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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, and PredictIt | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics for market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Odds for this page are averaged between PredictIt, Smarkets and Betfair

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$567,670 bet so far

Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.0-39.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧28.2-32.8%
Betfair 🇬🇧33.6-35.0%

34.4%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.0-29.0%
Betfair 🇬🇧26.0-29.0%

29.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-6.3%
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-6.7%

4.7%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-6.7%
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-4.5%

4.6%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-5.0%
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-7.1%

3.7%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%

2.5%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-4.0%
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%

1.6%

+0.0%
Yang details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-4.5%
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-3.3%

1.4%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-4.3%
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.1%

1.3%

0.2%

23.1%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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