Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:58AM EDT on Apr 21, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$140,131,319 bet so far

Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎43.0-44.0%$114,625,244
Betfair 🇬🇧42.4-42.7%$18,146,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.5-52.4%$4,482,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.5-44.6%$2,877,123

45.5%

0.1%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎43.0-44.0%$114,625,244
Betfair 🇬🇧43.5-43.9%$18,146,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.7-43.7%$4,482,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.5-44.6%$2,877,123

43.6%

0.3%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.4%$114,625,244
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.4%$18,146,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$2,877,123

3.6%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-3.3%$114,625,244
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.6%$18,146,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$2,877,123

3.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.1%$114,625,244
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$18,146,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.9-3.9%$4,482,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$2,877,123

1.9%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$114,625,244
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$18,146,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$2,877,123

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.5%$114,625,244
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.0%$18,146,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$2,877,123

0.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$114,625,244
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$18,146,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-1.9%$4,482,768
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$2,877,123

0.7%

+0.0%
Electoral College (estimate: 276-262. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:47AM EDT on Apr 21, 2024
Over $1M bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available
GOP VP NomineeRepublican Vice Presidential Nominee in 2024

$20,218,629 bet so far

TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-22.0%$16,114,736
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$3,392,247
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$638,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-20.4%$73,400

20.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-10.0%$16,114,736
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$3,392,247
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$638,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-10.2%$73,400

11.6%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$16,114,736
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$3,392,247
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$638,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-7.4%$73,400

7.5%

0.3%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-6.3%$16,114,736
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-7.4%$638,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-8.3%$73,400

6.7%

+0.0%
Carson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-5.2%$16,114,736
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.9%$638,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-6.1%$73,400

5.3%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$16,114,736
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,392,247
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.9%$638,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-5.4%$73,400

4.7%

0.2%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-3.0%$16,114,736
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$3,392,247
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$638,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-4.3%$73,400

3.6%

-0.5%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$16,114,736
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,392,247
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$638,259

2.9%

-0.0%

37.3%


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"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
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"In Order To Live"
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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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