Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:25PM EST on Nov 30, 2025

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Will Supreme Court
allow Trump tariffs?Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$4,034,309 bet so far
No details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸73.0-75.0%$2,632,624
Polymarket 🌎72.0-74.0%$1,401,685

73.5%

-0.5%
Yes details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸25.0-27.0%$2,632,624
Polymarket 🌎26.0-28.0%$1,401,685

26.5%

0.5%
Presidency 2028 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2028 elections

$279,149 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$149,066
Betfair 🇬🇧53.8-54.6%$128,167
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.6-55.6%$1,919

53.9%

0.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$149,066
Betfair 🇬🇧43.9-45.0%$128,167
Smarkets 🇬🇧42.7-46.3%$1,919

44.8%

0.1%

1.2%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$141,384,466 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎28.0-30.0%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-31.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧26.7-27.0%$754,010
PredictIt 🇺🇸26.0-27.0%$523,035
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-27.8%$124,716

27.9%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-18.0%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.9%$754,010
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$523,035
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-19.6%$124,716

19.1%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-9.0%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$754,010
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$523,035
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-6.9%$124,716

6.9%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-8.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$754,010
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$523,035

4.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-8.0%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$124,716

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.6%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-3.3%$754,010
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$523,035
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$124,716

2.7%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.9%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$754,010
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$523,035
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$124,716

2.6%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$754,010
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$523,035
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$124,716

2.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$754,010
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$523,035
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$124,716

2.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$124,716

1.7%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$124,716

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$124,716

1.5%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$124,716

1.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$124,716

0.9%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$124,716

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.8%$124,716

0.7%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$124,716

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$137,183,239
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,801,963
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$124,716

0.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$124,716

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$124,716

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$124,716

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$124,716

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$124,716

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$754,010
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$124,716

0.2%

+0.0%

17.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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