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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$485,214 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧22.7-23.8%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧22.7-24.4%$56,822

23.4%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-8.0%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$56,822

7.8%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.5%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.9%$56,822

6.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-4.3%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.5-5.0%$56,822

4.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.8-4.2%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.9-4.0%$56,822

4.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.5%$56,822

3.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$56,822

2.5%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$56,822

2.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$56,822

2.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$56,822

2.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$56,822

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$56,822

1.3%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$56,822

0.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.5%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$56,822

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$56,822

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$56,822

0.5%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$56,822

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$56,822

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$56,822

0.4%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$56,822

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$56,822

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$56,822

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$428,392
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$56,822

0.2%

+0.0%

34.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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