Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:35PM EDT on Oct 10, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$20,968,762 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$13,896,763
Polymarket 🌎62.6-63.6%$6,267,480
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.1-62.1%$548,078
Betfair 🇬🇧63.2-63.6%$257,317

62.2%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$13,896,763
Polymarket 🌎36.4-37.4%$6,267,480
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.4-39.4%$548,078
Betfair 🇬🇧36.5-36.7%$257,317

37.8%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:58PM EDT on Oct 10, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$762,229,727 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.8-18.9%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$267,041

18.9%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-11.9%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-13.5%$267,041

12.5%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.1-10.2%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.6%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$267,041

11.6%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.7%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.4-9.8%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$267,041

9.2%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.7%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.6%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$267,041

8.5%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.4%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$267,041

3.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$267,041

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.1%$267,041

3.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$267,041

2.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$267,041

1.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-3.1%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-2.4%$267,041

1.1%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.8%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$267,041

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$1,536,965
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,376,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$267,041

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$715,010,719
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$267,041

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$267,041

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$267,041

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,041

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,041

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,041

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,041

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$715,010,719
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$44,038,847
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$267,041

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,041

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,041

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,041

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,536,965
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$267,041

0.1%

+0.0%

19.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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