Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:36PM EDT on Jul 07, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,303,154 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,729,793
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$3,123,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.1-60.1%$347,255
Betfair 🇬🇧55.3-56.2%$95,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.4-56.2%$7,326

56.4%

-0.6%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,729,793
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$3,123,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.4-41.4%$347,255
Betfair 🇬🇧43.9-44.7%$95,340
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-45.3%$7,326

43.6%

0.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:35PM EDT on Jul 07, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$676,538,126 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.9-20.0%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$1,302,161
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,203,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$232,989

19.0%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.8-13.9%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,302,161
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,203,812

15.2%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.9-12.0%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-13.5%$1,302,161
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,203,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.9%$232,989

13.1%

-0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.4-7.6%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.8%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-6.7%$1,302,161
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,203,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-9.1%$232,989

8.0%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.7%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,302,161
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-6.0%$1,203,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$232,989

3.5%

-0.3%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$1,302,161
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,203,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$232,989

3.1%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.4%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$232,989

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,302,161
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,203,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$232,989

2.8%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.4%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.9%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$232,989

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$232,989

2.1%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$1,302,161
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,203,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$232,989

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$232,989

1.2%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$232,989

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$232,989

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$232,989

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$648,208,162
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$25,591,040
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,989

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$232,989

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$232,989

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,989

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,989

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,989

0.2%

0.1%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,989

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,989

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,302,161
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$232,989

0.1%

-0.0%

21.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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