Election Betting Odds by Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Election Betting Odds

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024
$2,452,943,304 bet so far

Trump details

Markets Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet

Polymarket 🌎 63.1-63.2% $2,233,312,769

Betfair 🇬🇧 60.8-61.2% $125,831,299

Kalshi 🇺🇸 60.0-61.0% $46,123,888

PredictIt 🇺🇸 55.7-56.7% $39,869,792

Smarkets 🇬🇧 60.0-60.7% $7,962,158

60.2%
-0.2%

Harris details

Markets Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet

Polymarket 🌎 36.2-36.3% $2,233,312,769

Betfair 🇬🇧 37.5-37.8% $125,831,299

Kalshi 🇺🇸 39.0-40.0% $46,123,888

PredictIt 🇺🇸 43.2-44.2% $39,869,792

Smarkets 🇬🇧 38.9-39.2% $7,962,158

39.2%
0.3%

0.5%

Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel "Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver "The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef "Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz "In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

| Tweet

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd

Books we like:

"Give Me A Break" By John Stossel	"Signal and the Noise" By Nate Silver	"The Scout Mindset" By Julia Galef	"Radical" By Maajid Nawaz	"In Order To Live" By Yeonmi Park