Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:58AM EST on Dec 05, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$6,992,154 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧79.8-80.4%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸70.0-70.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧79.6-82.9%$756,261

78.4%

-0.5%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧11.8-12.4%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.8-17.7%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-12.7%$756,261

13.1%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-4.0%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.5-7.5%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.8-4.1%$756,261

4.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.7-5.6%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$756,261

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$4,903,577
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$756,261

0.5%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.9%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$756,261

0.3%

0.3%
Christie details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$756,261

0.3%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$756,261

0.2%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$756,261

0.1%

+0.0%
RickScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$4,903,577
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$756,261

0.1%

+0.0%

0.3%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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