Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:06AM EDT on May 14, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,259,449 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$4,507,068
Polymarket 🌎53.0-54.0%$2,374,901
PredictIt 🇺🇸57.4-58.4%$297,549
Betfair 🇬🇧51.0-51.5%$74,527
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.1-51.6%$5,360

53.6%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$4,507,068
Polymarket 🌎46.0-47.0%$2,374,901
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.6-42.6%$297,549
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-49.0%$74,527
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.6-51.6%$5,360

46.4%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:57AM EDT on May 14, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$603,888,576 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,197,298
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,121,208
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$215,740

19.1%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,197,298
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,121,208
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$215,740

17.9%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.8-12.9%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-20.0%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,197,298
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,121,208

14.6%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.1-5.2%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.6%$1,197,298
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,121,208
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$215,740

6.1%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.3%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.8%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,197,298
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,121,208
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$215,740

4.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-4.0%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.9%$215,740

3.6%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,197,298
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,121,208
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$215,740

3.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-3.1%$1,197,298
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,121,208
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$215,740

2.9%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.5%$215,740

2.8%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.2%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$215,740

2.6%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,197,298
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$1,121,208
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$215,740

1.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.5%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$215,740

1.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$215,740

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,740

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$215,740

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$215,740

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$580,515,428
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$20,839,344
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,740

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$215,740

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,740

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,197,298
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

-0.0%

15.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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