Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:31AM EST on Nov 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$789,814,968 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.1-21.2%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-20.4%$306,235

20.1%

-0.2%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-13.2%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$306,235

15.1%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.0-12.1%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.8%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.4%$306,235

11.5%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.0%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.0%$306,235

9.4%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.2-7.3%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.4%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$306,235

8.6%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.6-5.7%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$306,235

6.1%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$306,235

3.0%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.6%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$306,235

3.0%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.6%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$306,235

3.0%

-0.3%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.2%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$306,235

1.7%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.4%$1,632,226
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,504,913
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$306,235

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$734,657,568
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.8%$306,235

0.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$306,235

0.6%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$306,235

0.6%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$306,235

0.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$306,235

0.5%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$306,235

0.4%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$306,235

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$306,235

0.2%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$306,235

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$306,235

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$306,235

0.1%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$734,657,568
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$51,765,188
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$306,235

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$306,235

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,632,226
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$306,235

0.1%

+0.0%

13.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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