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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$1,698,694 bet so far

DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸36.4-38.2%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧34.7-35.7%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧35.0-35.7%$231,921

36.6%

-1.0%
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.4-29.3%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧36.5-37.3%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧37.9-38.2%$231,921

32.0%

0.9%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.4-5.3%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-8.3%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.0%$231,921

5.9%

-0.6%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.3-6.2%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-5.1%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.1%$231,921

5.3%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.6-4.4%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$231,921

3.5%

+0.0%
TimScott details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.6-4.4%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$231,921

3.1%

0.5%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.5%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$231,921

2.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-2.0%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$231,921

1.9%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.8%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$231,921

1.8%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.4%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.9%$231,921

1.7%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$231,921

1.7%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.8%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$231,921

1.1%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.8%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$231,921

1.0%

-0.0%
RickScott details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.8%$1,073,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$231,921

1.0%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$231,921

0.6%

-0.0%
Crenshaw details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$392,931
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$231,921

0.4%

+0.0%

0.2%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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