Election Betting Odds by Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Election Betting Odds

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024
$2,955,897,167 bet so far

Trump details

Markets Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet

Polymarket 🌎 66.2-66.3% $2,657,269,418

Betfair 🇬🇧 64.0-64.4% $146,621,421

Kalshi 🇺🇸 64.0-65.0% $102,184,369

PredictIt 🇺🇸 56.6-57.5% $41,516,954

Smarkets 🇬🇧 63.2-64.0% $8,378,477

63.1%
0.5%

Harris details

Markets Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet

Polymarket 🌎 33.1-33.2% $2,657,269,418

Betfair 🇬🇧 34.5-34.7% $146,621,421

Kalshi 🇺🇸 35.0-36.0% $102,184,369

PredictIt 🇺🇸 42.4-43.4% $41,516,954

Smarkets 🇬🇧 35.7-36.2% $8,378,477

36.4%
-0.5%

0.5%

Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel "Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver "The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef "Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz "In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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Books we like:

"Give Me A Break" By John Stossel	"Signal and the Noise" By Nate Silver	"The Scout Mindset" By Julia Galef	"Radical" By Maajid Nawaz	"In Order To Live" By Yeonmi Park