Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:28PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$16,774,804 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.0-62.0%$10,729,730
Polymarket 🌎61.4-62.4%$5,357,045
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$481,413
Betfair 🇬🇧63.4-64.2%$206,630

61.9%

0.9%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$10,729,730
Polymarket 🌎37.6-38.6%$5,357,045
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$481,413
Betfair 🇬🇧35.8-36.6%$206,630

38.1%

-0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:27PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$755,774,608 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$263,742

20.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.8%$263,742

11.7%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$263,742

11.4%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.7-8.8%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.7%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-8.7%$263,742

8.8%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.6-7.7%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.8-8.7%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-8.7%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$263,742

8.6%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.7%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$263,742

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$263,742

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-3.3%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$263,742

3.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-2.1%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$263,742

2.3%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.2%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$263,742

1.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.2%$1,528,728
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,352,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$263,742

0.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.4%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$263,742

0.8%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$263,742

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$709,825,292
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$263,742

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$263,742

0.4%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$263,742

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,742

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,742

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,742

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,742

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$709,825,292
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$42,804,372
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$263,742

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,742

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,742

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,742

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,528,728
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$263,742

0.1%

+0.0%

20.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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