Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:13AM EDT on Oct 26, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$29,428,121 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸63.0-64.0%$19,087,471
Polymarket 🌎64.0-65.0%$9,250,459
PredictIt 🇺🇸63.4-64.4%$685,488
Betfair 🇬🇧64.6-65.0%$404,651

64.2%

-1.4%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.0-37.0%$19,087,471
Polymarket 🌎35.0-36.0%$9,250,459
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.6-36.6%$685,488
Betfair 🇬🇧35.0-35.5%$404,651

35.8%

1.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:54AM EDT on Oct 26, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$769,273,224 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.9-20.0%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$277,097

19.8%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.9-8.0%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.8%$277,097

11.7%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.0-11.8%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$277,097

11.1%

0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.9-9.0%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$277,097

9.8%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-8.7%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.3%$277,097

8.8%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.9%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.9%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$277,097

3.5%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$277,097

3.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.5%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.8%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$277,097

3.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-3.0%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$277,097

2.4%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$277,097

1.5%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$277,097

1.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$277,097

0.9%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,582,436
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,420,803
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$277,097

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$719,619,102
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$277,097

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$277,097

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$277,097

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$277,097

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$277,097

0.3%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$277,097

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$277,097

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,097

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,097

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,097

0.1%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$719,619,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$46,373,910
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$277,097

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,582,436
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$277,097

0.1%

+0.0%

19.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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