Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:10PM EDT on Apr 03, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,586,828 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-50.4%$2,903,528
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$1,429,935
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.9-44.9%$224,503
Betfair 🇬🇧52.7-61.5%$24,134
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.0-62.3%$4,728

52.2%

0.9%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.7-49.9%$2,903,528
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$1,429,935
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.6-56.6%$224,503
Betfair 🇬🇧38.5-47.3%$24,134
Smarkets 🇬🇧37.4-47.3%$4,728

47.8%

-0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:03PM EDT on Apr 03, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$503,879,558 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.2-16.3%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.1-18.2%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,094,178
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$937,305
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$199,029

19.1%

-0.1%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.5-17.6%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-18.6%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,094,178
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$937,305
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$199,029

18.9%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.1-10.3%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.2-12.3%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,094,178
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$937,305

11.7%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-6.2%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.6%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,094,178
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$937,305
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$199,029

6.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,094,178
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$937,305
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$199,029

2.9%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.1%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,094,178
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$937,305
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$199,029

2.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$199,029

2.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.4%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,094,178
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$937,305
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$199,029

2.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,094,178
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$937,305
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$199,029

2.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$199,029

1.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$199,029

1.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$199,029

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$199,029

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$199,029

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$199,029

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$199,029

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$199,029

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$486,434,482
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,215,529
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$199,029

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$199,029

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,094,178
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.1%

+0.0%

23.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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