Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:24PM EDT on Jul 13, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,505,304 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$5,863,111
Polymarket 🌎54.5-55.4%$3,164,939
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$351,774
Betfair 🇬🇧53.1-54.5%$118,013
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.7-54.5%$7,467

55.3%

0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$5,863,111
Polymarket 🌎44.6-45.5%$3,164,939
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$351,774
Betfair 🇬🇧45.4-47.1%$118,013
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.6-48.2%$7,467

44.7%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:51PM EDT on Jul 13, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$687,151,384 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.9-20.0%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$1,312,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,207,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$234,048

18.8%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.1-14.2%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,312,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,207,824

14.5%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.6-11.7%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧12.8-13.2%$1,312,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,207,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.8-13.9%$234,048

13.2%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-7.6%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.4%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-7.7%$1,312,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,207,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-9.5%$234,048

8.4%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.4%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,312,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$234,048

3.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,312,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$234,048

3.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$234,048

2.9%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,312,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$234,048

2.8%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.5%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.6%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.5%$234,048

2.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$234,048

2.1%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.1%$1,312,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,207,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$234,048

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$234,048

1.2%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$234,048

1.1%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$234,048

0.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$234,048

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$658,063,522
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.7%$26,333,589
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,048

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$234,048

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$234,048

0.4%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$234,048

0.3%

0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,048

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,048

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,048

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,048

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,312,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$234,048

0.1%

-0.0%

20.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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