Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:38PM EDT on May 02, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$146,759,755 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎44.5-45.5%$119,948,190
Betfair 🇬🇧45.9-46.3%$19,294,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.1-46.1%$4,599,052
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.6-46.3%$2,917,911

45.5%

0.6%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎43.5-44.5%$119,948,190
Betfair 🇬🇧41.0-41.3%$19,294,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$4,599,052
Smarkets 🇬🇧42.4-43.1%$2,917,911

44.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.4%$119,948,190
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.4%$19,294,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.3%$2,917,911

3.5%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-4.0%$119,948,190
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$19,294,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$2,917,911

2.8%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.3%$119,948,190
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$19,294,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.9-3.9%$4,599,052
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$2,917,911

1.9%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$119,948,190
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$19,294,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$2,917,911

0.8%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$119,948,190
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.0%$19,294,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$2,917,911

0.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-1.0%$119,948,190
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$19,294,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$4,599,052
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$2,917,911

0.8%

-0.1%
Electoral College (estimate: 276-262. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:18PM EDT on May 02, 2024
Over $1M bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available
GOP VP NomineeRepublican Vice Presidential Nominee in 2024

$23,156,589 bet so far
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.0-23.0%$18,721,011
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$3,651,844
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$704,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-18.9%$79,774

20.1%

0.5%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-8.6%$18,721,011
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-16.1%$704,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-12.8%$79,774

10.4%

3.5%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$18,721,011
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$3,651,844
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-7.7%$704,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.7%$79,774

8.0%

-1.2%
Carson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-6.8%$18,721,011
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.7%$704,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.3%$79,774

5.8%

0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$18,721,011
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,651,844
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-4.8%$704,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-5.3%$79,774

3.6%

-0.7%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-3.8%$18,721,011
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,651,844
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.6%$704,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-3.1%$79,774

3.2%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-3.3%$18,721,011
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,651,844
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.6%$704,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.9%$79,774

2.6%

-0.2%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$18,721,011
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,651,844
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$704,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$79,774

2.5%

-0.2%

43.7%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd