Odds update every minute | Last updated: 9:26AM EST on Nov 20, 2025

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Will Supreme Court
allow Trump tariffs?Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$3,700,105 bet so far
No details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸77.0-79.0%$2,462,814
Polymarket 🌎76.0-78.0%$1,237,291

77.5%

-0.7%
Yes details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$2,462,814
Polymarket 🌎22.0-24.0%$1,237,291

22.5%

0.7%
Presidency 2028 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2028 elections

$260,680 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$139,066
Betfair 🇬🇧51.5-52.9%$119,754
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.8-52.1%$1,860

52.4%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$139,066
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-46.7%$119,754
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.0-48.1%$1,860

46.4%

-0.2%

1.2%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$130,231,987 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎29.0-30.0%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-31.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧25.0-25.6%$710,335
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$460,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧23.8-26.3%$120,557

27.6%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-19.0%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$710,335
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$460,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-17.2%$120,557

18.8%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-9.0%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-7.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$710,335
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-9.0%$460,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.4%$120,557

7.1%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$710,335
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$460,133

4.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$710,335
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$460,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$120,557

2.4%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$710,335
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$460,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$120,557

2.4%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.7%$710,335
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$460,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$120,557

2.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-1.0%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$710,335
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$460,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$120,557

1.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$120,557

1.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.2%$120,557

1.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$120,557

1.5%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$120,557

1.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.5%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$120,557

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$120,557

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$120,557

0.7%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-8.7%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-10.0%$120,557

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$126,421,367
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$2,521,254
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$120,557

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$120,557

0.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$120,557

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$120,557

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$120,557

0.3%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$120,557

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$120,557

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$710,335
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$120,557

0.2%

+0.0%

22.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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