Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:31PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$21,939,729 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.6-62.6%$14,576,029
Polymarket 🌎62.7-63.7%$6,513,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸62.0-68.0%$574,554
Betfair 🇬🇧62.5-63.3%$275,956

63.3%

0.9%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.4-38.4%$14,576,029
Polymarket 🌎35.8-37.8%$6,513,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸31.0-39.0%$574,554
Betfair 🇬🇧36.5-37.6%$275,956

36.7%

-0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 48-47. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:02PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$763,849,255 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.1-22.2%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$267,826

19.5%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.2%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-13.9%$267,826

12.1%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$267,826

10.8%

-1.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$267,826

9.6%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$267,826

8.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.2%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$267,826

3.6%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$267,826

3.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$267,826

3.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$267,826

2.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$267,826

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$267,826

1.2%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$267,826

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.3%$1,541,078
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,391,827
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$267,826

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$716,156,611
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$267,826

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$267,826

0.5%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$267,826

0.5%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,826

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,826

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,826

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$716,156,611
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$44,493,050
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,541,078
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$267,826

0.1%

+0.0%

20.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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