Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:03PM EST on Nov 10, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$795,079,069 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.2%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$320,874

18.5%

-1.1%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.2%$320,874

13.8%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.6%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.8%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-9.1%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$320,874

9.6%

-0.7%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.7%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.0%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.0%$320,874

8.8%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.1%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.4%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$320,874

8.7%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-6.2%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.7-8.0%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.7%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$320,874

6.2%

0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-3.6%$320,874

3.1%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$320,874

3.0%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.7%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$320,874

2.9%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.0%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$320,874

1.4%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,662,581
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,541,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.7%$320,874

0.7%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$320,874

0.7%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$320,874

0.6%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$738,040,109
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$320,874

0.5%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$320,874

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$320,874

0.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$320,874

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$320,874

0.2%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$320,874

0.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$320,874

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$738,040,109
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$53,514,497
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$320,874

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$320,874

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$320,874

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$320,874

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,662,581
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$320,874

0.1%

+0.0%

19.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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