Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:41PM EDT on Sep 10, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$977,656,041 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎51.8-51.9%$853,383,932
Betfair 🇬🇧51.3-51.5%$81,257,220
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.6-48.6%$36,450,992
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.6-51.4%$6,567,377

50.6%

-0.6%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎46.1-46.2%$853,383,932
Betfair 🇬🇧46.3-46.7%$81,257,220
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.6-49.5%$36,450,992
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.1-48.0%$6,567,377

47.3%

0.6%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$853,383,932
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$81,257,220
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$36,450,992
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$6,567,377

0.5%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$853,383,932
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$81,257,220
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$36,450,992
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$6,567,377

0.4%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$853,383,932
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$81,257,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$6,567,377

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$853,383,932
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$81,257,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$6,567,377

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$853,383,932
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.2%$81,257,220
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$6,567,377

0.2%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$853,383,932
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$81,257,220
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$36,450,992
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$6,567,377

0.1%

+0.0%

0.4%
Electoral Votes 2024 (estimate: 251-287. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:54PM EDT on Sep 10, 2024
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
House Control 2024House Control 2024

$607,787 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎61.0-62.0%$607,787

61.5%

+0.0%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎38.0-39.0%$607,787

38.5%

+0.0%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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