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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$499,258,310 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎33.0-35.0%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸33.0-34.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%$1,384,443

34.0%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.0-11.0%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,384,443

10.5%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.4-6.6%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$1,384,443

6.8%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$1,384,443

5.5%

-0.1%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$1,384,443

4.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,384,443

4.8%

+0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,384,443

4.0%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,384,443

3.4%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$19,457,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,384,443

3.1%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$19,457,603

1.0%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$19,457,603

0.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$19,457,603

0.5%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$19,457,603

0.4%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$19,457,603

0.2%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$478,424,461
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$19,457,603

0.2%

-0.0%

20.2%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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