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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$3,211,996 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$3,211,996

10.5%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$3,211,996

9.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,211,996

7.5%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$3,211,996

6.5%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,211,996

4.5%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,211,996

3.5%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,211,996

3.5%

+0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,211,996

3.5%

+0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,211,996

3.5%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,211,996

2.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,211,996

2.5%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,211,996

1.5%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,211,996

1.5%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,211,996

1.5%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,211,996

1.5%

+0.0%

36.5%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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