Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:20AM EDT on Sep 05, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,675,452 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$7,969,639
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$4,134,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.0-52.9%$416,512
Betfair 🇬🇧50.4-51.4%$154,664

51.2%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$7,969,639
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$4,134,637
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$416,512
Betfair 🇬🇧48.6-49.6%$154,664

48.8%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:14AM EDT on Sep 05, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$745,236,914 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎24.8-24.9%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$257,416

21.4%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.9%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-14.3%$257,416

11.8%

0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.5%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$257,416

10.6%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.6%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$257,416

9.7%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.9-7.0%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$257,416

9.1%

-0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.6%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.3%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$257,416

3.3%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.4%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$257,416

2.9%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$257,416

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.5%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.4%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$257,416

2.3%

0.3%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.9-2.1%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$257,416

2.0%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.3%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$257,416

1.0%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,521,239
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,306,241
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$257,416

0.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$257,416

0.8%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$702,436,672
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$257,416

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$257,416

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$257,416

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,416

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,416

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$257,416

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,416

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$702,436,672
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$39,715,346
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,416

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,521,239
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%

18.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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