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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$22,065,374 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎26.0-27.0%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-32.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧27.4-28.2%$624,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$254,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.3-28.6%$95,067

28.8%

0.7%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-21.0%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧13.2-14.3%$624,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$254,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-15.6%$95,067

18.6%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.3%$624,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$254,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-5.4%$95,067

6.1%

0.8%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$624,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$254,369

3.9%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$624,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$254,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.5%$95,067

3.2%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$624,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$254,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$95,067

2.5%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$624,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$254,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$95,067

2.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$95,067

2.3%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.3%$624,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$254,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$95,067

1.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.8%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$95,067

1.9%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$95,067

1.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$95,067

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$95,067

0.9%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$95,067

0.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$95,067

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$95,067

0.6%

0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$19,741,516
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,350,009
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$95,067

0.4%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$95,067

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$95,067

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$95,067

0.3%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$95,067

0.3%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$95,067

0.3%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$95,067

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$624,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$95,067

0.2%

-0.0%

20.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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