Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:57PM EST on Mar 01, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$1,746,228 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸59.0-60.0%$1,746,230

59.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$1,746,230

40.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:42PM EST on Feb 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$358,557,885 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.4-21.5%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧20.8-21.3%$1,030,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$827,932
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.8-21.7%$181,617

22.2%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.5-17.6%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,030,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$827,932
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$181,617

19.1%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.1-8.2%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-8.3%$1,030,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$827,932

9.5%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.3-6.5%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-6.3%$1,030,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$827,932
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-7.4%$181,617

6.6%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.4%$1,030,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$827,932
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$181,617

3.6%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.7%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$1,030,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$827,932
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$181,617

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,030,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$827,932
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$181,617

2.7%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,030,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$827,932
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$181,617

2.2%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$181,617

1.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$181,617

1.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$181,617

1.5%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$181,617

1.4%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$181,617

0.8%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$181,617

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$181,617

0.6%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$347,260,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,258,332
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$181,617

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$181,617

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$181,617

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$181,617

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$181,617

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$181,617

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$181,617

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$181,617

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,030,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$181,617

0.1%

+0.0%

20.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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