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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$283,129,426 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎37.0-38.0%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸33.0-34.0%$755,713

35.2%

0.7%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.0-13.0%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$755,713

11.8%

-1.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-6.0%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$755,713

5.3%

-0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$755,713

5.1%

-0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.7%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$755,713

4.2%

-0.4%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-7.0%$755,713

4.0%

0.1%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$755,713

4.0%

-0.7%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$755,713

3.9%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.5%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$13,556,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$755,713

3.1%

0.1%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$13,556,737

1.2%

-0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$13,556,737

1.0%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$13,556,737

0.4%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$13,556,737

0.4%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$13,556,737

0.3%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$268,816,976
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$13,556,737

0.3%

-0.0%

19.6%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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