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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

New Jersey Gov 2025New Jersey Governor Election to be held on Nov 4 2025

$7,879,137 bet so far
Sherrill details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸75.8-76.8%$5,160,549
Polymarket 🌎79.8-80.8%$2,404,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸74.1-75.1%$314,553

77.1%

0.9%
Ciattarelli details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸23.2-24.2%$5,160,549
Polymarket 🌎19.2-20.2%$2,404,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.4-26.3%$314,553

22.9%

-0.9%
Virginia Gov 2025Virginia Governor Election to be held on Nov 4 2025

$2,865,992 bet so far
Spanberger details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸90.0-91.0%$1,689,916
Polymarket 🌎93.5-93.9%$652,067
PredictIt 🇺🇸86.4-88.4%$524,014

90.5%

0.2%
Sears details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,689,916
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.5%$652,067
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.1-14.1%$524,014

9.5%

-0.2%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$73,593,918 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎28.0-29.0%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.0-33.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧27.8-28.6%$666,095
PredictIt 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$322,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.7-29.0%$105,364

29.8%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.0-23.0%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-18.2%$666,095
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$322,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-19.2%$105,364

21.2%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.4%$666,095
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$322,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-5.9%$105,364

6.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$666,095
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$322,486

3.2%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.6%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$666,095
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$322,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$105,364

2.9%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.0%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$666,095
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$322,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$105,364

2.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$105,364

2.3%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.5%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$666,095
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$322,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$105,364

2.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.9%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$666,095
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$322,486
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$105,364

1.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$105,364

1.7%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$105,364

1.5%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$105,364

0.9%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$105,364

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$105,364

0.7%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$105,364

0.6%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$105,364

0.6%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$70,906,645
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,593,441
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$105,364

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$105,364

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$105,364

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$105,364

0.3%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$105,364

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$105,364

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$105,364

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$666,095
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$105,364

0.2%

+0.0%

19.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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