Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:40AM EDT on Aug 15, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,277,538 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.5-49.5%$6,884,095
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$3,866,974
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$387,618
Betfair 🇬🇧51.6-52.1%$138,994

50.2%

-0.5%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.5-51.5%$6,884,095
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$3,866,974
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$387,618
Betfair 🇬🇧47.7-48.6%$138,994

49.8%

0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:40AM EDT on Aug 15, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$724,575,841 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.8-22.9%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$253,334

20.6%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$253,334

12.8%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.7%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.8%$253,334

11.0%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.9-9.0%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.9%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$253,334

10.5%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$253,334

8.7%

-1.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.2%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.0%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$253,334

3.5%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.7%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$253,334

3.2%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$253,334

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-3.9%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$253,334

2.4%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.9-2.0%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$253,334

2.2%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.5%$253,334

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.5%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$253,334

1.1%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.5%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,455,589
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,266,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$253,334

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$684,905,805
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$253,334

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$253,334

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$253,334

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,334

0.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$253,334

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,334

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$253,334

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$684,905,805
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,756,140
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,334

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,334

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,334

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$253,334

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,455,589
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$253,334

0.1%

+0.0%

15.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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