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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$151,705,025 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎29.0-30.0%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧26.7-27.0%$786,303
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.0-29.0%$562,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-27.4%$134,960

28.2%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-18.0%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$786,303
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$562,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-19.2%$134,960

19.1%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-8.0%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$786,303
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$562,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.5%$134,960

6.3%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.8-4.0%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$786,303
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$562,120

3.8%

-0.5%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.6%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$786,303
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$562,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$134,960

3.0%

0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-3.3%$786,303
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$562,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$134,960

2.9%

0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$786,303
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$562,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$134,960

2.7%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$786,303
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$562,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$134,960

2.3%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$134,960

1.8%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$134,960

1.7%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.8%$134,960

1.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$134,960

1.2%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$134,960

1.1%

-1.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$134,960

0.8%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$134,960

0.8%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$134,960

0.7%

-0.1%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$134,960

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$147,137,998
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,083,644
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$134,960

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$134,960

0.4%

-0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$134,960

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$134,960

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$134,960

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$134,960

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$786,303
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$134,960

0.2%

+0.0%

19.8%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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