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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Brazil President
2022
The winner of the 2022 Brazilian election, to be held on October 2, 2022 (With a second round, if needed, on October 30, 2022)

$7,801,966 bet so far

LulaDaSilva details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧68.2-68.6%$4,408,493$3,822,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧68.5-69.9%$284,652$173,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸81.2-82.2%$147,718$58,502

68.6%

0.1%
Bolsonaro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
FTX 🌎24.0-24.1%$2,962,856$2,261,723
Betfair 🇬🇧31.1-32.1%$4,408,493$3,822,108
Smarkets 🇬🇧30.3-31.3%$284,652$173,659
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.8-18.8%$147,718$58,502

28.8%

0.3%

2.6%



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