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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

NYC Mayoral Election 2025New York City Mayoral Election to be held on Nov 4 2025

$69,367,027 bet so far
Mamdani details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎83.5-83.7%$52,191,875
Kalshi 🇺🇸81.2-82.2%$16,392,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸80.8-81.7%$761,153
Betfair 🇬🇧84.7-87.7%$20,360
Smarkets 🇬🇧80.0-90.9%$1,694

83.6%

0.4%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.9%$52,191,875
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.9%$16,392,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.6-11.5%$761,153
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-19.6%$20,360
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-10.4%$1,694

8.1%

0.2%
EAdams details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.1%$52,191,875
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.9%$16,392,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.8-5.8%$761,153
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-10.2%$20,360

3.9%

-0.3%
Sliwa details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$52,191,875
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$16,392,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.9-2.9%$761,153
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-16.7%$20,360

1.5%

-0.0%

2.8%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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