Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:21PM EDT on Oct 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$32,519,305 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸64.0-65.0%$20,894,626
Polymarket 🌎66.0-67.0%$10,450,677
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.9-62.8%$734,377
Betfair 🇬🇧65.8-66.7%$440,497

64.8%

-0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$20,894,626
Polymarket 🌎33.0-34.0%$10,450,677
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.7-38.6%$734,377
Betfair 🇬🇧33.3-34.2%$440,497

35.2%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:11PM EDT on Oct 28, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$770,779,563 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.1-18.3%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.9%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-19.2%$277,580

18.6%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.9-13.0%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.8%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.8%$277,580

11.7%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.6%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$277,580

10.5%

-0.5%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.4-9.5%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-11.1%$277,580

10.1%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.7-9.6%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.3%$277,580

8.8%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.2-4.3%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$277,580

3.4%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$277,580

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.5%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.8%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$277,580

3.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.6%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$277,580

2.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$277,580

1.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$277,580

0.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$277,580

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,585,764
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,424,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$277,580

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$720,814,836
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$277,580

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$277,580

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$277,580

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$277,580

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$277,580

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$277,580

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$277,580

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,580

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,580

0.1%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$720,814,836
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$46,676,897
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,580

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,580

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,585,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$277,580

0.1%

+0.0%

21.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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