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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$721,612 bet so far

Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$339,908
Betfair 🇬🇧26.7-27.0%$332,348
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.7-27.0%$49,356

32.8%

0.4%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$339,908
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-21.7%$332,348
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-21.7%$49,356

19.9%

-0.7%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$339,908
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$332,348
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-6.7%$49,356

10.7%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$339,908
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-4.0%$332,348

5.3%

0.5%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$339,908
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$332,348
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-3.7%$49,356

4.0%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$339,908
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$332,348
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$49,356

2.6%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$339,908
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$332,348
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$49,356

1.5%

-0.0%
Yang details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$332,348
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$49,356

0.3%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$332,348
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$49,356

0.2%

-0.0%

22.7%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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