Odds update every minute | Last updated: 9:19PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$16,536,465 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.0-62.0%$10,590,869
Polymarket 🌎62.0-63.0%$5,267,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.7-61.7%$476,911
Betfair 🇬🇧62.1-66.3%$201,276

62.2%

0.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$10,590,869
Polymarket 🌎37.0-38.0%$5,267,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.8-39.8%$476,911
Betfair 🇬🇧33.4-38.2%$201,276

37.8%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 9:13PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$754,954,681 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.9-21.0%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$263,533

20.2%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.1%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-14.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.5%$263,533

11.5%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$263,533

11.3%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.7-8.8%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.7%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-8.7%$263,533

8.8%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-7.9%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.8-8.1%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$263,533

8.6%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.2%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.7%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$263,533

3.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$263,533

3.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$263,533

3.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.0%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.9%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$263,533

2.2%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$263,533

1.7%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$263,533

0.8%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,526,541
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,351,898
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$263,533

0.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$263,533

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$709,429,802
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$263,533

0.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$263,533

0.4%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$263,533

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,533

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,533

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,533

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,533

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$709,429,802
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$42,383,413
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$263,533

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,533

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,533

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$263,533

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,526,541
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$263,533

0.1%

+0.0%

20.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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