Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:47PM EDT on Aug 14, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,192,182 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$6,825,035
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$3,847,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.8-49.8%$380,205
Betfair 🇬🇧51.8-52.1%$138,988

50.7%

0.8%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$6,825,035
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$3,847,954
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.7-51.7%$380,205
Betfair 🇬🇧47.6-48.5%$138,988

49.3%

-0.8%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:45PM EDT on Aug 14, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$724,088,281 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.0-23.1%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-19.2%$253,334

20.4%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.3-13.4%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$253,334

12.7%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.3-13.4%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-13.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-13.2%$253,334

11.4%

0.7%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.9%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$253,334

10.6%

-0.5%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-10.0%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-9.5%$253,334

9.2%

-1.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-3.9%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.9%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$253,334

3.5%

-0.3%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$253,334

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$253,334

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-3.8%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$253,334

2.5%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-1.9%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$253,334

2.2%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$253,334

1.2%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.5%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$253,334

1.1%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.5%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,456,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,266,478
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$253,334

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$684,455,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$253,334

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$253,334

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$253,334

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,334

0.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$253,334

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,334

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$253,334

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$684,455,841
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,655,887
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,334

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,334

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,334

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$253,334

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,456,968
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$253,334

0.1%

+0.0%

15.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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