Odds update every minute | Last updated: 9:03AM EDT on Apr 30, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$25,359,468 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸91.0-92.0%$12,733,844
Betfair 🇬🇧91.7-92.6%$7,989,428
Polymarket 🌎93.0-94.0%$3,652,580
Smarkets 🇬🇧92.6-93.5%$965,737

92.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-3.0%$12,733,844
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$7,989,428
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.2%$3,652,580
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$965,737

1.5%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,733,844
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$7,989,428
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$3,652,580
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$965,737

1.1%

-0.1%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,733,844
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.9%$7,989,428
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$965,737

0.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.1%$7,989,428
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$965,737

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,733,844
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$7,989,428
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$3,652,580
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$965,737

0.3%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,733,844
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$7,989,428
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$965,737

0.2%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,733,844
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.7%$7,989,428
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$965,737

0.1%

+0.0%

3.4%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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