Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:52PM EDT on Aug 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,538,570 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$6,317,498
Polymarket 🌎55.0-56.0%$3,725,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.7-57.7%$364,570
Betfair 🇬🇧53.4-53.7%$123,852
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.8-53.8%$7,687

54.5%

-0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$6,317,498
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$3,725,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.8-43.8%$364,570
Betfair 🇬🇧46.2-46.7%$123,852
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.3-48.1%$7,687

45.5%

0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:34PM EDT on Aug 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$714,545,314 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$245,885

18.9%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.4-13.5%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$245,885

13.1%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.6-11.7%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.5%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-13.5%$245,885

12.6%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-10.0%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$245,885

10.4%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.7%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-12.5%$245,885

9.9%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.9%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$245,885

3.7%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$245,885

2.9%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$245,885

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-3.9%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$245,885

2.5%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$245,885

1.5%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$245,885

1.5%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.8%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,404,555
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,247,030
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$245,885

1.4%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.4%$245,885

1.1%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$676,756,745
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$245,885

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$245,885

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$245,885

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$245,885

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$245,885

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$245,885

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$245,885

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$676,756,745
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$34,971,492
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$245,885

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,885

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,885

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,885

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,404,555
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$245,885

0.1%

+0.0%

14.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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