Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:15PM EDT on Jul 24, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,898,308 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.4-56.4%$6,115,106
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,302,293
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.4-60.4%$354,109
Betfair 🇬🇧53.5-54.7%$119,170
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.5-53.8%$7,630

55.9%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.6-44.6%$6,115,106
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,302,293
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.6-41.6%$354,109
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-46.3%$119,170
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.0-47.6%$7,630

44.1%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:55PM EDT on Jul 24, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$706,685,392 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.9-20.0%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$242,467

18.9%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-11.1%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-10.9%$242,467

13.5%

-0.9%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$242,467

13.1%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.8-11.0%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.3%$242,467

9.5%

0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.7-8.9%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-11.6%$242,467

9.5%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.6%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$242,467

3.8%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-3.3%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$242,467

3.1%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$242,467

2.7%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.2%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$242,467

2.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$242,467

2.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.1%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$242,467

1.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.9%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.5%$1,339,724
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,234,054
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$242,467

1.5%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$242,467

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$670,274,126
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$242,467

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$242,467

0.4%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$242,467

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$242,467

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$242,467

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$670,274,126
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$33,598,717
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$242,467

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$242,467

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$242,467

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$242,467

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$242,467

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$242,467

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,339,724
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$242,467

0.1%

+0.0%

13.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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