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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

New Jersey Gov 2025New Jersey Governor Election to be held on Nov 4 2025

$10,414,600 bet so far
Sherrill details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸81.0-82.0%$6,935,211
Polymarket 🌎84.0-85.0%$3,095,269
PredictIt 🇺🇸76.0-76.9%$384,122

80.8%

-0.6%
Ciattarelli details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$6,935,211
Polymarket 🌎15.0-16.0%$3,095,269
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.1-24.0%$384,122

19.2%

0.6%
Virginia Gov 2025Virginia Governor Election to be held on Nov 4 2025

$3,827,594 bet so far
Spanberger details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸93.0-94.0%$2,319,619
Polymarket 🌎95.7-96.1%$910,537
PredictIt 🇺🇸90.1-91.1%$597,459

93.3%

0.4%
Sears details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$2,319,619
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.3%$910,537
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.9-9.9%$597,459

6.7%

-0.4%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$93,919,848 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎28.0-29.0%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-31.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧28.2-28.6%$671,200
PredictIt 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$349,743
Smarkets 🇬🇧29.0-29.4%$112,780

29.8%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.0-23.0%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-16.9%$671,200
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$349,743
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.9%$112,780

20.4%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-8.0%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.6%$671,200
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$349,743
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-6.1%$112,780

6.3%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.9%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$671,200
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$349,743

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.9%$671,200
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$349,743
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$112,780

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$671,200
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$349,743
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$112,780

2.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$112,780

2.3%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.5%$671,200
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$349,743
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$112,780

2.2%

0.4%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$671,200
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$349,743
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$112,780

2.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.1%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$112,780

1.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$112,780

1.5%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$112,780

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$112,780

0.7%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$112,780

0.6%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$112,780

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$112,780

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$91,072,681
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,713,730
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$112,780

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-8.7%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$112,780

0.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$112,780

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$112,780

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$112,780

0.3%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$112,780

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$112,780

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$671,200
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$112,780

0.2%

+0.0%

19.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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