Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:09PM EDT on May 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,762,468 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.3-53.3%$4,900,777
Polymarket 🌎51.5-52.5%$2,466,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸55.9-56.9%$308,007
Betfair 🇬🇧50.3-51.6%$81,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.6-51.5%$5,851

52.2%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.2-48.2%$4,900,777
Polymarket 🌎47.5-48.5%$2,466,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.1-44.1%$308,007
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-50.0%$81,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.9-52.0%$5,851

47.8%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:34PM EDT on May 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$624,796,033 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.9-19.0%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,223,645
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,146,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$217,036

18.9%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.4-16.5%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$1,223,645
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,146,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$217,036

17.2%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.4-13.5%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,223,645
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,146,812

14.3%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.5-6.6%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧5.6-5.9%$1,223,645
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,146,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$217,036

6.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.6-6.9%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,223,645
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,146,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$217,036

4.8%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$217,036

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,223,645
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,146,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$217,036

3.0%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,223,645
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,146,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$217,036

2.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$217,036

2.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$217,036

2.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.5%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.3%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$217,036

1.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.3%$1,223,645
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,146,812
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$217,036

1.5%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.7%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$217,036

1.1%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$217,036

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$217,036

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$217,036

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$600,274,870
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,937,111
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,036

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$217,036

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,036

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,036

0.2%

-0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,036

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,036

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,036

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,223,645
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$217,036

0.1%

-0.0%

17.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd