Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:31AM EDT on Apr 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$6,049,173 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$3,620,592
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$2,123,873
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.5-50.5%$267,697
Betfair 🇬🇧53.7-55.2%$31,702
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.9-57.4%$5,309

52.5%

-0.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$3,620,592
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$2,123,873
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.5-51.5%$267,697
Betfair 🇬🇧45.0-46.2%$31,702
Smarkets 🇬🇧41.7-46.0%$5,309

47.5%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 51 - 49
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:12AM EDT on Apr 23, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$569,785,519 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.5-18.6%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$1,157,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,031,045
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$210,400

19.5%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$1,157,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,031,045
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-20.0%$210,400

19.2%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$1,157,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,031,045

11.7%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.2-6.3%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-4.1%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-5.0%$1,157,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,031,045
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.1%$210,400

5.8%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.7%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,157,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,031,045
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$210,400

3.3%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$210,400

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.4%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,157,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,031,045
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$210,400

3.0%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,157,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,031,045
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$210,400

2.9%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-3.3%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$210,400

2.2%

0.4%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,157,184
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,031,045
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$210,400

1.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-1.9%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$210,400

1.7%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$210,400

1.3%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.6%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$210,400

1.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$210,400

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$210,400

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$210,400

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$210,400

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$549,785,394
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$17,605,445
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,400

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,400

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,157,184
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,400

0.1%

+0.0%

19.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd