Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:46PM EST on Nov 03, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$58,578,004 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸71.7-72.7%$36,962,184
Polymarket 🌎74.0-75.0%$20,105,710
PredictIt 🇺🇸73.5-74.5%$939,449
Betfair 🇬🇧72.0-73.6%$787,978

73.4%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸27.3-28.3%$36,962,184
Polymarket 🌎25.0-26.0%$20,105,710
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.5-26.5%$939,449
Betfair 🇬🇧26.7-27.8%$787,978

26.6%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 54-46. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:44PM EST on Nov 03, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$778,256,727 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.1-18.2%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.9%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.9%$281,190

18.4%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.7%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-13.2%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-13.5%$281,190

12.1%

1.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.1-12.2%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.4%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.5%$281,190

11.9%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$281,190

11.7%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.2-8.3%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-8.3%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.3%$281,190

9.3%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.4%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$281,190

3.3%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$281,190

3.2%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-3.8%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$281,190

3.1%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$281,190

2.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$281,190

1.4%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$281,190

0.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$281,190

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.9%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$1,601,216
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,454,872
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$281,190

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$727,165,556
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$281,190

0.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$281,190

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$281,190

0.4%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$281,190

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$281,190

0.3%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$281,190

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$281,190

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$281,190

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$727,165,556
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$47,755,951
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$281,190

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$281,190

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$281,190

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,601,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$281,190

0.1%

+0.0%

17.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd