Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 7:32AM EST on Nov 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$797,600,956 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$323,915

18.2%

0.1%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-16.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.5%$323,915

13.0%

-0.7%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.8-9.9%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-7.1%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-8.3%$323,915

8.8%

-0.7%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.4-9.6%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.0%$323,915

8.7%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.7-6.2%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.1-8.2%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$323,915

8.3%

-0.4%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.3-6.4%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.7-5.9%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.7%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$323,915

5.7%

-0.4%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.6%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$323,915

3.1%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$323,915

3.0%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.7%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$323,915

2.9%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.7%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$323,915

1.3%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$323,915

0.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$1,665,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,565,492
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.7%$323,915

0.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$323,915

0.5%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$323,915

0.5%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$739,861,848
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$323,915

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$323,915

0.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$323,915

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$323,915

0.2%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$323,915

0.2%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$323,915

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$739,861,848
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$54,187,289
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$323,915

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$323,915

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$323,915

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$323,915

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,665,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$323,915

0.1%

+0.0%

22.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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