Odds update every minute | Last updated: 8:20AM EDT on Oct 22, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$2,452,943,304 bet so far

Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎63.1-63.2%$2,233,312,769
Betfair 🇬🇧60.8-61.2%$125,831,299
Kalshi 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$46,123,888
PredictIt 🇺🇸55.7-56.7%$39,869,792
Smarkets 🇬🇧60.0-60.7%$7,962,158

60.2%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎36.2-36.3%$2,233,312,769
Betfair 🇬🇧37.5-37.8%$125,831,299
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$46,123,888
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.2-44.2%$39,869,792
Smarkets 🇬🇧38.9-39.2%$7,962,158

39.2%

0.3%

0.5%




Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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