Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:34AM EST on Dec 05, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$7,538,610 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧70.4-71.9%$5,936,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸72.0-74.0%$892,337
Smarkets 🇬🇧70.9-74.6%$709,315

71.5%

0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-12.5%$5,936,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$892,337
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$709,315

11.9%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.8%$5,936,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$892,337
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.6-4.2%$709,315

4.7%

0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$5,936,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$892,337
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$709,315

1.4%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.8%$5,936,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$892,337
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$709,315

1.1%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$5,936,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$892,337
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$709,315

0.6%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$5,936,958
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$709,315

0.4%

0.1%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$5,936,958
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$709,315

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$5,936,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$892,337
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$709,315

0.1%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$5,936,958
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$892,337
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$709,315

0.1%

+0.0%

7.9%
GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$7,000,265 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧80.2-80.8%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸70.0-70.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧79.6-82.9%$756,261

78.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧11.8-12.4%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.8-17.7%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-12.7%$756,261

13.1%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-4.0%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.5-7.5%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.8-4.1%$756,261

4.5%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.7-5.6%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$756,261

2.3%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$4,911,688
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$756,261

0.5%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$756,261

0.2%

-0.0%
Christie details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$756,261

0.2%

+0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$756,261

0.1%

+0.0%
RickScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$756,261

0.1%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$4,911,688
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,332,316
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$756,261

0.1%

-0.0%

0.3%
US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$11,122,440 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧38.5-38.8%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧38.5-38.8%$1,953,526
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$212,310

38.6%

-0.2%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧31.7-32.3%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧32.8-34.5%$1,953,526
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-41.0%$212,310

32.4%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-10.2%$1,953,526

8.9%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.8-7.4%$1,953,526

6.4%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$1,953,526

3.0%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,953,526

2.4%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-1.8%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,953,526
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$212,310

1.8%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.7%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,953,526
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$212,310

1.7%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.1%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,953,526

1.1%

-0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$8,956,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,953,526

0.6%

+0.0%

3.0%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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