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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,376,470,638 bet so far
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.2-18.3%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-20.0%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-20.4%$8,960

17.5%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.3-16.4%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-18.2%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$8,960

17.2%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.0-16.1%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-14.3%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-15.2%$8,960

14.0%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.2-8.3%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.5%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-7.1%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.1%$8,960

7.7%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.3%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-11.6%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$8,960

6.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.3-6.4%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.7%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧3.8-15.2%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-8.3%$8,960

5.3%

-0.2%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-11.4%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-5.6%$8,960

4.6%

0.5%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.4%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.1%$8,960

2.0%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-1.7%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.4%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.2%$8,960

1.6%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$93,525,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,230,011
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-3.1%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-3.3%$8,960

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.7%$93,525,162
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.1%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$8,960

0.8%

-0.1%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.6%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.8%$93,525,162

0.6%

0.1%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$93,525,162

0.6%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$93,525,162
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$102,425
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$8,960

0.3%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$93,525,162

0.3%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,279,606,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$93,525,162

0.1%

+0.0%

20.6%


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