Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:51AM EST on Nov 02, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$44,323,971 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸72.0-73.0%$27,089,214
Polymarket 🌎71.3-72.3%$15,880,110
PredictIt 🇺🇸71.6-72.5%$812,633
Betfair 🇬🇧72.6-73.2%$542,978

72.3%

1.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$27,089,214
Polymarket 🌎27.7-28.7%$15,880,110
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.5-28.4%$812,633
Betfair 🇬🇧26.5-27.6%$542,978

27.7%

-1.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 53-47. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:37AM EST on Nov 02, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$775,157,449 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-18.2%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-18.5%$279,271

18.7%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.7%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.1%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.2%$279,271

12.2%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.2-12.3%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.4%$279,271

11.3%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.4%$279,271

10.6%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-10.0%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.3%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.3%$279,271

9.5%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.5%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$279,271

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$279,271

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$279,271

3.0%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.2%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.9%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$279,271

2.3%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$279,271

1.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$279,271

0.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$279,271

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,598,682
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,449,681
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$279,271

0.7%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$724,302,913
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$279,271

0.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$279,271

0.4%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$279,271

0.4%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$279,271

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$279,271

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$279,271

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$279,271

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$724,302,913
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$47,526,922
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$279,271

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$279,271

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$279,271

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$279,271

0.1%

-0.1%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,598,682
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$279,271

0.1%

+0.0%

18.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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