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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$14,977,168 bet so far
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎27.3-29.6%$13,705,283
Betfair 🇬🇧21.3-22.2%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-21.7%$388,956
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$23,569

27.9%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$388,956
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$23,569

16.5%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$388,956
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$23,569

10.6%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$388,956
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$23,569

10.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.3%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-4.3%$388,956

4.2%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.6-4.3%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.7-3.9%$388,956

3.9%

0.1%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-4.2%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.9%$388,956

3.5%

-0.4%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$388,956

1.8%

+0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$388,956

1.7%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$388,956

1.5%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$388,956

1.4%

0.1%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$388,956

1.3%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$388,956

0.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$388,956

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$388,956

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$388,956

0.7%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$388,956

0.6%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$388,956

0.5%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$388,956

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$388,956

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$859,359
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$388,956

0.2%

+0.0%

10.6%
Senate Control 2022Bets on which party will control the Senate after Nov 8, 2022 elections

$148,208 bet so far
REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸69.3-70.3%$144,868
Smarkets 🇬🇧67.6-70.9%$3,340

69.8%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.7-30.7%$144,868
Smarkets 🇬🇧29.0-32.3%$3,340

30.2%

-0.0%
House Control 2022Bets on which party will control the House after Nov 8, 2022 elections

$265,185 bet so far
REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸81.2-82.2%$261,773
Smarkets 🇬🇧80.0-83.3%$3,412

81.7%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.8-18.8%$261,773
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-20.0%$3,412

18.3%

-0.0%
2022 Super Bowl Winner2020/2021 Super Bowl Winner

$1,776,433 bet so far
Buccaneers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧14.2-14.6%$1,776,433

14.4%

1.0%
Cardinals details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧11.3-11.5%$1,776,433

11.4%

0.2%
Chiefs details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧9.0-11.3%$1,776,433

10.2%

-0.6%
Packers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧9.9-10.3%$1,776,433

10.1%

-1.5%
Bills details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧9.9-10.3%$1,776,433

10.1%

-0.3%
Patriots details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧9.0-9.5%$1,776,433

9.2%

0.2%
Rams details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧6.2-6.4%$1,776,433

6.3%

0.4%
Cowboys details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.5%$1,776,433

5.4%

-0.2%
Ravens details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.2%$1,776,433

4.9%

-0.2%
Titans details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-3.8%$1,776,433

3.7%

-0.1%
Chargers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,776,433

2.8%

2.7%
Colts details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,776,433

2.4%

-0.6%
49ers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$1,776,433

1.9%

-0.6%
Bengals details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$1,776,433

1.9%

0.3%
Browns details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.0%$1,776,433

1.0%

0.1%
Eagles details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,776,433

0.8%

0.1%
Steelers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$1,776,433

0.6%

0.2%
Vikings details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$1,776,433

0.5%

-0.6%
FootballTeam details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$1,776,433

0.5%

0.3%
Broncos details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,776,433

0.4%

-0.4%
Raiders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,776,433

0.3%

-0.4%
Dolphins details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,776,433

0.3%

-0.0%
Saints details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,776,433

0.2%

-0.2%
Seahawks details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,776,433

0.1%

0.1%
Panthers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,776,433

0.1%

-0.0%
Giants details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,776,433

0.1%

-0.0%
Bears details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,776,433

0.1%

-0.0%
Falcons details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,776,433

0.1%

-0.0%
Jets details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,776,433

0.0%

-0.0%
Jaguars details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,776,433

0.0%

-0.0%
Texans details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-99.3%$1,776,433

0.0%

-0.1%
Lions details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-99.3%$1,776,433

0.0%

+0.0%

Books we like:
"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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