Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:24AM EDT on May 05, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$6,632,794 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$4,054,970
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$2,252,883
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.3-55.3%$284,652
Betfair 🇬🇧47.2-49.5%$34,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-49.8%$5,360

50.5%

0.5%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$4,054,970
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$2,252,883
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.2-46.2%$284,652
Betfair 🇬🇧50.3-53.0%$34,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.5-55.6%$5,360

49.5%

-0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:20AM EDT on May 05, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$590,438,812 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.5-20.6%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$1,179,014
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,089,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$215,293

19.6%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-17.1%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,179,014
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,089,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$215,293

18.5%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.4%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,179,014
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,089,261

11.9%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.6-5.7%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.4-5.5%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.4%$1,179,014
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,089,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$215,293

6.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.5%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,179,014
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,089,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$215,293

4.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.2%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.2%$215,293

3.9%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$215,293

3.1%

0.8%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,179,014
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,089,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$215,293

3.0%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$1,179,014
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,089,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$215,293

2.7%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.1%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$215,293

1.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,179,014
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,089,261
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$215,293

1.7%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.5%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$215,293

1.6%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$215,293

1.2%

0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.5%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,293

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$215,293

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$215,293

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$568,720,263
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$19,238,050
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,293

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,293

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,293

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,293

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,293

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,293

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,293

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,179,014
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,293

0.1%

-0.0%

17.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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