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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$14,360,187 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎27.0-28.0%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸28.0-30.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧26.0-26.3%$574,388
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$182,557
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.0-27.0%$78,438

27.2%

0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-19.0%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-21.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.5%$574,388
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$182,557
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-13.2%$78,438

16.5%

1.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-9.0%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.7%$574,388
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$182,557
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-6.3%$78,438

6.4%

-0.6%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-4.0%$574,388
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$182,557
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.3%$78,438

4.2%

-0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$574,388
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$182,557

3.6%

-0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.8%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$574,388
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$182,557
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$78,438

2.8%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$574,388
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$182,557
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.5%$78,438

2.8%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$78,438

2.2%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-3.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$78,438

2.1%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.1%$574,388
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$182,557
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.5%$78,438

2.1%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$78,438

1.9%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$78,438

1.1%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$78,438

1.0%

-0.2%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$78,438

0.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$78,438

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$78,438

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$12,453,499
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,071,050
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$78,438

0.4%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$78,438

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$78,438

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$78,438

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$78,438

0.3%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$78,438

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$78,438

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$574,388
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$78,438

0.2%

-0.0%

21.4%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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