Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:34PM EST on Nov 17, 2025

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Will US Government shutdown
last beyond Nov 15?Will the US Government shutdown last beyond Nov 15?

$51,706,779 bet so far
No details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎100.0-100.0%$40,223,767
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-100.0%$11,483,012

100.0%

-0.0%
Yes details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.0%$40,223,767
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-100.0%$11,483,012

0.0%

-0.0%
Will Supreme Court
allow Trump tariffs?Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$3,622,034 bet so far
No details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸76.0-77.0%$2,410,636
Polymarket 🌎76.0-78.0%$1,211,502

76.8%

+0.0%
Yes details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$2,410,636
Polymarket 🌎22.0-24.0%$1,211,502

23.3%

-0.0%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$127,132,721 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎28.0-29.0%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-31.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧25.6-26.0%$706,752
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-27.0%$120,533

27.7%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-19.0%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$706,752
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-17.2%$120,533

18.5%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-9.0%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-6.7%$706,752
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.4%$120,533

6.9%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-4.1%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$706,752
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$443,634

4.0%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$706,752
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$120,533

2.6%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$706,752
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$120,533

2.4%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$706,752
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$120,533

2.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$706,752
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$443,634
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$120,533

1.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$120,533

1.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$120,533

1.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.1%$120,533

1.5%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$120,533

1.2%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.5%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$120,533

0.9%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$120,533

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$120,533

0.7%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-8.7%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$120,533

0.6%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$120,533

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.1%$123,387,117
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,476,261
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$120,533

0.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$120,533

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$120,533

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$120,533

0.3%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$120,533

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$120,533

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$706,752
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$120,533

0.2%

+0.0%

22.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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