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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$24,351,597 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎30.0-31.0%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$310,918

29.2%

0.7%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.0-14.0%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$310,918

12.7%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$310,918

8.2%

-0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$310,918

5.4%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.5%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$310,918

5.1%

0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.2%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$310,918

4.7%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.9%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$310,918

4.6%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$310,918

4.3%

-0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,453,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$310,918

3.7%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,453,384

1.3%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,453,384

1.2%

-0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,453,384

1.1%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,453,384

1.0%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,453,384

0.5%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$14,590,257
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,453,384

0.3%

+0.0%

16.8%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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