Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:35AM EDT on Apr 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$6,100,887 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.2-50.3%$3,650,899
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$2,143,173
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$269,764
Betfair 🇬🇧53.9-55.1%$31,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧55.0-57.5%$5,309

52.7%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.2-51.3%$3,650,899
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$2,143,173
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$269,764
Betfair 🇬🇧44.9-46.1%$31,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧41.8-45.7%$5,309

47.3%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 51 - 49
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:33AM EDT on Apr 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$572,697,324 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.8-18.9%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,161,894
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,037,469
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$210,400

19.8%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-18.1%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,161,894
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,037,469
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$210,400

19.2%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,161,894
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,037,469

12.1%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.2%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.1%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧3.8-5.0%$1,161,894
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,037,469
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.1%$210,400

6.0%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-9.5%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$210,400

3.8%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.8%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.7%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,161,894
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,037,469
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$210,400

3.4%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-4.0%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.6%$210,400

3.2%

-0.4%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.2%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,161,894
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,037,469
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$210,400

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$1,161,894
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,037,469
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$210,400

2.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,161,894
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,037,469
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$210,400

1.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.7%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$210,400

1.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$210,400

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$210,400

1.1%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$210,400

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$210,400

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$210,400

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$552,520,457
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$17,768,700
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,400

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$210,400

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,400

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,161,894
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.1%

+0.0%

17.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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