Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:05AM EDT on Sep 01, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,462,598 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$7,843,764
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$4,054,679
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$414,272
Betfair 🇬🇧50.0-50.5%$149,830

50.7%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$7,843,764
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$4,054,679
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$414,272
Betfair 🇬🇧49.5-50.0%$149,830

49.3%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:53PM EDT on Aug 31, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$739,108,859 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎25.3-25.4%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$256,462

21.3%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.6%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-13.5%$256,462

11.5%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.5%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-9.5%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$256,462

10.4%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$256,462

10.0%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-8.5%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$256,462

9.3%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.2%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$256,462

3.1%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.2-3.8%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$256,462

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$256,462

2.9%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$256,462

2.0%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.9-2.2%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.5%$256,462

1.9%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$256,462

1.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$256,462

0.9%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$1,511,674
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,302,072
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$256,462

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$696,615,607
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$256,462

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$256,462

0.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$256,462

0.3%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$256,462

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$256,462

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$256,462

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$256,462

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$696,615,607
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$39,423,964
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$256,462

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$256,462

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$256,462

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$256,462

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,511,674
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$256,462

0.1%

+0.0%

18.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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