Odds update every minute | Last updated: 8:43AM EST on Nov 04, 2020

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Smarkets, Betfair, and PredictIt | How People Bet

Hover over underlined titles for amount bet. Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com, Smarkets, PredictIt and Betfair
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Next PresidentPresidential Winner 2020

$634,051,619 bet so far
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎72.4-72.5%
Smarkets 🇬🇧73.0-73.5%
PredictIt 🇺🇸66.4-67.3%
Betfair 🇬🇧74.0-74.6%

71.7%

9.0%
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎26.5-26.6%
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-26.3%
PredictIt 🇺🇸32.3-33.2%
Betfair 🇬🇧25.1-25.4%

27.6%

-9.1%
Electoral College (estimate: 290-248. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 8:42AM EST on Nov 04, 2020
Over $1 million bet. Betting is from PredictIt. FTX.com and Betfair to be added if liquid state market available
Senate Control 2020From PredictIt

$863,242 bet so far
REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸82.4-83.4%

82.9%

41.7%
DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.6-20.4%

17.0%

-41.7%


Books we like:
"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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