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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$209,840,139 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎34.0-35.0%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸34.0-36.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸33.0-34.0%$608,177

34.3%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.0-12.0%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$608,177

12.2%

0.3%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$608,177

5.8%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.3%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$608,177

4.7%

0.1%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$608,177

4.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.7%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$608,177

4.2%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.2%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$608,177

4.0%

0.4%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.4%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$608,177

3.7%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$12,110,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$608,177

3.4%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,110,954

1.3%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,110,954

1.2%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,110,954

0.5%

-0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,110,954

0.5%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,110,954

0.5%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$197,124,243
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,110,954

0.5%

+0.0%

18.9%


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