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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

NYC Mayoral Election 2025New York City Mayoral Election to be held on Nov 4 2025

$305,145,815 bet so far
Mamdani details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎93.2-93.3%$265,478,650
Kalshi 🇺🇸90.0-91.0%$37,602,256
PredictIt 🇺🇸86.0-86.9%$1,854,059
Betfair 🇬🇧91.8-92.7%$205,569
Smarkets 🇬🇧87.7-96.2%$5,390

90.9%

-0.2%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.7%$265,478,650
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$37,602,256
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.6-11.6%$1,854,059
Betfair 🇬🇧5.2-9.8%$205,569
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-11.1%$5,390

7.9%

0.5%
Sliwa details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.7%$265,478,650
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$37,602,256
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.9-2.9%$1,854,059
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-97.3%$205,569

0.8%

0.2%
EAdams details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$265,478,650
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$37,602,256
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,854,059
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-97.3%$205,569

0.1%

-0.0%

0.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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