Odds update every minute | Last updated: 10:55AM EDT on May 21, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,674,420 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$4,828,408
Polymarket 🌎51.5-52.5%$2,454,292
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.2-57.1%$305,782
Betfair 🇬🇧49.2-52.0%$80,267
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.9-52.3%$5,671

52.4%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$4,828,408
Polymarket 🌎47.5-48.5%$2,454,292
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.4-44.3%$305,782
Betfair 🇬🇧48.2-50.7%$80,267
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.6-53.2%$5,671

47.6%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:23AM EDT on May 21, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$616,870,786 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,212,315
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$1,141,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$215,894

19.1%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.2%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,212,315
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,141,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$215,894

17.0%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.2-12.3%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-11.1%$1,212,315
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,141,298

13.9%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.5-5.6%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.7%$1,212,315
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,141,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$215,894

6.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-6.0%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.9%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,212,315
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,141,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$215,894

4.6%

0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$215,894

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,212,315
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,141,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$215,894

3.1%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,212,315
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,141,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$215,894

2.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-3.8%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-3.3%$215,894

2.8%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$215,894

2.3%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.3%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.5%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$215,894

1.7%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.4%$1,212,315
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,141,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$215,894

1.5%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$215,894

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,894

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$215,894

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$215,894

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$592,758,049
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,547,952
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,894

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$215,894

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,894

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,894

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,894

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,894

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,894

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,212,315
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$215,894

0.1%

+0.0%

17.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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