Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:27AM EDT on Sep 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,729,502 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$8,007,084
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$4,149,133
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.0-52.9%$418,418
Betfair 🇬🇧50.2-50.8%$154,867

51.1%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$8,007,084
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$4,149,133
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$418,418
Betfair 🇬🇧49.0-50.0%$154,867

48.9%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:12AM EDT on Sep 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$745,585,644 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎24.6-24.7%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.2%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$257,416

21.4%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.8%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-13.9%$257,416

11.6%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$257,416

10.7%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$257,416

9.3%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.1-7.2%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.6%$257,416

9.1%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.7%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.3%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$257,416

3.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$257,416

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$257,416

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.4%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.4%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$257,416

2.4%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-2.1%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$257,416

2.0%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.5%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$257,416

1.0%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.3%$1,522,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,312,255
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$257,416

0.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$257,416

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$702,632,338
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$257,416

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$257,416

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$257,416

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,416

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,416

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$257,416

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,416

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$702,632,338
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$39,861,192
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,416

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,522,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%

18.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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