Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:09PM EDT on Apr 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,749,303 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.3-50.8%$2,946,703
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$1,538,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.1-46.1%$233,839
Betfair 🇬🇧55.7-59.7%$25,083
Smarkets 🇬🇧55.5-61.3%$4,728

52.9%

-0.3%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.2-49.8%$2,946,703
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$1,538,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.9-54.9%$233,839
Betfair 🇬🇧40.1-44.4%$25,083
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.0-44.2%$4,728

47.1%

0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:38PM EDT on Apr 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$512,560,667 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.9-17.0%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.7-17.9%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-20.4%$1,102,763
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$948,007
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.6-20.4%$204,277

19.1%

-0.3%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.5-17.6%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.4-18.8%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$1,102,763
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$948,007
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-16.9%$204,277

18.5%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.5-14.0%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,102,763
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$948,007

11.2%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.4%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.5-5.9%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,102,763
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$948,007
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$204,277

6.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.6%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,102,763
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$948,007
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$204,277

2.9%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,102,763
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$948,007
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$204,277

2.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$204,277

2.6%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.4%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$1,102,763
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$948,007
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$204,277

2.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,102,763
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$948,007
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$204,277

2.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.6%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$204,277

1.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.4%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$204,277

1.7%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$204,277

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$204,277

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.6%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$204,277

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$204,277

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$204,277

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$204,277

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$494,755,713
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,559,975
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$204,277

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$204,277

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,102,763
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.1%

+0.0%

23.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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