Election Betting Odds by Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Election Betting Odds

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

French President 2022The winner of the next French Presidential Election, to be held in April and/or May 2022
$1,727,631 bet so far

Macron details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧 69.0-69.4% $1,346,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧 69.0-69.4% $298,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸 68.9-69.9% $82,561

69.2%
0.5%

Pecresse details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧 15.6-16.1% $1,346,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧 15.6-16.1% $298,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸 15.8-16.7% $82,561

15.9%
-0.0%

LePen details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧 6.3-6.9% $1,346,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧 6.5-6.9% $298,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸 6.9-7.9% $82,561

6.6%
-0.7%

Zemmour details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧 5.0-5.3% $1,346,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧 5.1-5.3% $298,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸 4.9-5.9% $82,561

5.2%
+0.0%

Melenchon details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧 1.5-1.8% $1,346,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧 1.5-1.8% $298,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸 1.0-2.0% $82,561

1.7%
-0.0%

Bertrand details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧 0.0-0.3% $1,346,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧 0.0-0.0% $298,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸 0.0-1.0% $82,561

0.1%
+0.0%

Hidalgo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧 0.0-0.2% $1,346,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧 0.0-0.1% $298,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸 0.0-1.0% $82,561

0.1%
+0.0%

Barnier details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧 0.0-0.2% $1,346,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧 0.0-0.0% $298,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸 0.0-1.0% $82,561

0.1%
-0.0%

1.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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