Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:18AM EDT on Oct 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$26,366,720 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸67.3-68.3%$17,339,652
Polymarket 🌎68.0-69.0%$7,999,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸66.7-69.6%$652,475
Betfair 🇬🇧66.1-67.9%$375,615

67.9%

1.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.7-32.7%$17,339,652
Polymarket 🌎31.0-32.0%$7,999,154
PredictIt 🇺🇸31.4-32.4%$652,475
Betfair 🇬🇧32.2-33.7%$375,615

32.1%

-1.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:02AM EDT on Oct 23, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$767,671,261 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-18.2%$274,460

15.6%

-3.8%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.6-12.7%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.4%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-15.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-100.0%$274,460

11.6%

-0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-100.0%$274,460

9.5%

-0.8%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.6%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-9.3%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-100.0%$274,460

8.0%

-1.9%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.6%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-10.9%$274,460

7.2%

-1.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.5%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-100.0%$274,460

3.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.5%$274,460

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.1%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.8%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.1%$274,460

3.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-100.0%$274,460

2.3%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-100.0%$274,460

1.2%

-0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.2%$1,578,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,417,002
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.4%$274,460

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$718,364,479
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$274,460

0.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-3.6%$274,460

0.6%

-0.3%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$274,460

0.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-100.0%$274,460

0.5%

-0.5%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$274,460

0.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$274,460

0.3%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$274,460

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$274,460

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$274,460

0.3%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.1%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$718,364,479
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$46,036,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$274,460

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,578,520
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$274,460

0.1%

+0.0%

29.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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