Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:24PM EDT on Jul 15, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$83,018,473 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸97.0-98.0%$61,881,232
Betfair 🇬🇧98.5-99.5%$10,884,688
Polymarket 🌎99.6-99.8%$9,156,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧98.2-99.2%$1,096,648

98.8%

1.5%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$61,881,232
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$10,884,688
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$9,156,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,096,648

0.1%

-0.7%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$61,881,232
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-95.7%$10,884,688
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$9,156,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,096,648

0.1%

-0.1%
Crenshaw details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,096,648

0.1%

+0.0%
Elder details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$10,884,688
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,096,648

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$61,881,232
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$10,884,688
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,096,648

0.0%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$61,881,232
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$10,884,688
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,096,648

0.0%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$61,881,232
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$10,884,688
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,096,648

0.0%

-0.0%

0.8%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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