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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,241,227,017 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎25.1-25.2%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧25.3-27.4%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.3-27.4%$7,619

24.6%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.4-9.8%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.8%$7,619

11.1%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.7-7.8%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-8.2%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$7,619

7.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.3-5.4%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-11.9%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-11.6%$7,619

6.7%

0.2%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-3.8%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.8%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.9%$7,619

4.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.8%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-5.0%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-5.0%$7,619

3.3%

-0.8%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.9%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.4%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-2.4%$7,619

2.5%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.1%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-4.2%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$7,619

2.0%

-0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.5%$51,715,859
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,812,975
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.8%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.8%$7,619

2.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.6%$51,715,859
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-4.0%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-3.7%$7,619

2.0%

-0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$51,715,859

1.0%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$51,715,859

0.6%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$51,715,859

0.6%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$51,715,859

0.6%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$1,186,625,258
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$51,715,859
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$65,867
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$7,619

0.3%

-0.0%

31.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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