Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:32PM EDT on Mar 15, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,371,176 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$2,371,176

50.5%

-0.5%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$2,371,176

49.5%

0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:04PM EDT on Mar 15, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$422,951,588 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$1,052,381
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$870,026
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-20.0%$186,026

20.4%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.4-18.5%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.6%$1,052,381
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$870,026
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$186,026

19.9%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.6-13.8%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-12.8%$1,052,381
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$870,026

14.4%

-1.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.7%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,052,381
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$870,026
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$186,026

5.9%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,052,381
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$870,026
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$186,026

3.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.4%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,052,381
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$870,026
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$186,026

3.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.9%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.3%$1,052,381
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$870,026
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$186,026

2.4%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,052,381
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$870,026
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$186,026

2.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$186,026

1.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.5%$186,026

1.6%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.2%$186,026

1.4%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$186,026

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$186,026

0.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$186,026

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$186,026

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$186,026

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$186,026

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$409,524,220
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,322,185
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$186,026

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$186,026

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,026

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,026

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,026

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,026

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,052,381
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,026

0.1%

+0.0%

18.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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