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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$499,118,260 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.3%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.1-18.2%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-20.4%$1,098,024
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$936,655
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-20.8%$198,821

19.3%

+0.0%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.6-17.7%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-18.5%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$1,098,024
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$936,655
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$198,821

19.0%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.7%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.2-12.3%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$1,098,024
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$936,655

11.6%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.9-6.0%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.6%$1,098,024
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$936,655
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-6.7%$198,821

6.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.6%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,098,024
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$936,655
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$198,821

2.9%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,098,024
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$936,655
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$198,821

2.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$198,821

2.8%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.5%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,098,024
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$936,655
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$198,821

2.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,098,024
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$936,655
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$198,821

1.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.5%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$198,821

1.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$198,821

1.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$198,821

1.1%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$198,821

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$198,821

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$198,821

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$198,821

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$198,821

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$482,085,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$14,802,334
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$198,821

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$198,821

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,821

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,821

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,821

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,821

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,098,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,821

0.1%

+0.0%

23.0%


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