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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

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Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$1,342,166 bet so far

Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧34.7-36.2%$686,026$151,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$532,946$44,456
Smarkets 🇬🇧34.7-36.2%$123,194$27,745

35.5%

-1.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-15.2%$686,026$151,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$532,946$44,456
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-15.2%$123,194$27,745

14.3%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-11.1%$686,026$151,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$532,946$44,456
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.9%$123,194$27,745

11.5%

0.4%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-6.5%$686,026$151,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$532,946$44,456
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.5%$123,194$27,745

6.6%

-0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.8%$686,026$151,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$532,946$44,456
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.9%$123,194$27,745

3.9%

0.1%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.4%$686,026$151,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$532,946$44,456
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.3%$123,194$27,745

3.0%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$686,026$151,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$532,946$44,456
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$123,194$27,745

2.0%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.4%$686,026$151,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$532,946$44,456
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$123,194$27,745

1.5%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$686,026$151,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$123,194$27,745

0.9%

+0.0%
Yang details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$686,026$151,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$123,194$27,745

0.1%

+0.0%

20.7%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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