Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:56PM EDT on Aug 02, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,419,644 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$6,273,214
Polymarket 🌎55.0-56.0%$3,653,207
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.9-57.8%$362,364
Betfair 🇬🇧54.3-55.2%$123,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.7-54.1%$7,687

54.9%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$6,273,214
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$3,653,207
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.2-43.1%$362,364
Betfair 🇬🇧44.6-45.8%$123,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.1-48.1%$7,687

45.1%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:33PM EDT on Aug 02, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$713,364,213 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$244,991

19.0%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.7-12.8%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$244,991

13.2%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-13.2%$244,991

12.5%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-11.0%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.2%$244,991

10.9%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.8%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.6%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-13.9%$244,991

10.4%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.8%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$244,991

3.8%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$244,991

2.9%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$244,991

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$244,991

2.4%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$244,991

1.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$244,991

1.5%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.9%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,402,410
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,244,687
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$244,991

1.4%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.3%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$244,991

1.1%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$676,013,623
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$244,991

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$244,991

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$244,991

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$244,991

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$244,991

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,991

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$676,013,623
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,458,502
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,991

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$244,991

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,991

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,991

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,991

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,402,410
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$244,991

0.1%

+0.0%

12.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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