Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:16AM EDT on Oct 27, 2021

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2024 elections

$201,952 bet so far

DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$164,370
Betfair 🇬🇧45.9-48.1%$27,624
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.3-48.1%$9,958

51.9%

-0.1%
REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$164,370
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-50.0%$27,624
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.5-50.0%$9,958

47.4%

+0.0%

0.7%

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$468,507 bet so far
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$223,759
Betfair 🇬🇧28.6-29.0%$217,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧28.6-29.4%$26,835

33.9%

-0.7%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$223,759
Betfair 🇬🇧27.8-29.9%$217,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧28.6-30.3%$26,835

29.2%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$223,759
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-5.0%$217,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.6-5.0%$26,835

6.3%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$223,759
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-2.5%$217,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$26,835

3.5%

0.5%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$223,759
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-3.6%$217,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$26,835

3.0%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$223,759
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-2.2%$217,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.4%$26,835

1.8%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$223,759
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$217,914

1.6%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$217,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$26,835

1.0%

-0.0%
Yang details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.8%$217,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$26,835

0.9%

-0.0%

18.9%
Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$14,893,099 bet so far
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎28.9-30.3%$13,853,697
Betfair 🇬🇧21.7-22.7%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-22.7%$259,794
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$14,216

29.1%

-0.0%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.9%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$259,794
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$14,216

17.3%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$259,794
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$14,216

12.7%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.1%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-6.9%$259,794
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$14,216

7.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$259,794

4.4%

0.1%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.4%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$259,794

3.1%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$259,794

2.6%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$259,794

1.8%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$259,794

1.7%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$259,794

1.4%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$259,794

1.2%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$259,794

1.1%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$259,794

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$259,794

0.8%

0.1%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$259,794

0.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$259,794

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$259,794

0.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$259,794

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$259,794

0.3%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$259,794

0.3%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$765,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$259,794

0.2%

-0.0%

11.8%
GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$1,026,132 bet so far
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.7-39.6%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧41.7-42.4%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧41.7-44.6%$113,253

40.1%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.8-20.7%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$113,253

18.3%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.3-7.2%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.9%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$113,253

7.6%

-0.7%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.5-5.4%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-7.4%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$113,253

5.4%

+0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.6-4.5%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$113,253

3.8%

+0.0%
TimScott details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.6-4.5%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.7%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$113,253

3.1%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.7-3.6%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$113,253

2.9%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.7-3.6%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$113,253

2.9%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.7-3.6%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.9%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$113,253

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.5%$113,253

2.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$113,253

2.3%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.9%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.7%$113,253

2.0%

+0.0%
RickScott details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$113,253

1.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$746,598
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$113,253

1.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$113,253

0.8%

-0.0%
Crenshaw details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$166,282
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.8%$113,253

0.5%

+0.0%

1.4%

Books we like:
"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

(5% of purchases go to support ElectionBettingOdds.com through Amazon.com's affiliate program. Thank you!)

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2020, FTX.com