Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:44PM EDT on Jul 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,920,477 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.4-56.4%$6,122,762
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,316,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$354,157
Betfair 🇬🇧53.8-54.7%$119,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.6-54.1%$7,630

56.1%

0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.6-44.6%$6,122,762
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,316,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$354,157
Betfair 🇬🇧45.1-46.4%$119,259
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.6-47.6%$7,630

43.9%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:23PM EDT on Jul 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$707,449,773 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.2-20.3%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$242,667

18.7%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.9%$242,667

13.3%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$242,667

13.1%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.7-8.8%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.8-11.0%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-8.7%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$242,667

9.5%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-8.5%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.8%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-11.4%$242,667

9.4%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.5%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$242,667

3.7%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$242,667

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$242,667

2.7%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.3%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$242,667

2.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$242,667

1.9%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$242,667

1.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.9%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,342,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,236,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$242,667

1.6%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$242,667

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$670,980,938
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$242,667

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$242,667

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$242,667

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$242,667

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$242,667

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$670,980,938
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$33,648,098
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$242,667

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$242,667

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$242,667

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$242,667

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$242,667

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$242,667

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,342,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$242,667

0.1%

+0.0%

13.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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