Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:15AM EDT on May 15, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,306,792 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.4-56.4%$4,546,788
Polymarket 🌎53.5-54.5%$2,381,938
PredictIt 🇺🇸57.4-58.4%$298,174
Betfair 🇬🇧50.8-51.6%$74,536
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.1-51.6%$5,360

53.8%

0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.6-44.6%$4,546,788
Polymarket 🌎45.5-46.5%$2,381,938
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.6-42.6%$298,174
Betfair 🇬🇧48.6-49.1%$74,536
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.6-51.6%$5,360

46.2%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:56AM EDT on May 15, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$605,388,621 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$1,186,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,126,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$215,740

19.2%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$1,186,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,126,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$215,740

17.8%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.5-14.7%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$1,186,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,126,658

15.1%

0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.4%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.6-5.7%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.9%$1,186,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,126,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$215,740

6.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.7%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,186,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,126,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$215,740

4.0%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.6%$215,740

3.5%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,186,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,126,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$215,740

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,186,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,126,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$215,740

2.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-3.1%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.5%$215,740

2.7%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.8%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$215,740

2.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,186,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$1,126,658
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$215,740

1.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.3%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.5%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$215,740

1.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$215,740

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,740

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$215,740

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$215,740

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$581,792,583
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,072,956
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,740

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$215,740

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,740

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,186,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

-0.0%

15.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd