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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,394,933,934 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.0-15.1%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$9,011

17.0%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.9-18.0%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.9%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-20.4%$9,011

16.5%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-17.1%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-14.3%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-14.3%$9,011

14.1%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.2-7.4%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.1-8.2%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.9%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$9,011

7.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.3%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.7%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-9.1%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$9,011

5.8%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.1%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-6.1%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$9,011

5.7%

+0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.9%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.4-5.6%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-5.0%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-5.0%$9,011

4.6%

-0.2%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.2%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$9,011

2.1%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.4%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$9,011

1.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.7-2.7%$100,627,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.8%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.5%$9,011

1.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.8%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$100,627,841
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,311,489
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-3.1%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-2.4%$9,011

1.1%

-0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$100,627,841

0.9%

0.2%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$100,627,841

0.5%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$100,627,841

0.4%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$100,627,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$108,201
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$9,011

0.3%

-0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,290,877,392
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$100,627,841

0.1%

+0.0%

20.6%


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