Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:26AM EST on Jan 17, 2021

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, and PredictIt | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics for market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Odds on this page are from FTX.com

Next PresidentPresidential Winner 2020

$405,610,952 bet so far

Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎98.6-98.8%

98.7%

-0.1%
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎1.2-1.4%

1.3%

0.1%
Electoral College (estimate: 306-232. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:17AM EST on Jan 17, 2021
Over $1 million bet. Betting is from PredictIt. FTX.com and Betfair to be added if liquid state market available
Senate Control 2021Bets on which party will control senate after the Jan 5 runoff elections in Georgia

$2,828,979 bet so far

DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎98.1-98.8%
PredictIt 🇺🇸96.9-97.9%

97.9%

1.7%
REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎1.1-1.8%
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%

2.0%

-1.7%


Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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