Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:04AM EDT on Oct 06, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$1,434,962,514 bet so far
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎48.4-48.5%$1,288,950,616
Betfair 🇬🇧49.9-50.1%$101,571,369
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.9-52.9%$37,883,077
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.5-51.0%$7,171,484
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$541,832

50.4%

-0.3%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎50.5-50.6%$1,288,950,616
Betfair 🇬🇧48.4-48.9%$101,571,369
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$37,883,077
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$7,171,484
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$541,832

48.9%

0.4%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,288,950,616
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$101,571,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$7,171,484

0.1%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,288,950,616
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$101,571,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$7,171,484
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$541,832

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,288,950,616
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$101,571,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,171,484

0.1%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,288,950,616
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,571,369
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$37,883,077
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,171,484

0.1%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,288,950,616
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,571,369
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,171,484

0.1%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,288,950,616
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,571,369
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$37,883,077
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,171,484

0.0%

+0.0%

0.2%
Electoral Votes 2024 (estimate: 257-281. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:03AM EDT on Oct 06, 2024
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
House Control 2024House Control 2024

$691,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎62.0-63.0%$671,565
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.0-64.0%$20,000

62.5%

+0.0%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎37.0-38.0%$671,565
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.0-39.0%$20,000

37.5%

+0.0%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd