Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:30PM EDT on Jul 11, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,394,401 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$5,791,365
Polymarket 🌎52.7-54.7%$3,147,672
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$351,591
Betfair 🇬🇧53.5-54.7%$96,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.2-54.5%$7,334

55.3%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$5,791,365
Polymarket 🌎45.8-46.8%$3,147,672
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$351,591
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-46.3%$96,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.3-48.0%$7,334

44.7%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:06PM EDT on Jul 11, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$684,280,035 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$1,312,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,207,471
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-21.7%$233,051

15.2%

-3.8%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.8-13.9%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$1,312,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,207,471

14.5%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-13.2%$1,312,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$1,207,471
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-100.0%$233,051

12.8%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.6-7.8%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.4%$1,312,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,207,471
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-9.5%$233,051

8.3%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.2%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.6%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,312,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,471
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$233,051

3.6%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-3.3%$1,312,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,471
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$233,051

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,312,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,471
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$233,051

2.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-3.4%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-100.0%$233,051

2.4%

-0.6%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.5%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-3.3%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-100.0%$233,051

2.2%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-100.0%$233,051

2.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.4%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-3.6%$233,051

1.5%

0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.1%$1,312,907
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,207,471
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.3%$233,051

1.4%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$233,051

1.0%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$233,051

0.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$233,051

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$655,422,676
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$26,125,789
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$233,051

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$233,051

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$233,051

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$233,051

0.3%

0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$233,051

0.3%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$233,051

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$233,051

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$233,051

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,312,907
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$233,051

0.1%

+0.0%

25.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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