Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:59PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$21,417,237 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.0-62.0%$14,247,438
Polymarket 🌎63.0-64.0%$6,350,879
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.1-62.1%$554,042
Betfair 🇬🇧63.2-63.6%$265,900

62.5%

0.5%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%$14,247,438
Polymarket 🌎36.0-37.0%$6,350,879
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.4-39.4%$554,042
Betfair 🇬🇧36.5-36.7%$265,900

37.5%

-0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:40PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$763,113,449 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.1-22.2%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$267,094

19.1%

0.8%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-12.2%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-13.9%$267,094

12.6%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$267,094

12.0%

0.7%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.8%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$267,094

9.2%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.9%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$267,094

8.3%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.2%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$267,094

3.9%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$267,094

3.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.2%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$267,094

3.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$267,094

2.4%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$267,094

1.7%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-2.3%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$267,094

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$267,094

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$1,538,609
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,378,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$267,094

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$715,703,052
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$267,094

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$267,094

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$267,094

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,094

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,094

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,094

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,094

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$715,703,052
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$44,225,967
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$267,094

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,094

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,094

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,094

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,538,609
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$267,094

0.1%

+0.0%

18.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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