Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:09PM EDT on Sep 24, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$16,352,282 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸59.4-60.4%$10,432,191
Polymarket 🌎62.0-63.0%$5,252,133
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.3-63.3%$471,818
Betfair 🇬🇧60.9-64.1%$196,153

61.7%

-4.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.6-40.6%$10,432,191
Polymarket 🌎37.0-38.0%$5,252,133
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.2-39.2%$471,818
Betfair 🇬🇧36.0-39.0%$196,153

38.3%

4.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:52PM EDT on Sep 24, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$754,243,639 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$263,505

20.1%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.5%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$263,505

11.5%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.3-13.4%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-14.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.5%$263,505

11.5%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.7-8.8%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.7%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$263,505

9.1%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.1-8.3%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.1-8.8%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-10.0%$263,505

8.7%

0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.8%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$263,505

3.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$263,505

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$263,505

3.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.0%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.9%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$263,505

2.3%

0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-2.1%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$263,505

1.9%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.9%$1,517,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,351,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$263,505

0.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$263,505

0.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$263,505

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$708,881,598
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$263,505

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$263,505

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$263,505

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,505

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,505

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,505

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,505

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$708,881,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$42,228,986
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$263,505

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,505

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,505

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$263,505

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,517,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$263,505

0.1%

+0.0%

20.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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