Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:35PM EDT on May 30, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,949,269 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$5,002,430
Polymarket 🌎53.0-54.0%$2,542,881
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.8-60.8%$316,036
Betfair 🇬🇧50.8-51.9%$82,869
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.5-51.8%$5,913

54.2%

0.5%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$5,002,430
Polymarket 🌎46.0-47.0%$2,542,881
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.2-41.2%$316,036
Betfair 🇬🇧48.2-49.1%$82,869
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.1-51.6%$5,913

45.8%

-0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:37PM EDT on May 30, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$633,175,949 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-15.2%$1,238,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-27.0%$1,156,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.1%$217,207

18.1%

0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,238,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,156,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.5%$217,207

17.0%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,238,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,156,040

14.9%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.1-6.3%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$1,238,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,156,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$217,207

6.5%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-5.9%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-6.4%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,238,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,156,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$217,207

4.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$217,207

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,238,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,156,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$217,207

3.0%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,238,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,156,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$217,207

3.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$217,207

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.9%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$217,207

2.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.1%$1,238,004
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,156,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.0%$217,207

1.4%

0.3%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.2%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$217,207

1.4%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.7%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$217,207

1.1%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$217,207

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$217,207

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$217,207

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$608,121,904
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$22,442,794
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,207

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$217,207

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,207

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,207

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,207

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,207

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,207

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,238,004
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$217,207

0.1%

-0.0%

18.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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