Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:15PM EDT on Jul 15, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,595,839 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$5,938,624
Polymarket 🌎53.7-55.7%$3,177,430
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.7-60.7%$352,688
Betfair 🇬🇧53.2-54.6%$119,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.8-53.9%$7,629

55.3%

0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$5,938,624
Polymarket 🌎44.8-45.8%$3,177,430
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.8-40.8%$352,688
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-46.7%$119,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.3-48.0%$7,629

44.7%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:58PM EDT on Jul 15, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$689,562,671 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,335,720
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,211,043
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$234,266

18.7%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.7-13.9%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$1,335,720
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,211,043

14.5%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,335,720
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,211,043
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.8-13.9%$234,266

13.2%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.0%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-8.0%$1,335,720
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,211,043
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$234,266

9.0%

0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,335,720
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,043
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$234,266

3.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-5.3%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$234,266

2.9%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,335,720
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,043
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$234,266

2.9%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,335,720
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,043
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$234,266

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$234,266

2.7%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$234,266

2.0%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-2.0%$1,335,720
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,211,043
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$234,266

1.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$234,266

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$234,266

1.1%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$234,266

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$234,266

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$660,049,437
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.7%$26,738,111
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,266

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$234,266

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$234,266

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,266

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$234,266

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,266

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,266

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$234,266

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,335,720
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$234,266

0.1%

-0.0%

20.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd