Odds update every minute | Last updated: 9:06PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$17,261,113 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸62.0-63.0%$11,165,344
Polymarket 🌎62.0-63.0%$5,387,729
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.3-63.3%$492,038
Betfair 🇬🇧64.6-65.4%$216,291

62.8%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$11,165,344
Polymarket 🌎37.0-38.0%$5,387,729
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.2-40.2%$492,038
Betfair 🇬🇧34.5-35.5%$216,291

37.2%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 8:58PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$757,244,628 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$264,156

20.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.3%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$264,156

12.0%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.9-11.0%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$264,156

11.0%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.6-7.7%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.6%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$264,156

8.7%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.9-9.0%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-9.2%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.3%$264,156

8.5%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.7%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,156

3.3%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$264,156

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$264,156

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.8%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,156

2.1%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.9%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$264,156

1.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,156

0.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,156

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$1,527,999
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,354,570
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.1%$264,156

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$711,138,096
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$264,156

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$264,156

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$264,156

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$264,156

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,156

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,156

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,156

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$711,138,096
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$42,960,383
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$264,156

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,156

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,156

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,156

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,527,999
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$264,156

0.1%

+0.0%

20.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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