Odds update every minute | Last updated: 9:17PM EDT on May 29, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$3,457,550 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧72.5-74.1%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧75.8-76.3%$262,622$262,622
PredictIt 🇺🇸69.8-70.7%$539,147$6,717

73.8%

2.7%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-6.1%$262,622$262,622

5.6%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-5.6%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.9-5.7%$262,622$262,622
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.1-13.0%$539,147$6,717

4.9%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.8-4.5%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.6-4.2%$262,622$262,622
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.5-7.4%$539,147$6,717

4.1%

0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.1%$262,622$262,622
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.8-3.7%$539,147$6,717

1.7%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-2.4%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$262,622$262,622
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.7-4.7%$539,147$6,717

1.4%

0.5%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$262,622$262,622

0.9%

0.8%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.3%$262,622$262,622
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$539,147$6,717

0.7%

0.4%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$262,622$262,622
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$539,147$6,717

0.3%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$262,622$262,622
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$539,147$6,717

0.1%

+0.0%
Yang details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$2,655,781$1,138,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$262,622$262,622

0.1%

+0.0%

6.4%
GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$4,770,498 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧64.9-65.8%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧67.9-70.3%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.0-53.9%$1,088,674$0

66.1%

1.6%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧23.8-24.4%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧22.2-25.6%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸30.7-32.5%$1,088,674$0

24.1%

-0.8%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.9%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-3.1%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.8-3.7%$1,088,674$0

2.3%

0.2%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.5%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.5-7.4%$1,088,674$0

2.1%

-0.3%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$3,219,082$1,964,783

0.9%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$1,088,674$0

0.9%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.7%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,088,674$0

0.9%

-0.1%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.8-3.7%$1,088,674$0

0.7%

-0.6%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,088,674$0

0.6%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,088,674$0

0.3%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,088,674$0

0.2%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,088,674$0

0.2%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,088,674$0

0.1%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,732$462,732

0.1%

+0.0%
RickScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,088,674$0

0.1%

+0.0%
Crenshaw details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$462,732$462,732

0.1%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-3.3%$3,219,082$1,964,783
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,732$462,732
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,088,674$0

0.0%

+0.0%

0.5%
US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$6,007,434 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.4-39.7%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧37.3-37.6%$4,418,403$1,406,984
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.3-42.3%$91,710$17,566

38.5%

1.2%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-27.8%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧26.3-26.7%$4,418,403$1,406,984
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.8-30.8%$91,710$17,566

26.6%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.5-15.6%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-14.7%$4,418,403$1,406,984
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$91,710$17,566

14.6%

-0.7%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-5.0%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.3%$4,418,403$1,406,984

4.8%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$4,418,403$1,406,984

1.8%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$4,418,403$1,406,984
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.9-3.8%$91,710$17,566

1.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$4,418,403$1,406,984

1.7%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.0%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$4,418,403$1,406,984

1.4%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.9%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.8%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.8%

0.2%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.7%

0.2%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.7%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.3%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.9%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.3%

0.2%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.2%

-0.3%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.1%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.1%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.1%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.1%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.1%

+0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.1%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,497,321$1,497,321
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,418,403$1,406,984

0.1%

+0.0%

4.1%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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