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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$3,687,490 bet so far

DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧28.6-29.0%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧27.8-29.0%$1,318,403$272,006
PredictIt 🇺🇸28.0-29.0%$67,721$1,015

28.7%

-0.8%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-19.6%$1,318,403$272,006
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$67,721$1,015

18.6%

0.5%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,318,403$272,006
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$67,721$1,015

17.6%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.9%$1,318,403$272,006
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$67,721$1,015

3.5%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-4.0%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.0%$1,318,403$272,006

3.4%

-0.8%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$1,318,403$272,006

2.8%

-0.1%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,318,403$272,006

2.4%

0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$1,318,403$272,006

2.1%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,318,403$272,006

1.8%

+0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,318,403$272,006

1.1%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.9%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,318,403$272,006

0.6%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,318,403$272,006

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.1%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,318,403$272,006

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,403$272,006

0.5%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,318,403$272,006

0.5%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,318,403$272,006

0.4%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,403$272,006

0.3%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,403$272,006

0.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,403$272,006

0.2%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-5.0%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,318,403$272,006

0.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,318,403$272,006

0.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$2,301,361$651,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,318,403$272,006

0.1%

-0.0%

13.8%




Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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