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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$323,849,204 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎36.0-38.0%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.0-37.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$898,885

36.3%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.0-12.0%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$898,885

11.8%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$898,885

5.3%

0.4%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$898,885

5.2%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$898,885

4.8%

0.3%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$898,885

4.3%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$898,885

3.9%

0.3%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.1%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$898,885

3.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$14,311,748
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$898,885

3.2%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$14,311,748

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$14,311,748

0.4%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$14,311,748

0.3%

-0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$14,311,748

0.3%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$14,311,748

0.3%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$308,638,571
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$14,311,748

0.2%

-0.0%

18.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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