Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:24PM EDT on Oct 17, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$23,224,549 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸62.0-63.0%$15,307,816
Polymarket 🌎63.4-64.4%$7,041,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸62.7-63.7%$586,637
Betfair 🇬🇧62.1-62.8%$288,528

63.0%

-0.0%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$15,307,816
Polymarket 🌎35.6-36.6%$7,041,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.8-37.8%$586,637
Betfair 🇬🇧37.3-37.8%$288,528

37.0%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:50PM EDT on Oct 17, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$765,567,747 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.9-21.0%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$268,752

19.0%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-14.3%$268,752

12.4%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-11.0%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$268,752

10.1%

0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.9-9.0%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.9%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$268,752

9.2%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$268,752

8.1%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.1%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$268,752

3.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$268,752

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.4%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$268,752

3.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.4%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$268,752

2.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$268,752

1.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$268,752

1.0%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.4%$1,555,558
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-3.0%$1,404,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$268,752

0.9%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$268,752

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$717,083,241
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$268,752

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$268,752

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$268,752

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$268,752

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$268,752

0.3%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$268,752

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$268,752

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$717,083,241
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$45,257,142
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$268,752

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$268,752

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$268,752

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$268,752

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,555,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$268,752

0.1%

+0.0%

21.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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