Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:41PM EDT on Jun 09, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,428,384 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.7-57.7%$5,292,500
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$2,705,975
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.0-61.9%$333,507
Betfair 🇬🇧51.6-51.8%$89,334
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.8-51.6%$7,068

55.2%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.8-43.8%$5,292,500
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$2,705,975
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.1-39.0%$333,507
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$89,334
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.9-49.8%$7,068

44.8%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:15PM EDT on Jun 09, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$649,012,535 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-14.9%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$1,257,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,172,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.9-15.6%$219,129

16.6%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-14.7%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧13.5-15.6%$1,257,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,172,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.7%$219,129

15.9%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.0-16.3%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,257,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,172,755

15.7%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.4-6.6%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.3%$1,257,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,172,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$219,129

6.7%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.2%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.0%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,257,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,172,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$219,129

4.0%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.7%$219,129

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.6%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,257,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,172,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$219,129

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,257,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,172,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$219,129

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$219,129

2.2%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.4%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$219,129

1.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$1,257,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,172,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$219,129

1.4%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.5%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.8%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$219,129

1.3%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$219,129

1.0%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$219,129

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$219,129

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$623,280,830
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,089,120
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$219,129

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$219,129

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$219,129

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$219,129

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$219,129

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$219,129

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$219,129

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$219,129

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,257,986
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$219,129

0.1%

-0.0%

21.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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