Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:58PM EDT on Mar 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,112,810 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.1-51.6%$2,641,838
Polymarket 🌎51.5-52.5%$1,239,640
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.5-55.4%$204,261
Betfair 🇬🇧49.1-51.3%$22,356
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.5-51.6%$4,717

51.6%

0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.6-48.7%$2,641,838
Polymarket 🌎47.5-48.5%$1,239,640
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.6-45.5%$204,261
Betfair 🇬🇧48.6-51.1%$22,356
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.8-52.1%$4,717

48.4%

-0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:19PM EDT on Mar 26, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$469,719,447 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.2-18.3%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.6%$1,087,779
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$901,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-20.0%$193,426

20.2%

0.8%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.1-19.2%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-17.9%$1,087,779
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$901,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-18.2%$193,426

17.6%

-1.7%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.3-14.4%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,087,779
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$901,150

13.4%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.4%$1,087,779
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$901,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$193,426

6.2%

0.4%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,087,779
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$901,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$193,426

3.3%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-3.0%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,087,779
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$901,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$193,426

2.9%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$193,426

2.7%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.7%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,087,779
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$901,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$193,426

2.6%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,087,779
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$901,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$193,426

2.3%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.8%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$193,426

1.6%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$193,426

1.5%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.4%$193,426

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$193,426

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$193,426

0.7%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$193,426

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$193,426

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$193,426

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$13,795,530
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$193,426

0.3%

-0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$193,426

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,087,779
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.1%

+0.0%

20.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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