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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$575,060 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧24.4-25.0%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧23.8-25.0%$66,695

24.6%

0.7%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$66,695

8.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-6.7%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-6.7%$66,695

6.6%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-4.8%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-5.1%$66,695

4.6%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.6%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.5%$66,695

3.4%

-0.4%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$66,695

2.5%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$66,695

2.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-3.1%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$66,695

2.2%

0.8%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$66,695

2.1%

-0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$66,695

1.9%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.0%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.3%$66,695

1.6%

-0.7%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$66,695

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$66,695

1.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$66,695

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$66,695

0.5%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$66,695

0.5%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$66,695

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$66,695

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$66,695

0.3%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$66,695

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$66,695

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$66,695

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$508,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$66,695

0.2%

-0.0%

33.8%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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