Odds update every 5 minutes | Last updated: 9:52AM EDT on Jun 19, 2018

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair | How People Bet

Hover over underlined titles for amount bet. Congress odds from PredictIt, the rest from Betfair

Chance of winning...

Senate Control 2018Control of the Senate elected in 2018 & seated in 2019. Note: this race's odds are from betting site PredictIt. Betfair will be added when/if a liquid market is available

71.8%

0.5%

28.1%

-0.5%
House Control 2018Control of the House that's elected in 2018. Note: this race's odds are from betting site PredictIt. Betfair will be added when/if a liquid market is available

59.1%

0.4%

40.8%

-0.4%
US Presidency 2020

$680,259 bet so far

37.9%

-0.4%

7.2%

+0.0%

7.2%

+0.0%

5.7%

-0.1%

5.6%

0.3%

4.9%

0.1%

2.8%

-0.3%

2.1%

0.8%

1.5%

+0.0%

1.0%

+0.0%

1.0%

+0.0%

0.9%

-0.3%

0.9%

+0.0%

0.7%

+0.0%

0.7%

-0.1%

0.6%

-0.0%

0.5%

-0.2%

0.5%

-0.0%

0.4%

-0.2%

0.4%

+0.0%

0.3%

+0.0%

0.3%

+0.0%

0.2%

+0.0%

16.8%

Trump Out? These bets are for whether Trump leaves office early -- for ANY reason except assasination. In case of assassination, the betting is cancelled.

$1,432,066 bet so far

72.5%

0.5%

27.4%

-0.5%
Year Trump Leaves These bets are for the year Trump leaves office -- for ANY reason except assasination. In case of assassination, the betting is cancelled.

$1,616,747 bet so far

13.3%

0.2%

7.7%

-0.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every 5 minutes

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