Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:46AM EDT on Jul 04, 2020

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, and PredictIt | How People Bet

Hover over underlined titles for amount bet. Odds for the Presidential winner are averaged between FTX.com and Betfair. Nomination odds are from Betfair.

Next PresidentPresidential Winner 2020

$56,293,507 bet so far














Electoral College (estimate: 334-204. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
NOTE! The map may suggest a different winner than the direct betting on the left, for two main reasons:
1) The map shows the chance for any Democrat or Republican to win, not just Trump or Biden
2) Counter-intuitively, a candidate can be favored in a majority of states' electoral votes
but also not favored to win the election, if the odds are closer in their favored states,
or if certain key states statistically tend to vote together as a group.

State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:38AM EDT on Jul 04, 2020
Over $1 million bet. Betting is from PredictIt. FTX.com and Betfair to be added if liquid state market available
Senate Control 2020From PredictIt

$185,498 bet so far




House Control 2020From PredictIt

$281,696 bet so far





Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute


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