Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:44PM EDT on Jul 18, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,753,636 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$6,057,288
Polymarket 🌎56.0-57.0%$3,215,839
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.4-61.4%$353,648
Betfair 🇬🇧53.3-55.1%$119,274
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.4-54.6%$7,630

56.2%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$6,057,288
Polymarket 🌎43.0-44.0%$3,215,839
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.6-39.6%$353,648
Betfair 🇬🇧44.9-46.6%$119,274
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.5-47.5%$7,630

43.8%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 7:26PM EDT on Jul 18, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$693,486,399 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.7-19.8%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,336,183
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,214,451
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$235,250

18.7%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.0-14.1%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-12.2%$1,336,183
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,214,451

14.7%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.8%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-13.2%$1,336,183
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,214,451
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.5-13.9%$235,250

13.4%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.0%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-7.7%$1,336,183
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,214,451
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-9.5%$235,250

9.0%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.5%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,336,183
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,214,451
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$235,250

3.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.8%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$235,250

3.1%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,336,183
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,214,451
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$235,250

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,336,183
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,214,451
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$235,250

2.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.9%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$235,250

2.5%

-0.3%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$235,250

2.1%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,336,183
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,214,451
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$235,250

1.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$235,250

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$235,250

1.1%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$235,250

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$235,250

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$235,250

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$235,250

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$663,670,200
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$27,037,378
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$235,250

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$235,250

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$235,250

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$235,250

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$235,250

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$235,250

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,336,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$235,250

0.1%

-0.0%

20.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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