Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:40AM EDT on Apr 26, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$6,178,165 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$3,702,629
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$2,161,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.8-50.7%$275,878
Betfair 🇬🇧54.7-55.9%$32,442
Smarkets 🇬🇧55.2-58.4%$5,309

52.9%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$3,702,629
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$2,161,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.8-50.7%$275,878
Betfair 🇬🇧43.9-45.5%$32,442
Smarkets 🇬🇧40.9-45.4%$5,309

47.1%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 51 - 49
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:40AM EDT on Apr 26, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$573,987,659 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.8-18.9%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$1,163,948
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,038,504
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-19.6%$210,400

19.9%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.8-18.0%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.9%$1,163,948
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,038,504
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$210,400

18.7%

-0.5%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.6%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,163,948
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,038,504

12.0%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-6.1%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.1%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.0%$1,163,948
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,038,504
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.1%$210,400

6.0%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.2-4.4%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.9%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,163,948
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,038,504
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$210,400

3.5%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-4.0%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.7%$210,400

3.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$1,163,948
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,038,504
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$210,400

2.8%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,163,948
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,038,504
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$210,400

2.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-3.6%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$210,400

2.3%

-1.5%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,163,948
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,038,504
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$210,400

1.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.9%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$210,400

1.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$210,400

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$210,400

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$210,400

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$210,400

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$210,400

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$553,687,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$17,890,121
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,400

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$210,400

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,400

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,163,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.1%

+0.0%

19.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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