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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$5,844,136 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$5,844,136

15.5%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$5,844,136

12.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$5,844,136

8.5%

-0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$5,844,136

6.5%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$5,844,136

5.5%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,844,136

3.5%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,844,136

3.5%

+0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,844,136

3.5%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,844,136

2.5%

+0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,844,136

2.5%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,844,136

2.5%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,844,136

1.5%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,844,136

1.5%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,844,136

1.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,844,136

1.5%

+0.0%

27.5%
GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,679,039 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$1,679,039

49.5%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,679,039

5.5%

-1.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,679,039

4.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,679,039

4.5%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,679,039

3.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,679,039

2.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,679,039

2.5%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,679,039

1.5%

+0.0%

11.0%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$524,974 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧22.7-23.3%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧22.7-25.0%$62,993

23.4%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-9.1%$62,993

8.2%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.9%$62,993

6.5%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-4.8%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$62,993

4.5%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-4.0%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.6-3.9%$62,993

3.7%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$62,993

2.5%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$62,993

2.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$62,993

2.3%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$62,993

2.3%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$62,993

2.1%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$62,993

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$62,993

1.2%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$62,993

0.9%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.7%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$62,993

0.7%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$62,993

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$62,993

0.4%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$62,993

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$62,993

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$62,993

0.4%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$62,993

0.3%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$62,993

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$62,993

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$461,981
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$62,993

0.2%

-0.0%

34.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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