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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$169,435,469 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎35.0-36.0%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%$570,085

34.8%

1.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.0-12.0%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$570,085

11.5%

0.7%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$570,085

5.8%

-0.7%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-7.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$570,085

4.7%

-0.2%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$570,085

4.6%

0.5%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$570,085

4.5%

-0.4%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$570,085

4.3%

0.3%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$570,085

3.8%

0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$11,856,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$570,085

3.5%

-0.2%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,856,143

1.2%

-0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,856,143

1.2%

0.2%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,856,143

0.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,856,143

0.5%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,856,143

0.4%

0.1%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$157,016,170
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,856,143

0.4%

0.1%

18.2%


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