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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$14,793,150 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎27.0-28.0%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸28.0-30.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧26.0-26.3%$576,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.0-29.0%$190,174
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.0-27.0%$78,922

27.4%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-19.0%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$576,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$190,174
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-13.2%$78,922

17.2%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-8.0%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.6%$576,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$190,174
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.1%$78,922

6.2%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-4.0%$576,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$190,174
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.5%$78,922

4.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$576,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$190,174

3.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.7%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$576,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$190,174
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$78,922

2.9%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$576,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$190,174
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.5%$78,922

2.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$78,922

2.2%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-3.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$78,922

2.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-2.1%$576,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$190,174
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$78,922

2.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$78,922

1.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-1.0%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$78,922

1.1%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$78,922

1.0%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$78,922

0.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$78,922

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$78,922

0.6%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$12,866,098
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,081,026
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$78,922

0.4%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$78,922

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$78,922

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$78,922

0.3%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$78,922

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$78,922

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$78,922

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$576,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$78,922

0.2%

+0.0%

20.9%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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