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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$55,094,402 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎28.0-29.0%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.0-33.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧27.0-27.8%$655,496
PredictIt 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$315,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.3-29.0%$104,030

29.4%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.0-23.0%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-21.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$655,496
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$315,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-19.2%$104,030

21.2%

1.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.6%$655,496
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$315,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-6.1%$104,030

6.1%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.4%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$655,496
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$315,133

4.0%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$655,496
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$315,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$104,030

2.9%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.8%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$655,496
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$315,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$104,030

2.5%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$655,496
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$315,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$104,030

2.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$104,030

2.2%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$655,496
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$315,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$104,030

1.7%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$104,030

1.7%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.3%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-2.0%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$104,030

1.4%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$104,030

0.8%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$104,030

0.7%

-0.2%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$104,030

0.7%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$104,030

0.7%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$104,030

0.6%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$52,474,911
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,546,042
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$104,030

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$104,030

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$104,030

0.3%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-8.7%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$104,030

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$104,030

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$104,030

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$104,030

0.2%

-0.2%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$655,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$104,030

0.2%

-0.1%

18.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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