Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:15AM EDT on Oct 27, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$30,528,669 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸64.0-65.0%$20,003,836
Polymarket 🌎66.0-67.0%$9,409,442
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.2-65.0%$696,427
Betfair 🇬🇧65.0-65.4%$419,381

64.7%

0.5%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$20,003,836
Polymarket 🌎33.0-34.0%$9,409,442
PredictIt 🇺🇸36.9-37.9%$696,427
Betfair 🇬🇧34.5-35.0%$419,381

35.3%

-0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:41AM EDT on Oct 27, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$769,612,603 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.1-19.2%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$277,120

19.3%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.8-13.2%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.9-8.0%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.8%$277,120

11.6%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-12.9%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$277,120

10.8%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-9.2%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$277,120

9.9%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.8-9.9%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.3%$277,120

9.1%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-3.9%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.1%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$277,120

3.5%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$277,120

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.5%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.8%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$277,120

3.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-3.3%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$277,120

2.5%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.5%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$277,120

1.6%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$277,120

1.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$277,120

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.4%$719,851,244
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$277,120

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.7%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,581,768
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,421,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$277,120

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$277,120

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$277,120

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$277,120

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$277,120

0.3%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$277,120

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$277,120

0.3%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,120

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,120

0.1%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$719,851,244
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$46,481,314
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,120

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,120

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,581,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$277,120

0.1%

+0.0%

19.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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