Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:44PM EST on Nov 15, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$801,832,639 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.5-17.6%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-17.2%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-17.9%$328,345

17.3%

+0.0%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.4-15.5%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.2%$328,345

13.1%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.1-9.4%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.6%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-9.1%$328,345

9.1%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-8.0%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-9.5%$328,345

8.8%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.4-7.5%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.5-7.7%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$328,345

8.2%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.4-6.7%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-6.4%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$328,345

6.3%

0.4%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$328,345

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.7%$328,345

3.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.4%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.5%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$328,345

2.8%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$328,345

1.3%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$1,676,619
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,577,039
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.7%$328,345

0.8%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$328,345

0.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$328,345

0.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$743,056,653
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$328,345

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.8%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$328,345

0.4%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$328,345

0.3%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$328,345

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$328,345

0.2%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$328,345

0.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$328,345

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$328,345

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$743,056,653
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$55,194,073
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$328,345

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$328,345

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$328,345

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,676,619
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$328,345

0.1%

+0.0%

22.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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