Odds update every 5 minutes | Last updated: 2:25AM EDT on Jul 18, 2018

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair | How People Bet

Hover over underlined titles for amount bet. Congress odds from PredictIt, the rest from Betfair

Chance of winning...

Senate Control 2018Control of the Senate elected in 2018 & seated in 2019. Note: this race's odds are from betting site PredictIt. Betfair will be added when/if a liquid market is available

70.6%

-0.7%

29.3%

0.7%
House Control 2018Control of the House that's elected in 2018. Note: this race's odds are from betting site PredictIt. Betfair will be added when/if a liquid market is available

62.9%

1.6%

37.0%

-1.6%
US Presidency 2020

$735,682 bet so far

39.1%

+0.0%

7.2%

0.2%

7.1%

0.2%

6.4%

0.1%

5.4%

-0.7%

4.2%

-0.2%

2.6%

-0.1%

1.7%

-1.0%

1.3%

-1.5%

1.3%

-0.7%

1.3%

0.2%

1.3%

0.2%

0.9%

-0.1%

0.9%

-0.3%

0.8%

-0.4%

0.8%

-0.1%

0.7%

0.1%

0.4%

-0.2%

0.4%

-0.0%

0.4%

+0.0%

0.3%

-0.1%

0.3%

+0.0%

0.3%

+0.0%

0.3%

+0.0%

0.2%

+0.0%

14.7%

Trump Out? These bets are for whether Trump leaves office early -- for ANY reason except assasination. In case of assassination, the betting is cancelled.

$1,489,414 bet so far

71.6%

-2.3%

28.3%

2.3%
Year Trump Leaves These bets are for the year Trump leaves office -- for ANY reason except assasination. In case of assassination, the betting is cancelled.

$1,667,038 bet so far

12.2%

0.3%

6.7%

0.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every 5 minutes

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