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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

GOP VP NomineeRepublican Vice Presidential Nominee in 2024

$21,123,514 bet so far
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-22.0%$16,932,782
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$3,453,949
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$660,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-20.8%$76,028

20.6%

-0.2%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-10.0%$16,932,782
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$3,453,949
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$660,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-8.7%$76,028

9.8%

2.3%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-6.3%$16,932,782
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-7.1%$660,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-8.0%$76,028

6.5%

-0.1%
Carson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-5.0%$16,932,782
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-7.4%$660,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.8-7.4%$76,028

5.7%

0.3%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-3.6%$16,932,782
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$3,453,949
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-5.9%$660,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-6.5%$76,028

5.3%

-6.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-6.0%$16,932,782
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,453,949
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.0%$660,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-5.4%$76,028

4.6%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$16,932,782
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,453,949
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$660,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-3.3%$76,028

3.4%

-0.1%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$16,932,782
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,453,949
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$660,755

2.9%

-0.0%

41.3%


About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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