Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:08AM EDT on Sep 08, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$954,078,699 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎49.6-49.7%$833,057,614
Betfair 🇬🇧50.5-50.8%$78,359,975
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.8-46.7%$36,176,246
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.2-50.8%$6,486,605

49.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎48.1-48.2%$833,057,614
Betfair 🇬🇧46.7-47.2%$78,359,975
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.4-51.4%$36,176,246
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.2-48.1%$6,486,605

48.4%

-0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$833,057,614
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$78,359,975
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$36,176,246
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$6,486,605

0.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$833,057,614
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$78,359,975
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$36,176,246
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$6,486,605

0.4%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$833,057,614
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.3%$78,359,975
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.3%$6,486,605

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.3%$833,057,614
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.2%$78,359,975
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$6,486,605

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$833,057,614
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.2%$78,359,975
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$6,486,605

0.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$833,057,614
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$78,359,975
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$6,486,605

0.1%

+0.0%

0.6%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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