8%$107,896,750
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.8%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.3%$9,491

1.4%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$107,896,750
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,423,636
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-3.1%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-3.3%$9,491

0.8%

-0.1%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$107,896,750

0.6%

0.1%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.6%$107,896,750

0.4%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$107,896,750
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-25.0%$115,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$9,491

0.1%

-0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,298,437,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$107,896,750

0.1%

+0.0%

20.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd