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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,338,129,725 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.9-17.0%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-19.2%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-19.2%$8,243

17.6%

-1.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.0-19.1%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-20.0%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-21.7%$8,243

17.4%

1.8%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.4-15.5%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-19.2%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.9%$8,243

16.1%

-0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.4-7.5%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.4-9.5%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-6.5%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-6.5%$8,243

7.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.4-5.5%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-9.1%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$8,243

5.8%

-0.2%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.6%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-4.3%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-4.0%$8,243

3.5%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.2%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-4.2%$8,243

3.0%

-1.5%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-2.0%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.7%$8,243

1.8%

-0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.4%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.6%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.6%$8,243

1.8%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$78,360,990
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,090,971
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.1%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-3.3%$8,243

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$78,360,990
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.5%$8,243

0.9%

-0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$78,360,990

0.7%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$78,360,990

0.7%

-0.1%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$78,360,990

0.4%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$78,360,990

0.3%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,256,577,922
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$78,360,990
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$91,613
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$8,243

0.2%

-0.2%

21.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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