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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

French President 2022The winner of the next French Presidential Election, to be held in April and/or May 2022

$1,174,881 bet so far

Macron details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧64.1-64.9%$865,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧64.1-65.4%$255,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸66.0-67.0%$53,427

64.7%

-0.5%
Zemmour details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$865,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-9.5%$255,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$53,427

9.7%

0.5%
LePen details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.3%$865,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-11.1%$255,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$53,427

6.2%

-3.3%
Melenchon details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$865,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$255,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$53,427

1.8%

-0.2%
Hidalgo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$865,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$255,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$53,427

0.5%

0.2%
Barnier details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$865,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$255,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$53,427

0.2%

-0.0%
Bertrand details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$865,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$255,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$53,427

0.1%

-0.0%

16.9%



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