Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:18AM EDT on May 01, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$6,438,585 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$3,890,927
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$2,226,040
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.8-48.8%$282,075
Betfair 🇬🇧50.2-52.3%$34,211
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.0-54.3%$5,360

50.6%

-0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$3,890,927
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$2,226,040
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.7-52.7%$282,075
Betfair 🇬🇧47.6-49.9%$34,211
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.0-49.7%$5,360

49.4%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:20AM EDT on May 01, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$582,128,978 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.5-21.7%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$1,176,346
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,058,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$210,702

20.3%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.5-17.6%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,176,346
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,058,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$210,702

18.3%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.7-10.8%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$1,176,346
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,058,653

12.1%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.6%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.1-5.2%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.4%$1,176,346
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,058,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.5%$210,702

6.1%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-3.8%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,176,346
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,058,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$210,702

3.7%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.6%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.5%$210,702

3.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.2-3.3%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,176,346
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,058,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$210,702

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$1,176,346
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,058,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$210,702

2.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-3.1%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$210,702

2.4%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.1%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$210,702

1.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,176,346
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,058,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$210,702

1.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.2%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$210,702

1.2%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$210,702

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$210,702

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$210,702

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$210,702

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$561,389,824
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$18,299,529
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,702

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$210,702

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,702

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,176,346
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%

19.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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