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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,394,935,248 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.0-15.1%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$9,011

17.0%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.9-18.0%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.9%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-20.4%$9,011

16.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-17.1%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-14.3%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-14.3%$9,011

14.1%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.7-7.3%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.8-8.2%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.9%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$9,011

7.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.3%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.7%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-9.1%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$9,011

5.8%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.1%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-6.1%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$9,011

5.7%

+0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.9%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.6%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-5.0%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-5.0%$9,011

4.6%

-0.2%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.2%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$9,011

2.1%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.4%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$9,011

1.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.7-2.7%$100,628,771
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.8%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.5%$9,011

1.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.8%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$100,628,771
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,311,508
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-3.1%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-2.4%$9,011

1.1%

-0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$100,628,771

0.9%

0.2%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$100,628,771

0.5%

-0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$100,628,771
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$108,228
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$9,011

0.3%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$100,628,771

0.3%

-0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,290,878,208
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$100,628,771

0.1%

+0.0%

20.7%


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