Odds update every 5 minutes | Last updated: 5:48PM EST on Jan 16, 2018

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair | How People Bet

Hover over underlined titles for amount bet. Congress odds from PredictIt, the rest from Betfair

Chance of winning...

Senate Control 2018Control of the Senate elected in 2018 & seated in 2019. Note: this race's odds are from betting site PredictIt. Betfair will be added when/if a liquid market is available

61.5%

+0.0%

38.4%

+0.0%
House Control 2018Control of the House that's elected in 2018. Note: this race's odds are from betting site PredictIt. Betfair will be added when/if a liquid market is available

64.6%

0.5%

35.3%

-0.5%
US Presidency 2020

$361,760 bet so far

26.9%

0.2%

7.6%

-0.4%

6.7%

0.1%

6.2%

+0.0%

5.9%

+0.0%

4.9%

+0.0%

3.2%

-0.0%

2.6%

-0.1%

2.4%

-0.0%

2.1%

0.8%

1.8%

+0.0%

1.7%

+0.0%

1.2%

0.1%

1.1%

+0.0%

1.0%

-0.2%

0.8%

+0.0%

0.8%

-0.2%

0.7%

+0.0%

0.7%

+0.0%

0.6%

+0.0%

0.5%

+0.0%

0.4%

+0.0%

0.3%

+0.0%

20.0%

Trump Out? These bets are for whether Trump leaves office early -- for ANY reason except assasination. In case of assassination, the betting is cancelled.

$1,149,241 bet so far

54.2%

0.4%

45.7%

-0.4%
Year Trump Leaves These bets are for the year Trump leaves office -- for ANY reason except assasination. In case of assassination, the betting is cancelled.

$1,174,990 bet so far

22.7%

0.2%

19.2%

0.7%

0.1%

+0.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every 5 minutes

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