Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:42PM EDT on Mar 30, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,353,069 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.5-48.6%$2,766,389
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$1,343,707
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.6-45.5%$215,323
Betfair 🇬🇧53.4-54.2%$22,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.8-56.3%$4,717

50.7%

-0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-51.9%$2,766,389
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$1,343,707
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.5-56.4%$215,323
Betfair 🇬🇧45.1-47.3%$22,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.5-46.4%$4,717

49.3%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 7:15PM EDT on Mar 30, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$492,722,650 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.7-16.8%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.1-18.2%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧20.0-22.7%$1,082,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$930,188
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-22.2%$198,746

20.2%

0.3%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.2-17.3%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.6-18.7%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-17.5%$1,082,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$930,188
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-17.5%$198,746

18.6%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.0-10.1%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.2-12.3%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$1,082,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$930,188

12.0%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.2-6.4%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,082,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$930,188
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.5%$198,746

6.0%

0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,082,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$930,188
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$198,746

3.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,082,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$930,188
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$198,746

3.0%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.3%$198,746

2.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,082,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$930,188
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$198,746

2.7%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.1%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,082,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$930,188
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$198,746

1.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-1.8%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$198,746

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$198,746

1.2%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$198,746

1.1%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$198,746

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$198,746

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$198,746

0.5%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$198,746

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$198,746

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$476,038,090
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$14,477,911
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$198,746

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$198,746

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,746

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,746

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,746

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,746

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,082,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,746

0.1%

-0.0%

21.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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