Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:57PM EDT on Jul 21, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,829,867 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$6,083,135
Polymarket 🌎56.0-57.0%$3,266,059
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.0-62.0%$353,754
Betfair 🇬🇧53.5-54.7%$119,328
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.5-54.0%$7,630

56.2%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$6,083,135
Polymarket 🌎43.0-44.0%$3,266,059
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.0-40.0%$353,754
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-46.3%$119,328
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.0-47.6%$7,630

43.8%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:32PM EDT on Jul 21, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$703,246,352 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$238,879

19.1%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-12.2%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$238,879

14.3%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$238,879

13.6%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-8.1%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$238,879

9.3%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.1%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.9%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$238,879

8.4%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.6%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$238,879

3.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$238,879

3.0%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$238,879

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.6%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$238,879

2.8%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$238,879

2.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$238,879

1.6%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.8%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,337,962
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,223,735
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$238,879

1.5%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$238,879

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$667,375,872
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$238,879

0.9%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$238,879

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$238,879

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$238,879

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$238,879

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$667,375,872
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$33,069,922
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$238,879

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$238,879

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$238,879

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$238,879

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$238,879

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$238,879

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,337,962
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$238,879

0.1%

+0.0%

12.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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