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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

GOP VP NomineeRepublican Vice Presidential Nominee in 2024

$23,209,841 bet so far
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.0-23.0%$18,768,333
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$3,656,523
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-17.5%$705,214
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-18.9%$79,774

19.9%

-0.7%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-9.4%$18,768,333
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-11.1%$705,214
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-11.9%$79,774

9.4%

2.8%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$18,768,333
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$3,656,523
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-7.1%$705,214
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.3%$79,774

7.9%

0.3%
Carson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-6.8%$18,768,333
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$705,214
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.5%$79,774

5.9%

0.3%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$18,768,333
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,656,523
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-4.8%$705,214
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-5.3%$79,774

3.7%

-0.9%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-3.6%$18,768,333
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,656,523
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$705,214
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.5%$79,774

2.8%

-8.5%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-3.3%$18,768,333
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,656,523
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.6%$705,214
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.9%$79,774

2.6%

1.2%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$18,768,333
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,656,523
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$705,214
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.6%$79,774

2.5%

-0.7%

45.4%


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