Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:10AM EDT on Aug 30, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,406,004 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$7,797,394
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,046,360
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$413,443
Betfair 🇬🇧49.4-49.9%$148,807

50.7%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$7,797,394
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,046,360
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$413,443
Betfair 🇬🇧50.2-50.4%$148,807

49.3%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:56PM EDT on Aug 29, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$737,997,204 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎25.3-25.4%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$256,426

21.5%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-14.3%$256,426

11.4%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.6%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$256,426

10.6%

0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.5%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$256,426

10.2%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.2-7.3%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.1%$256,426

9.0%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.6%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.3%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$256,426

3.3%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.8%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$256,426

3.2%

0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$256,426

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.2-3.3%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$256,426

2.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.4%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.5%$256,426

2.0%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$256,426

1.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$1,508,531
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,298,234
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$256,426

0.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$256,426

0.9%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$695,764,952
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$256,426

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$256,426

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$256,426

0.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$256,426

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$256,426

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$256,426

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$695,764,952
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$39,169,495
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$256,426

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$256,426

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$256,426

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$256,426

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$256,426

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,508,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$256,426

0.1%

+0.0%

17.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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