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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$609,066,039 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$1,203,476
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,138,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.9%$215,826

19.1%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$1,203,476
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,138,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$215,826

17.7%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.8-14.0%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$1,203,476
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-17.0%$1,138,605

14.6%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.4%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.8-5.9%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.7%$1,203,476
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,138,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$215,826

6.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.6-6.7%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-5.1%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-2.8%$1,203,476
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,138,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$215,826

4.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-4.0%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.0%$215,826

3.7%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,203,476
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,138,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$215,826

3.1%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,203,476
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,138,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$215,826

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.1%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$215,826

2.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.6%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.6%$215,826

1.8%

-0.8%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.4%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.5%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$215,826

1.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$1,203,476
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,138,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$215,826

1.6%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$215,826

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,826

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$215,826

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$215,826

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$585,318,365
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,198,076
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,826

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$215,826

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,826

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,826

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,826

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,826

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,203,476
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$215,826

0.1%

-0.0%

16.9%


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