Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:27AM EST on Nov 07, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$791,296,818 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.6-17.7%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.4%$306,444

19.2%

-1.0%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.5-18.7%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-13.2%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-12.8%$306,444

14.6%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.0-12.1%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$306,444

11.2%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.0%$306,444

9.7%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.8-6.9%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.8-9.9%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$306,444

8.7%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.7%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.7-6.9%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-6.3%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-6.3%$306,444

6.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.6%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$306,444

3.1%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.6%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-3.9%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$306,444

3.1%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$306,444

3.1%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$306,444

1.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.4%$1,637,942
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,513,426
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$306,444

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$735,552,313
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.8%$306,444

0.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$306,444

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$306,444

0.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.9%$306,444

0.6%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$306,444

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$306,444

0.4%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$306,444

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$306,444

0.2%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$306,444

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$306,444

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$306,444

0.1%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$735,552,313
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$52,287,747
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$306,444

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$306,444

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,637,942
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$306,444

0.1%

+0.0%

14.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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