Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:25PM EDT on Oct 18, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$23,402,432 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.4-62.4%$15,395,363
Polymarket 🌎63.4-64.4%$7,118,540
PredictIt 🇺🇸64.4-65.4%$595,877
Betfair 🇬🇧62.9-63.3%$292,698

63.4%

0.4%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.6-38.6%$15,395,363
Polymarket 🌎35.6-36.6%$7,118,540
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.1-36.1%$595,877
Betfair 🇬🇧36.8-37.0%$292,698

36.6%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:24PM EDT on Oct 18, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$765,871,271 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.4-20.5%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$269,795

19.0%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-16.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-14.3%$269,795

12.6%

0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.1-10.2%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.4%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$269,795

9.8%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.9-9.0%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$269,795

9.4%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-8.3%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.4-9.6%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$269,795

8.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.3%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.1%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$269,795

3.6%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$269,795

3.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.8%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$269,795

3.1%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.4%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.4%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$269,795

2.3%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$269,795

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$269,795

1.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$269,795

0.9%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.4%$1,555,643
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,409,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$269,795

0.8%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$717,212,977
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$269,795

0.6%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$269,795

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$269,795

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$269,795

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$269,795

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$269,795

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$269,795

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$717,212,977
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$45,422,817
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$269,795

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$269,795

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$269,795

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$269,795

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,555,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$269,795

0.1%

+0.0%

21.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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