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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$357,410,134 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎35.0-36.0%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.0-37.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%$1,047,002

35.5%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.0-11.0%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,047,002

11.2%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.2%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$1,047,002

5.7%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,047,002

5.2%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,047,002

4.8%

0.1%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,047,002

4.3%

0.2%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,047,002

4.2%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,047,002

3.6%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$15,170,821
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,047,002

3.3%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$15,170,821

1.0%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,170,821

0.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,170,821

0.5%

-0.1%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,170,821

0.4%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,170,821

0.4%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$341,192,370
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$15,170,821

0.3%

+0.0%

19.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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