Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:01AM EST on Nov 05, 2020

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Smarkets, Betfair, and PredictIt | How People Bet

Hover over underlined titles for amount bet. Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com, Smarkets, PredictIt and Betfair
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Next PresidentPresidential Winner 2020

$703,714,185 bet so far

Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎84.7-86.0%
Smarkets 🇬🇧86.2-87.0%
PredictIt 🇺🇸79.9-80.8%
Betfair 🇬🇧86.8-87.6%

84.9%

1.0%
Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
FTX 🌎13.6-13.7%
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.8-19.7%
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.5%

14.5%

-1.0%
Electoral College (estimate: 306-232. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:57AM EST on Nov 05, 2020
Over $1 million bet. Betting is from PredictIt. FTX.com and Betfair to be added if liquid state market available
Senate Control 2020From PredictIt

$809,122 bet so far

REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸80.7-81.7%

81.2%

-7.4%
DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.7-19.7%

18.7%

7.4%


Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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