Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:40PM EST on Jan 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Will Supreme Court
allow Trump tariffs?Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$12,274,703 bet so far
No details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸64.0-65.0%$8,571,728
Polymarket 🌎67.0-69.0%$3,703,071

66.3%

-0.8%
Yes details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$8,571,728
Polymarket 🌎31.0-33.0%$3,703,071

33.8%

0.8%
Presidency 2028 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2028 elections

$370,002 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$213,692
Betfair 🇬🇧54.9-56.8%$154,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.4-56.5%$1,919

54.9%

0.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$213,692
Betfair 🇬🇧41.7-43.5%$154,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧40.6-44.6%$1,919

43.9%

-0.3%

1.2%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$217,331,740 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸26.0-28.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧24.4-25.3%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧24.4-25.3%$159,926

26.1%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$159,926

20.1%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.7%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$712,861

8.1%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.9%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.4%$159,926

6.6%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$159,926

3.0%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$159,926

2.8%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$159,926

2.7%

0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$927,365
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$712,861
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$159,926

2.1%

0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$159,926

1.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$159,926

1.7%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$159,926

1.5%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.4%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$159,926

1.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$159,926

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$159,926

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$159,926

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$159,926

0.6%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$159,926

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$159,926

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,347,447
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$159,926

0.2%

-0.2%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$159,926

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$159,926

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$159,926

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$159,926

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$927,365
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$159,926

0.1%

-0.0%

18.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd