Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:44PM EDT on Jul 12, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,437,686 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$5,805,925
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$3,154,494
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$351,767
Betfair 🇬🇧51.9-53.6%$118,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.3-53.8%$7,334

55.0%

-0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$5,805,925
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$3,154,494
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$351,767
Betfair 🇬🇧46.4-48.2%$118,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.6-48.4%$7,334

45.0%

0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:29PM EDT on Jul 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$685,715,934 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,315,128
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,207,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$234,048

18.7%

3.5%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.8-13.9%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,315,128
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,207,603

14.3%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.1-12.2%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-13.2%$1,315,128
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,207,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.9%$234,048

13.2%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.4-7.5%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.2-8.4%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,315,128
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,207,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$234,048

8.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.3%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.6%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,315,128
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$234,048

3.8%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,315,128
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$234,048

3.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$234,048

2.9%

0.5%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$1,315,128
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$234,048

2.8%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.5%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-3.7%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$234,048

2.6%

0.4%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.8%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$234,048

2.0%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.1%$1,315,128
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,207,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.0%$234,048

1.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$234,048

1.3%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$234,048

1.1%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$234,048

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$234,048

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$656,669,016
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$26,291,564
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,048

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$234,048

0.4%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$234,048

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,048

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$234,048

0.2%

-0.1%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,048

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,048

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,048

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,315,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$234,048

0.1%

-0.0%

21.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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