Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 7:08AM EST on Nov 05, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$786,787,296 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.1-20.2%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-22.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$302,010

20.1%

2.6%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-13.9%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-13.5%$302,010

15.5%

2.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.6-12.7%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.2%$302,010

12.1%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.3-8.4%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$302,010

9.4%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-7.6%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-9.1%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-9.1%$302,010

8.9%

-1.6%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.5-6.6%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-6.5%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-6.5%$302,010

5.9%

1.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧3.6-4.0%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$302,010

3.2%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$302,010

3.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.4%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-2.3%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$302,010

2.8%

-0.4%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$302,010

1.5%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,636,559
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,484,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$302,010

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$732,491,074
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.8%$302,010

0.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$302,010

0.6%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.7%$302,010

0.5%

-0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$302,010

0.4%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$302,010

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$302,010

0.4%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$302,010

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$302,010

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$302,010

0.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$302,010

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$732,491,074
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$50,874,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$302,010

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$302,010

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$302,010

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,636,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$302,010

0.1%

+0.0%

12.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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