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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

GOP VP NomineeRepublican Vice Presidential Nominee in 2024

$112,773,231 bet so far

Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎29.9-31.9%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.0-40.8%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧42.7-49.5%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.0-47.3%$155,141

40.1%

9.0%
Burgum details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎39.5-43.1%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.8-25.5%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧29.4-31.7%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.8-31.2%$155,141

31.4%

8.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.4-12.6%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.5-9.4%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-10.4%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.9-10.0%$155,141

9.0%

-4.0%
Carson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.4-4.3%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-6.3%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.3-6.5%$155,141

4.3%

-4.7%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.6%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.4-4.3%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-7.1%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-7.5%$155,141

2.7%

-0.3%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-3.0%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.4-4.3%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-3.6%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$155,141

2.5%

-1.5%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.4-4.3%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.4%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.5%$155,141

2.4%

-0.4%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-1.3%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.1-6.0%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-4.8%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-2.5%$155,141

2.0%

0.6%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-2.5%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-9.5%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-2.3%$155,141

1.4%

0.4%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.5%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$1,430,903
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.9%$155,141

0.9%

-1.2%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.6%$80,662,408
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$30,531,025
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$1,430,903

0.8%

-0.1%

2.4%



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