Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:20PM EST on Nov 03, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$138,794,612 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸99.6-99.7%$108,062,084
Polymarket 🌎99.7-99.8%$29,901,046
Betfair 🇬🇧98.6-99.6%$1,238,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,053,234

99.4%

23.5%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$108,062,084
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$29,901,046
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$1,238,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,053,234

0.6%

-23.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 55-45. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:13PM EST on Nov 03, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$781,426,699 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.7-18.8%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-17.5%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-18.2%$282,092

16.8%

5.8%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.1-12.0%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧12.8-14.3%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.8-14.7%$282,092

15.1%

-2.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.3-12.7%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.5%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-18.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$282,092

12.4%

0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.6%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-9.1%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$282,092

10.9%

-0.8%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.8-7.9%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.7%$282,092

9.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-5.6%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-3.7%$282,092

3.5%

0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.7%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.3%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$282,092

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$282,092

3.2%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-3.1%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$282,092

3.0%

0.7%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.8%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$282,092

1.4%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.3%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$282,092

0.8%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$282,092

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.9%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$1,611,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,464,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$282,092

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$729,226,080
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$282,092

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$282,092

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$282,092

0.4%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$282,092

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$282,092

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$282,092

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$282,092

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$282,092

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$729,226,080
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$48,845,797
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$282,092

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$282,092

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$282,092

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,611,358
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$282,092

0.1%

+0.0%

15.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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