Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:50PM EST on Feb 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$1,682,844 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸59.0-60.0%$1,682,844

59.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$1,682,844

40.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:19PM EST on Feb 22, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$330,701,595 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.1-23.2%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧21.7-22.2%$1,016,970
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$811,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.7-22.7%$178,237

23.1%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.6-17.8%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$1,016,970
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$811,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$178,237

20.1%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-7.6%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.4%$1,016,970
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$811,339

8.6%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.3-6.5%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.1%$1,016,970
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$811,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.3%$178,237

6.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,016,970
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$811,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$178,237

3.6%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.4%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$1,016,970
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$811,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$178,237

3.3%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.2%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,016,970
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$811,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$178,237

2.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,016,970
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$811,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$178,237

1.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$178,237

1.7%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$178,237

1.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$178,237

1.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$178,237

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$178,237

0.9%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$178,237

0.8%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$178,237

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$178,237

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$320,274,588
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,429,928
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$178,237

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$178,237

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$178,237

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$178,237

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$178,237

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$178,237

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$178,237

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,016,970
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$178,237

0.1%

+0.0%

20.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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