Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:49PM EDT on Oct 29, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$2,955,897,167 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎66.2-66.3%$2,657,269,418
Betfair 🇬🇧64.0-64.4%$146,621,421
Kalshi 🇺🇸64.0-65.0%$102,184,369
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.6-57.5%$41,516,954
Smarkets 🇬🇧63.2-64.0%$8,378,477

63.1%

1.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎33.1-33.2%$2,657,269,418
Betfair 🇬🇧34.5-34.7%$146,621,421
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$102,184,369
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.4-43.4%$41,516,954
Smarkets 🇬🇧35.7-36.2%$8,378,477

36.4%

-1.3%

0.5%
Electoral Votes 2024 (estimate: 226-312. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:07PM EDT on Oct 29, 2024
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
House Control 2024House Control 2024

$1,306,607 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎50.0-52.0%$1,067,937
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-53.0%$238,834

51.5%

0.8%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎48.0-50.0%$1,067,937
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-49.0%$238,834

48.5%

+0.0%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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