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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,357,327,348 bet so far
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.9-21.0%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-20.0%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-20.0%$8,429

19.0%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.7-15.8%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-18.2%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-17.9%$8,429

17.1%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-14.7%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-18.5%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-18.5%$8,429

15.8%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.4-7.5%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.9-9.0%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧5.6-6.1%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.6-6.1%$8,429

7.3%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.4%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-6.3%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$8,429

5.4%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.8%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-4.2%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.6%$8,429

4.2%

-0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.5%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-4.3%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-4.0%$8,429

3.5%

-0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$8,429

1.8%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.7-1.8%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-2.0%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.7%$8,429

1.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$86,642,500
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,172,424
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-3.1%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-3.3%$8,429

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.3%$86,642,500
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.1%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$8,429

0.8%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.9%$86,642,500

0.7%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$86,642,500

0.7%

-0.1%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$86,642,500
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$96,376
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$8,429

0.4%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$86,642,500

0.3%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,267,407,876
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$86,642,500

0.3%

+0.0%

20.2%


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