Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:08PM EDT on Apr 07, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,828,562 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.6-50.7%$2,976,333
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$1,585,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.9-47.8%$236,653
Betfair 🇬🇧56.0-58.3%$25,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧56.1-59.8%$4,728

53.4%

0.5%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.2-49.5%$2,976,333
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$1,585,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.7-53.7%$236,653
Betfair 🇬🇧41.8-44.0%$25,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧40.3-43.8%$4,728

46.6%

-0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:29PM EDT on Apr 07, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$517,362,733 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-15.2%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-20.4%$1,107,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$948,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-20.8%$204,928

18.6%

-0.5%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.7-17.8%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.6-18.7%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$1,107,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$948,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-16.9%$204,928

18.6%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.5-13.8%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,107,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$948,220

11.5%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.7-5.8%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.6-6.2%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,107,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$948,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$204,928

6.2%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,107,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$948,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$204,928

2.9%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,107,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$948,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$204,928

2.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$204,928

2.8%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,107,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$948,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$204,928

2.3%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,107,937
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$948,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$204,928

1.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-1.7%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$204,928

1.7%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$204,928

1.5%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$204,928

0.9%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$204,928

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.6%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$204,928

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$204,928

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$204,928

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$204,928

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$499,269,179
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,842,243
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$204,928

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$204,928

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,928

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,928

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,928

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,928

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,107,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,928

0.1%

+0.0%

23.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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