Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:51PM EDT on Jul 26, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$483,666,510 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎58.0-59.0%$397,690,047
Betfair 🇬🇧58.8-59.2%$50,119,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.7-51.6%$30,556,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧57.8-59.2%$5,302,235

56.8%

-2.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎39.7-39.9%$397,690,047
Betfair 🇬🇧38.2-38.8%$50,119,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.9-47.8%$30,556,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧37.3-38.8%$5,302,235

40.9%

2.9%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$397,690,047
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$50,119,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$5,302,235

0.6%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$397,690,047
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$50,119,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$5,302,235

0.5%

-1.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$397,690,047
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$50,119,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-1.9%$30,556,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$5,302,235

0.4%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$397,690,047
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.3%$50,119,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$5,302,235

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$397,690,047
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$50,119,899
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$30,556,764
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$5,302,235

0.1%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$50,119,899
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$5,302,235

0.1%

+0.0%

0.4%
Electoral Votes 2024 (estimate: 241-297. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:13PM EDT on Jul 26, 2024
Over $1 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
DEM VP NomineeDemocrat Vice Presidential Nominee in 2024

$44,430,771 bet so far
Kelly details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎35.8-36.5%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸33.0-34.9%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧30.3-36.0%$498,966

34.4%

-6.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎24.0-27.0%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.3-30.2%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧25.0-30.3%$498,966

27.5%

4.9%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.0-17.0%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.2-15.1%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧13.5-17.9%$498,966

15.4%

2.5%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.7-6.9%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.4-10.4%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$498,966

8.5%

1.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.3%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.5-9.4%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-6.9%$498,966

6.7%

-0.3%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.6%$32,375,780
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-3.1%$498,966

2.0%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.4%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.9-2.8%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.8%$498,966

1.6%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$498,966

0.8%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.7%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$498,966

0.5%

-0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$32,375,780

0.3%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$32,375,780
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$11,560,426
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$498,966

0.2%

-0.0%

2.2%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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