Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:56AM EDT on Aug 10, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,742,160 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$6,455,842
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$3,771,034
PredictIt 🇺🇸57.0-58.9%$372,107
Betfair 🇬🇧49.5-52.0%$135,331
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.7-51.8%$7,846

53.8%

-0.9%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$6,455,842
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$3,771,034
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.5-42.5%$372,107
Betfair 🇬🇧48.0-50.5%$135,331
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.8-49.7%$7,846

46.2%

0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:36AM EDT on Aug 10, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$718,963,454 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.6-21.7%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-24.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$247,868

19.4%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.4-12.5%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$247,868

12.5%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-11.4%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.2%$247,868

11.3%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.6%$247,868

10.4%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.4-9.5%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.8-9.0%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-12.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-11.6%$247,868

9.7%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.9%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$247,868

3.7%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$247,868

3.1%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$247,868

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-3.9%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$247,868

2.5%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.3%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.9%$247,868

2.2%

-0.3%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$247,868

1.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$1,436,512
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,260,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$247,868

1.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$247,868

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$680,067,278
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$247,868

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$247,868

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$247,868

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$247,868

0.3%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$247,868

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$247,868

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$247,868

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$680,067,278
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$35,951,115
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$247,868

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$247,868

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$247,868

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$247,868

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,436,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$247,868

0.1%

+0.0%

15.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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