Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:19PM EDT on Mar 18, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$3,679,443 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$2,465,808
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$990,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.3-55.3%$196,568
Betfair 🇬🇧47.6-49.5%$21,747
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.5-49.8%$4,717

50.5%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$2,465,808
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$990,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.2-46.2%$196,568
Betfair 🇬🇧50.2-52.6%$21,747
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.5-53.2%$4,717

49.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:08PM EDT on Mar 18, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$439,547,348 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-21.1%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-19.6%$1,070,227
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$877,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-20.0%$188,600

20.2%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.1-17.2%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$1,070,227
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$877,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$188,600

19.6%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.6%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$1,070,227
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-16.0%$877,050

13.5%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-5.4%$1,070,227
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$877,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.3%$188,600

5.8%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,070,227
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$877,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$188,600

3.2%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,070,227
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$877,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$188,600

3.2%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.8%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$1,070,227
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$877,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$188,600

2.5%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$188,600

2.4%

0.5%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$1,070,227
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$877,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$188,600

2.0%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$188,600

1.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.2%$188,600

1.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.7%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$188,600

1.1%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$188,600

0.9%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$188,600

0.6%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$188,600

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$425,687,983
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,731,966
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$188,600

0.5%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$188,600

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$188,600

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$188,600

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,600

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,600

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,600

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,600

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,070,227
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,600

0.1%

-0.0%

19.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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