Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:27PM EDT on Mar 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,112,668 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.1-51.6%$2,641,748
Polymarket 🌎51.5-52.5%$1,239,638
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.7-55.7%$204,261
Betfair 🇬🇧49.1-51.3%$22,356
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.5-51.6%$4,717

51.6%

0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.6-48.7%$2,641,748
Polymarket 🌎47.5-48.5%$1,239,638
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.8-45.8%$204,261
Betfair 🇬🇧48.6-51.1%$22,356
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.8-52.1%$4,717

48.4%

-0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:01PM EDT on Mar 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$469,668,706 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.7-16.8%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.2-18.3%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$1,085,400
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$899,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$193,426

19.2%

-0.1%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.1-18.2%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.2-19.3%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,085,400
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$899,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$193,426

19.0%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.0-11.1%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.3-14.4%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,085,400
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$899,910

12.7%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.8%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.0%$1,085,400
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$899,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.1%$193,426

5.8%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,085,400
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$899,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$193,426

3.1%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-3.0%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,085,400
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$899,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$193,426

2.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$193,426

2.6%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.7%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,085,400
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$899,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$193,426

2.4%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,085,400
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$899,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$193,426

2.0%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.8%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$193,426

1.6%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$193,426

1.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.4%$193,426

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$193,426

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$193,426

0.7%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$193,426

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$193,426

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$193,426

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$453,727,294
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$13,767,466
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$193,426

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$193,426

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,085,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.1%

+0.0%

21.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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