Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:51PM EDT on Jul 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,972,386 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$6,158,807
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,325,700
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.3-60.3%$360,153
Betfair 🇬🇧53.7-55.5%$120,064
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.4-54.6%$7,679

56.1%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$6,158,807
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,325,700
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.2-42.2%$360,153
Betfair 🇬🇧44.6-46.2%$120,064
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.5-47.5%$7,679

43.9%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:51PM EDT on Jul 28, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$709,026,706 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$243,928

18.9%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.4-12.5%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$243,928

13.2%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.6-11.7%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$243,928

12.3%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-11.1%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.1%$243,928

10.4%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.7%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.6-8.8%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-12.5%$243,928

10.2%

0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.2%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$243,928

4.0%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$243,928

3.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$243,928

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.3%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$243,928

2.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$243,928

1.9%

-0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.8%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$1,355,251
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,240,100
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$243,928

1.5%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$243,928

1.4%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$243,928

1.2%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$672,142,262
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$243,928

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$243,928

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$243,928

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$243,928

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$243,928

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$672,142,262
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,045,180
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$243,928

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$243,928

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$243,928

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$243,928

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$243,928

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$243,928

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,355,251
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$243,928

0.1%

+0.0%

12.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd