Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:38PM EDT on May 20, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,656,901 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$4,814,023
Polymarket 🌎51.5-52.5%$2,451,425
PredictIt 🇺🇸55.3-56.3%$305,356
Betfair 🇬🇧49.2-52.0%$80,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.9-52.3%$5,671

52.1%

-0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$4,814,023
Polymarket 🌎47.5-48.5%$2,451,425
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.7-44.7%$305,356
Betfair 🇬🇧48.2-50.7%$80,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.6-53.2%$5,671

47.9%

0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:30PM EDT on May 20, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$615,996,351 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,215,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,140,189
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$215,894

19.1%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.2%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,215,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,140,189
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$215,894

17.0%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-11.1%$1,215,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-17.0%$1,140,189

14.3%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.6-5.7%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.9%$1,215,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,140,189
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$215,894

6.2%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.3%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.0%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,215,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,140,189
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$215,894

4.3%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$215,894

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,215,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,140,189
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$215,894

3.1%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,215,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,140,189
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$215,894

2.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-3.8%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-3.3%$215,894

2.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$215,894

2.3%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.3%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.5%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$215,894

1.7%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$1,215,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,140,189
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$215,894

1.4%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$215,894

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,894

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$215,894

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$215,894

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$591,953,020
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,473,716
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,894

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$215,894

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,894

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,894

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,894

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,894

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,894

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,215,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$215,894

0.1%

+0.0%

17.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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