Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:46AM EDT on Oct 08, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$19,966,544 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸62.0-63.0%$13,209,924
Polymarket 🌎63.6-64.6%$5,988,081
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.4-62.4%$525,369
Betfair 🇬🇧62.5-64.5%$243,170

63.0%

-0.9%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$13,209,924
Polymarket 🌎35.4-36.4%$5,988,081
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.6-38.6%$525,369
Betfair 🇬🇧35.4-37.6%$243,170

37.0%

0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:37AM EDT on Oct 08, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$761,215,407 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$265,482

19.3%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-11.0%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-17.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$265,482

12.5%

0.8%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$265,482

10.8%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-8.1%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.8-9.4%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$265,482

8.9%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.9-7.0%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.0%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.0%$265,482

8.0%

-0.7%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.4%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$265,482

3.6%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$265,482

3.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.1%$265,482

3.2%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.8%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$265,482

2.4%

0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$265,482

1.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.8%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$265,482

1.1%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.3%$1,528,033
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,365,935
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$265,482

0.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-1.0%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$265,482

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$714,464,888
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$265,482

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$265,482

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$265,482

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$265,482

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$265,482

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$265,482

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$265,482

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$714,464,888
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,592,943
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$265,482

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$265,482

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$265,482

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$265,482

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,528,033
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$265,482

0.1%

+0.0%

20.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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