Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:20AM EDT on Oct 06, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$1,442,776,866 bet so far
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎48.8-48.9%$1,295,912,626
Betfair 🇬🇧49.3-49.8%$101,660,961
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.9-52.9%$37,889,593
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.2-50.5%$7,171,515
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$541,832

50.3%

-1.3%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎50.2-50.3%$1,295,912,626
Betfair 🇬🇧48.8-49.3%$101,660,961
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$37,889,593
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$7,171,515
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$541,832

48.9%

1.6%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,295,912,626
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$101,660,961
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$7,171,515

0.1%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,295,912,626
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$101,660,961
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$7,171,515
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$541,832

0.1%

-0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,295,912,626
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$101,660,961
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,171,515

0.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,295,912,626
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,660,961
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$37,889,593
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,171,515

0.1%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,295,912,626
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,660,961
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,171,515

0.1%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,295,912,626
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,660,961
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$37,889,593
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,171,515

0.0%

+0.0%

0.3%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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