Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:41AM EST on Feb 22, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$19,616,413 bet so far

Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧69.0-69.4%$8,640,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸73.0-75.0%$5,493,535
Polymarket 🌎76.0-78.0%$4,558,103
Smarkets 🇬🇧69.9-74.1%$924,105

72.5%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-7.1%$8,640,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$5,493,535
Polymarket 🌎10.0-12.0%$4,558,103
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-8.0%$924,105

9.9%

0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.9%$8,640,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$5,493,535
Polymarket 🌎2.0-4.0%$4,558,103
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-7.7%$924,105

6.0%

0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$8,640,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$5,493,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$924,105

1.9%

-0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$8,640,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,493,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$924,105

0.8%

0.2%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$8,640,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$924,105

0.5%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$8,640,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,493,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$924,105

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$8,640,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$924,105

0.1%

+0.0%

8.2%