Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:32AM EDT on Sep 09, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,847,634 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$8,044,018
Polymarket 🌎47.5-48.5%$4,226,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.0-52.9%$418,956
Betfair 🇬🇧50.5-51.3%$157,729

51.0%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$8,044,018
Polymarket 🌎51.5-52.5%$4,226,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$418,956
Betfair 🇬🇧48.6-49.5%$157,729

49.0%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:27AM EDT on Sep 09, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$747,140,309 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎24.0-24.1%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$257,768

21.3%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-13.5%$257,768

11.8%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$257,768

10.9%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.8%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$257,768

9.5%

0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.1-7.2%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-8.1%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$257,768

8.5%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.3%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$257,768

3.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.5%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$257,768

3.0%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.6%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$257,768

3.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.1%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$257,768

2.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-1.8%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$257,768

1.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.5%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$257,768

1.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$257,768

0.9%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.3%$1,531,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,314,711
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$257,768

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$703,990,676
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$257,768

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$257,768

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$257,768

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,768

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,768

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$257,768

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,768

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.2%$703,990,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$40,049,105
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,768

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,768

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$257,768

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,768

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,531,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$257,768

0.1%

+0.0%

18.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd